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San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:30
Scheduled
Position#12
Record6-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game109.5
vs
Position#13
Record7-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game113.1
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Minnesota Timberwolves
22 Jan 2027
SAS v MIN
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
SAS121
MIN111
12 May 2026
SAS126
MIN97
06 May 2026
SAS133
MIN95
04 May 2026
SAS102
MIN104
17 Jan 2026
SAS126
MIN123
15 Dec 2024
SAS92
MIN106
02 Nov 2024
SAS113
MIN103
27 Jan 2024
SAS113
MIN112
10 Nov 2023
SAS110
MIN117
08 Apr 2023
SAS131
MIN151
30 Oct 2022
SAS107
MIN98
14 Mar 2022
SAS139
MIN149
03 Feb 2021
SAS111
MIN108
14 Mar 2020
SAS v MIN
upcoming
27 Nov 2019
SAS101
MIN113
21 Dec 2018
SAS124
MIN98
17 Oct 2018
SAS112
MIN108
17 Mar 2018
SAS117
MIN101
18 Oct 2017
SAS107
MIN99
04 Mar 2017
SAS97
MIN90
17 Jan 2017
SAS122
MIN114
13 Jul 2016
SAS71
MIN80
28 Dec 2015
SAS101
MIN95
15 Mar 2015
SAS123
MIN97
06 Dec 2014
SAS123
MIN101
12 Jan 2014
SAS104
MIN86
13 Dec 2013
SAS117
MIN110
17 Apr 2013
SAS95
MIN108
13 Jan 2013
SAS106
MIN88
21 Mar 2012
SAS116
MIN100
09 Jan 2011
SAS94
MIN91
03 Dec 2010
SAS107
MIN101
12 Apr 2010
SAS133
MIN111
29 Dec 2009
SAS117
MIN99
17 Mar 2009
SAS93
MIN86
23 Dec 2008
SAS99
MIN93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
98-102
98
102
-4
74avg 112
A11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
109-119
109
119
-10
58avg 112
A13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
123-103
123
103
+20
92avg 112
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
126-97
126
97
+29
102avg 112
H17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
104-116
104
116
-12
88avg 112
H21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
110-114
110
114
-4
97avg 112
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
122-106
122
106
+16
109avg 112
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
130-103
130
103
+27
127avg 112
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
109avg 112
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
121-111
121
111
+10
116avg 112
H01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-35
26-23
22-27
25-17
26-33
35-35
17-31
31-20
22-23
38-26
32-26
31-28
42-18
29-19
30-35
25-25
28-34
16-31
36-28
24-23
27-32
32-29
22-24
29-29
32-31
36-29
24-29
30-17
39-29
41-25
27-26
23-23
22-32
29-23
34-30
20-20
34-28
26-33
33-27
28-23
224.2Avg total
116.0Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)116.0109.5225.5+6.555%
Season at home (7)118.6109.6228.1+9.057%
Season away (4)111.5109.5221.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)116.0108.2224.2+7.860%
Last 5 (5)120.0109.0229.0+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)110.0114.0224.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)109.7108.5218.2+1.243%
vs Weaker (15)117.8105.3223.1+12.567%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#27
W
122-104
122
104
+18
114avg 106
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
106-128
106
128
-22
95avg 106
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
116-133
116
133
-17
83avg 106
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
131-106
131
106
+25
116avg 106
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#17
W
115-93
115
93
+22
111avg 106
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
117-94
117
94
+23
120avg 106
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#11
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 106
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#7
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 106
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 106
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 106
A01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
32-25
28-30
32-24
38-29
20-36
24-32
24-31
28-33
32-34
28-31
28-35
34-32
35-27
30-22
32-25
26-20
31-25
29-15
29-33
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
231.0Avg total
118.4Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.2113.1231.3+5.254%
Season at home (4)116.0110.5226.5+5.550%
Season away (9)119.2114.2233.4+5.056%
Last 10 (10)118.4112.6231.0+5.850%
Last 5 (5)118.8112.4231.2+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar ◀ (14)114.9115.7230.6-0.843%
vs Weaker (10)122.0111.1233.1+10.980%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
San Antonio SpursMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
71-37
71
37
+34
H17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
44-65
44
65
-21
H21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H01/11
NBA
117.3Avg total
60.5Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.153.5111.6+4.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.750.1107.8+7.665%-
Last 30 away (13)58.558.0116.5+0.538%-
Last 10 (10)60.556.8117.3+3.740%-
Last 5 (5)63.658.2121.8+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.061.0120.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)56.353.9110.1+2.457%-
vs Weaker (15)59.752.7112.3+7.053%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#27
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#17
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#11
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#7
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
116.2Avg total
59.9Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.256.8115.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.655.8114.4+2.858%-
Last 30 away (18)57.957.4115.4+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)59.956.3116.2+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)58.655.4114.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)57.857.6115.4+0.243%-
vs Weaker (10)63.855.4119.2+8.490%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.427.5
52.5%
54.0%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.912.9
34.0%
34.9%38.7
🏀 Free throws26.420.9
79.2%
76.4%20.9
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.326.4
51.5%
54.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.614.4
39.3%
34.9%43.2
🏀 Free throws30.322.0
72.6%
76.4%22.0
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWLLWWLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLLWWWLLW
#12
League position
#13
+3.9
Net rating
+2.5
101.4
Offensive rating
107.1
97.5
Defensive rating
104.7
51.9%
Effective FG%
54.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.9%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
43.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.0%
3-point %
39.3%
63.6%
Assist %
60.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 107.1Defence97.5 · 104.7Shooting51.9% · 54.6%3-point %34.0% · 39.3%Ball care14.9% · 14.9%Off. rebounds22.3% · 43.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves121-111
29/10/26AUtah Jazz117-111 OT
28/10/26HSacramento Kings130-103
25/10/26ADallas Mavericks122-106
24/10/26HHouston Rockets110-114
21/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder104-116
17/10/26HSacramento Kings126-97
15/10/26HPhoenix Suns123-103
13/10/26AUtah Jazz109-119
11/10/26APhoenix Suns98-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
23/10/26AOrlando Magic115-93
21/10/26AMiami Heat131-106
17/10/26AChicago Bulls116-133
15/10/26HDetroit Pistons106-128
12/10/26ANew York Knicks122-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW55%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %55%57%50%
Points / game116.0118.6111.5
Allowed / game109.5109.6109.5
Point differential+6.5+9.0+2.0
Avg total225.5228.1221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%25%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL54%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %54%50%56%
Points / game118.2116.0119.2
Allowed / game113.1110.5114.2
Point differential+5.2+5.5+5.0
Avg total231.3226.5233.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics109190%121.9108.7+13.2
2 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Golden State Warriors138562%115.9110.9+5.0
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Los Angeles Lakers127558%114.7113.7+1.0
11 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
14 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
17 Orlando Magic105550%114.1116.8-2.7
18 Toronto Raptors115645%120.1113.3+6.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Brooklyn Nets104640%114.6116.0-1.4
22 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Los Angeles Clippers93633%107.9112.0-4.1
26 Indiana Pacers113827%115.4117.3-1.9
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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