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San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game118.7
Allowed / game107.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game118.1
Allowed / game107.0
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Minnesota Timberwolves
22 Jan 2027
SAS v MIN
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
SAS121
MIN111
12 May 2026
SAS126
MIN97
06 May 2026
SAS133
MIN95
04 May 2026
SAS102
MIN104
17 Jan 2026
SAS126
MIN123
15 Dec 2024
SAS92
MIN106
02 Nov 2024
SAS113
MIN103
27 Jan 2024
SAS113
MIN112
10 Nov 2023
SAS110
MIN117
08 Apr 2023
SAS131
MIN151
30 Oct 2022
SAS107
MIN98
14 Mar 2022
SAS139
MIN149
03 Feb 2021
SAS111
MIN108
14 Mar 2020
SAS v MIN
upcoming
27 Nov 2019
SAS101
MIN113
21 Dec 2018
SAS124
MIN98
17 Oct 2018
SAS112
MIN108
17 Mar 2018
SAS117
MIN101
18 Oct 2017
SAS107
MIN99
04 Mar 2017
SAS97
MIN90
17 Jan 2017
SAS122
MIN114
28 Dec 2015
SAS101
MIN95
15 Mar 2015
SAS123
MIN97
06 Dec 2014
SAS123
MIN101
12 Jan 2014
SAS104
MIN86
13 Dec 2013
SAS117
MIN110
17 Apr 2013
SAS95
MIN108
13 Jan 2013
SAS106
MIN88
21 Mar 2012
SAS116
MIN100
09 Jan 2011
SAS94
MIN91
03 Dec 2010
SAS107
MIN101
12 Apr 2010
SAS133
MIN111
29 Dec 2009
SAS117
MIN99
17 Mar 2009
SAS93
MIN86
23 Dec 2008
SAS99
MIN93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#7
L
110-114
110
114
-4
97avg 112
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
122-106
122
106
+16
109avg 112
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#29
W
130-103
130
103
+27
127avg 112
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
109avg 112
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#5
W
121-111
121
111
+10
116avg 112
H01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
W
119-97
119
97
+22
108avg 112
H03/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
112-111
112
111
+1
102avg 112
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#29
W
124-109
124
109
+15
123avg 112
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
125-103
125
103
+22
122avg 112
A08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
122-96
122
96
+26
124avg 112
A10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
32-29
22-24
29-29
32-31
36-29
24-29
30-17
39-29
41-25
27-26
23-23
22-32
29-23
34-30
20-20
34-28
26-33
33-27
28-23
27-16
32-33
35-20
25-28
32-26
36-25
22-29
22-31
38-29
37-27
24-24
25-29
22-20
42-29
45-27
16-27
31-25
30-21
32-22
29-28
226.3Avg total
120.2Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)118.7107.0225.7+11.782%
Season at home (6)116.0108.7224.7+7.367%
Season away (5)122.0105.0227.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)120.2106.1226.3+14.190%
Last 5 (5)120.4103.2223.6+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)109.3107.9217.1+1.443%
vs Weaker (16)119.6104.6224.2+14.981%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#24
W
115-93
115
93
+22
111avg 106
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
117-94
117
94
+23
120avg 106
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 106
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 106
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 106
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 106
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 106
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 106
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 106
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 106
H09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
31-25
29-15
29-33
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
223.9Avg total
116.8Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)118.1107.0225.1+11.173%
Season at home (5)117.0102.8219.8+14.280%
Season away (6)119.0110.5229.5+8.567%
Last 10 (10)116.8107.1223.9+9.770%
Last 5 (5)114.0107.4221.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)105.0119.6224.6-14.629%
vs Similar ◀ (13)113.9114.8228.8-0.946%
vs Weaker (10)121.3106.0227.3+15.390%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
San Antonio SpursMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#7
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#29
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#5
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H03/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#29
W
75-56
75
56
+19
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A10/11
NBA
118.7Avg total
64.5Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.652.7111.3+5.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.850.2106.9+6.662%-
Last 30 away (14)60.655.6116.3+5.057%-
Last 10 (10)64.554.2118.7+10.370%-
Last 5 (5)65.450.2115.6+15.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)55.653.8109.4+1.850%-
vs Weaker (16)61.251.8113.0+9.469%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H09/11
NBA
109.7Avg total
56.9Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.755.3112.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.754.1111.8+3.669%-
Last 30 away (17)55.956.2112.1-0.241%-
Last 10 (10)56.952.8109.7+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)56.053.2109.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.456.9107.3-6.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)56.957.1114.0-0.238%-
vs Weaker (10)60.851.8112.6+9.0100%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 112.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.527.4
51.2%
54.0%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.512.2
32.5%
35.0%36.6
🏀 Free throws25.720.8
80.9%
76.8%20.8
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.528.2
51.7%
54.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.2
36.5%
35.0%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.219.2
70.6%
76.8%19.2
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWWWWWWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLWLLWW
#3
League position
#5
+3.7
Net rating
+2.9
108.7
Offensive rating
110.4
105.0
Defensive rating
107.6
50.2%
Effective FG%
52.9%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
11.9%
Turnover %
14.2%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.5%
3-point %
36.5%
62.6%
Assist %
57.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 110.4Defence105.0 · 107.6Shooting50.2% · 52.9%3-point %32.5% · 36.5%Ball care11.9% · 14.2%Off. rebounds26.4% · 34.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26APhoenix Suns122-96
08/11/26APortland Trail Blazers125-103
07/11/26ASacramento Kings124-109
05/11/26HDallas Mavericks112-111
03/11/26HUtah Jazz119-97
01/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves121-111
29/10/26AUtah Jazz117-111 OT
28/10/26HSacramento Kings130-103
25/10/26ADallas Mavericks122-106
24/10/26HHouston Rockets110-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HUtah Jazz115-100
07/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans115-109
05/11/26AHouston Rockets117-107
03/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks112-100
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
23/10/26AOrlando Magic115-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%67%100%
Points / game118.7116.0122.0
Allowed / game107.0108.7105.0
Point differential+11.7+7.3+17.0
Avg total225.7224.7227.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%50%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %9%0%20%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game118.1117.0119.0
Allowed / game107.0102.8110.5
Point differential+11.1+14.2+8.5
Avg total225.1219.8229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
14 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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