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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 99-127
33-29 20-29 24-32 22-37
Position#17
Record14-21
FormWWLLL
Points / game108.3
Allowed / game110.5
vs
Position#2
Record28-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game105.5
Allowed / game97.8
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
132-120
132
120
+12
126avg 98
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
127-114
127
114
+13
118avg 98
H18/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
117-107
117
107
+10
120avg 98
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
102-119
102
119
-17
90avg 98
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
108-109
108
109
-1
106avg 98
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
102avg 98
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
105-103
105
103
+2
103avg 98
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
122-124
122
124
-2
118avg 98
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
119-127
119
127
-8
113avg 98
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 98
H04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-28
36-28
26-29
32-35
33-22
29-32
34-26
31-34
28-31
32-27
33-27
24-22
26-36
27-32
19-27
30-24
29-29
26-22
27-31
26-27
23-23
40-23
16-31
27-25
22-31
27-18
32-24
24-30
28-30
32-30
27-31
35-33
33-35
31-33
21-26
34-33
28-29
23-31
37-34
25-26
229.6Avg total
115.1Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)108.3110.5218.8-2.140%
Season at home (17)112.7113.2225.9-0.541%
Season away (18)104.2107.9212.1-3.739%
Last 10 (10)115.1114.5229.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)113.0115.2228.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)110.0126.7236.7-16.70%
vs Similar (19)105.8108.4214.2-2.537%
vs Weaker (8)117.5112.9230.4+4.662%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
107-92
107
92
+15
108avg 98
A16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
113-100
113
100
+13
114avg 98
H19/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
102-100
102
100
+2
96avg 98
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
101-106
101
106
-5
91avg 98
A23/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
110-90
110
90
+20
106avg 98
A24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
119-100
119
100
+19
119avg 98
H25/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
119-98
119
98
+21
112avg 98
H29/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
110-94
110
94
+16
109avg 98
H31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
112-114 OT
112
114
-2
107avg 98
A01/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
110-82
110
82
+28
115avg 98
H04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
28-23
23-28
33-21
30-26
31-23
31-22
21-29
26-24
26-21
19-33
31-22
22-27
23-30
28-24
28-25
27-27
30-18
30-27
23-18
36-25
19-25
32-26
32-24
30-27
28-37
31-18
30-16
22-32
25-20
33-21
30-21
27-25
19-19
28-25
26-31
29-18
31-23
28-17
22-24
207.9Avg total
110.3Scored
97.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)105.597.8203.3+7.780%
Season at home (16)104.196.6200.6+7.575%
Season away (19)106.798.9205.6+7.884%
Last 10 (10)110.397.6207.9+12.780%
Last 5 (5)114.097.6211.6+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)101.498.7200.1+2.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)106.898.0204.9+8.887%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.5+4.5
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H18/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H04/01
NBA
116.1Avg total
59.1Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.855.6112.5+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.255.8113.0+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)56.455.4111.9+1.043%-
Last 10 (10)59.157.0116.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)57.456.6114.0+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)59.368.7128.0-9.30%-
vs Similar (19)55.953.9109.8+2.053%-
vs Weaker (8)58.154.9113.0+3.250%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H19/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A23/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H25/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H29/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A01/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H04/01
NBA
102.2Avg total
53.2Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.549.4100.9+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.152.6107.7+2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)48.446.594.9+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)53.249.0102.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)53.250.2103.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)53.451.4104.9+2.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)50.948.799.7+2.248%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.630.4
55.7%
50.2%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.6
37.9%
35.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws25.119.5
77.7%
77.0%19.5
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.731.9
51.7%
50.2%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.89.3
44.7%
35.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.518.6
82.7%
77.0%18.6
They take 82.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLLWWLLWWW
San Antonio Spurs
WLWWWWLWWW
#17
League position
#2
+0.6
Net rating
+13.2
115.8
Offensive rating
114.8
115.2
Defensive rating
101.6
56.1%
Effective FG%
55.6%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
13.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.9%
3-point %
44.7%
65.7%
Assist %
58.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 114.8Defence115.2 · 101.6Shooting56.1% · 55.6%3-point %37.9% · 44.7%Ball care13.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds24.7% · 29.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/17HSacramento Kings113-120
03/01/17AGolden State Warriors119-127
31/12/16HPhiladelphia 76ers122-124
29/12/16HMinnesota Timberwolves105-103
27/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers106-102
24/12/16HAtlanta Hawks108-109
21/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers102-119
20/12/16HDallas Mavericks117-107
18/12/16HNew York Knicks127-114
16/12/16HPortland Trail Blazers132-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/17HToronto Raptors110-82
01/01/17AAtlanta Hawks112-114 OT
31/12/16HPortland Trail Blazers110-94
29/12/16HPhoenix Suns119-98
25/12/16HChicago Bulls119-100
24/12/16APortland Trail Blazers110-90
23/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers101-106
21/12/16AHouston Rockets102-100
19/12/16HNew Orleans Pelicans113-100
16/12/16APhoenix Suns107-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWLWLL41%
AwayWLLWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %40%41%39%
Points / game108.3112.7104.2
Allowed / game110.5113.2107.9
Point differential-2.1-0.5-3.7
Avg total218.8225.9212.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)29% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %9%18%0%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWLWL84%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351619
Win %80%75%84%
Points / game105.5104.1106.7
Allowed / game97.896.698.9
Point differential+7.7+7.5+7.8
Avg total203.3200.6205.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)75% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3631586%117.5105.1+12.4
2 San Antonio Spurs3528780%105.597.8+7.7
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3426876%109.8103.1+6.7
4 Houston Rockets3728976%114.6106.9+7.7
5 Toronto Raptors35241169%110.0103.1+6.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers38241463%108.2103.0+5.2
7 Boston Celtics35211460%106.4104.3+2.1
8 Utah Jazz37221559%99.095.3+3.7
9 Memphis Grizzlies38221658%98.898.6+0.3
10 Oklahoma City Thunder37211657%106.5105.3+1.2
11 Atlanta Hawks36201656%102.4103.3-0.9
12 Charlotte Hornets37201754%105.8103.6+2.2
13 Milwaukee Bucks34181653%104.9102.4+2.5
14 Indiana Pacers37191851%105.4106.1-0.8
15 Chicago Bulls36181850%101.2100.7+0.4
16 Washington Wizards34161847%105.2106.2-1.0
17 New York Knicks35161946%105.3108.4-3.0
18 Detroit Pistons38172145%99.699.7-0.0
19 Orlando Magic37162143%99.2103.6-4.4
20 Sacramento Kings35152043%102.3104.6-2.3
21 Portland Trail Blazers37152241%107.5111.2-3.7
22 Denver Nuggets35142140%108.3110.5-2.1
23 New Orleans Pelicans37142338%102.1105.3-3.3
24 Los Angeles Lakers38132534%104.5110.2-5.7
25 Phoenix Suns37122532%105.6111.7-6.1
26 Minnesota Timberwolves35112431%103.3105.0-1.6
27 Dallas Mavericks36112531%95.6100.8-5.2
28 Miami Heat37112630%98.4101.8-3.4
29 Philadelphia 76ers3392427%98.8106.1-7.2
30 Brooklyn Nets3482624%105.6114.2-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets3320242299
San Antonio Spurs29293237127
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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