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San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 May 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 133-95
24-17 35-18 39-28 35-32
Position#2
Record64-22
FormLWWWL
Points / game119.2
Allowed / game110.7
vs
Position#10
Record54-35
FormWWLWW
Points / game117.4
Allowed / game114.0
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· Frost Bank Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Minnesota Timberwolves
22 Jan 2027
SAS v MIN
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
SAS121
MIN111
12 May 2026
SAS126
MIN97
06 May 2026
SAS133
MIN95
04 May 2026
SAS102
MIN104
17 Jan 2026
SAS126
MIN123
15 Dec 2024
SAS92
MIN106
02 Nov 2024
SAS113
MIN103
27 Jan 2024
SAS113
MIN112
10 Nov 2023
SAS110
MIN117
08 Apr 2023
SAS131
MIN151
30 Oct 2022
SAS107
MIN98
14 Mar 2022
SAS139
MIN149
03 Feb 2021
SAS111
MIN108
14 Mar 2020
SAS v MIN
upcoming
27 Nov 2019
SAS101
MIN113
21 Dec 2018
SAS124
MIN98
17 Oct 2018
SAS112
MIN108
17 Mar 2018
SAS117
MIN101
18 Oct 2017
SAS107
MIN99
04 Mar 2017
SAS97
MIN90
17 Jan 2017
SAS122
MIN114
28 Dec 2015
SAS101
MIN95
15 Mar 2015
SAS123
MIN97
06 Dec 2014
SAS123
MIN101
12 Jan 2014
SAS104
MIN86
13 Dec 2013
SAS117
MIN110
17 Apr 2013
SAS95
MIN108
13 Jan 2013
SAS106
MIN88
21 Mar 2012
SAS116
MIN100
09 Jan 2011
SAS94
MIN91
03 Dec 2010
SAS107
MIN101
12 Apr 2010
SAS133
MIN111
29 Dec 2009
SAS117
MIN99
17 Mar 2009
SAS93
MIN86
23 Dec 2008
SAS99
MIN93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
115-102
115
102
+13
113avg 113
H07/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
112-101
112
101
+11
108avg 113
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
139-120
139
120
+19
139avg 113
H11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
118-128
118
128
-10
106avg 113
H13/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
111-98
111
98
+13
106avg 113
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
103-106
103
106
-3
91avg 113
H22/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
120-108
120
108
+12
117avg 113
A25/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
114-93
114
93
+21
107avg 113
A26/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
114-95
114
95
+19
114avg 113
H29/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
102-104
102
104
-2
95avg 113
H05/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
33-27
30-30
23-17
32-23
29-28
27-22
24-28
37-26
31-39
40-28
31-27
34-37
22-33
35-31
27-27
30-21
29-28
28-23
24-26
28-27
29-30
23-22
23-27
27-29
32-36
29-22
32-21
23-25
18-33
33-16
40-19
36-24
29-21
21-20
28-30
23-24
22-21
27-24
30-35
220.3Avg total
114.8Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (86)119.2110.7229.9+8.474%
Season at home (44)119.3110.9230.2+8.577%
Season away (42)119.0110.5229.5+8.471%
Last 10 (10)114.8105.5220.3+9.370%
Last 5 (5)110.6101.2211.8+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)122.2119.8242.0+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)120.4104.9225.3+15.591%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#13
L
120-132
120
132
-12
106avg 109
A08/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
136-132
136
132
+4
123avg 109
A11/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
132-126
132
126
+6
128avg 109
H13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
105-116
105
116
-11
94avg 109
A18/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
119-114
119
114
+5
114avg 109
A21/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
113-96
113
96
+17
112avg 109
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
112-96
112
96
+16
105avg 109
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
113-125
113
125
-12
108avg 109
A28/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
110-98
110
98
+12
102avg 109
H01/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
104-102
104
102
+2
91avg 109
A05/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-34
21-29
30-38
37-31
37-36
32-37
34-33
33-26
34-24
39-35
24-31
35-36
33-23
29-39
17-29
26-25
25-39
39-25
26-29
29-21
25-11
36-28
27-29
25-28
22-23
28-31
32-24
30-18
29-34
22-26
24-37
38-28
29-30
28-20
25-24
28-24
24-23
21-22
24-27
35-30
230.1Avg total
116.4Scored
113.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (89)117.4114.0231.5+3.461%
Season at home (44)114.6110.1224.7+4.566%
Season away (45)120.2117.8238.1+2.456%
Last 10 (10)116.4113.7230.1+2.770%
Last 5 (5)110.4103.4213.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)100.8106.4207.2-5.640%
vs Similar (20)112.4113.9226.3-1.555%
vs Weaker (5)128.8109.0237.8+19.8100%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +4.9+4.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +4.9+4.9
San Antonio SpursMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H07/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H13/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H22/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A25/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A26/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H29/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H05/05
NBA
113.3Avg total
57.3Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.453.9116.3+8.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.454.8115.2+5.665%-
Last 30 away (13)64.952.8117.8+12.177%-
Last 10 (10)57.356.0113.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)53.454.0107.4-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)61.956.9118.8+5.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)62.552.9115.4+9.773%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#13
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A08/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A11/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A18/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A21/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A28/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H01/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/05
NBA
115.4Avg total
58.5Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.454.0110.4+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.454.9112.3+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)55.653.4108.9+2.247%-
Last 10 (10)58.556.9115.4+1.630%-
Last 5 (5)52.849.6102.4+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)48.647.896.4+0.840%-
vs Similar (20)56.455.2111.6+1.150%-
vs Weaker (5)64.255.6119.8+8.680%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.530.0
55.0%
54.8%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.4
37.7%
35.8%37.2
🏀 Free throws22.517.6
78.2%
78.1%17.6
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.031.7
55.6%
54.8%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.5
35.8%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.618.5
75.2%
78.1%18.5
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
LWWWLWLWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLWWWLWWL
#2
League position
#10
+9.4
Net rating
+2.7
115.5
Offensive rating
114.7
106.1
Defensive rating
112.1
55.6%
Effective FG%
54.9%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
12.6%
Turnover %
12.2%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.7%
3-point %
35.8%
62.0%
Assist %
59.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 114.7Defence106.1 · 112.1Shooting55.6% · 54.9%3-point %37.7% · 35.8%Ball care12.6% · 12.2%Off. rebounds28.8% · 26.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/26HMinnesota Timberwolves102-104
29/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers114-95
26/04/26APortland Trail Blazers114-93
25/04/26APortland Trail Blazers120-108
22/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers103-106
20/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers111-98
13/04/26HDenver Nuggets118-128
11/04/26HDallas Mavericks139-120
09/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers112-101
07/04/26HPhiladelphia 76ers115-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs104-102
01/05/26HDenver Nuggets110-98
28/04/26ADenver Nuggets113-125
26/04/26HDenver Nuggets112-96
24/04/26HDenver Nuggets113-96
21/04/26ADenver Nuggets119-114
18/04/26ADenver Nuggets105-116
13/04/26HNew Orleans Pelicans132-126
11/04/26AHouston Rockets136-132
08/04/26AOrlando Magic120-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL74%
HomeLWLWL77%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games864442
Win %74%77%71%
Points / game119.2119.3119.0
Allowed / game110.7110.9110.5
Point differential+8.4+8.5+8.4
Avg total229.9230.2229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%55%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (24)40% (10)57% (14)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeLWWWW66%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games894445
Win %61%66%56%
Points / game117.4114.6120.2
Allowed / game114.0110.1117.8
Point differential+3.4+4.5+2.4
Avg total231.5224.7238.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%41%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (25)58% (12)46% (13)
Overtime %4%2%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder85681780%119.0107.7+11.2
2 San Antonio Spurs86642274%119.2110.7+8.4
3 Detroit Pistons90652572%116.5108.6+7.9
4 Boston Celtics89593066%114.2106.9+7.3
5 New York Knicks88573165%116.5109.2+7.3
6 Los Angeles Lakers88573165%115.0113.2+1.8
7 Denver Nuggets88563264%121.1116.6+4.5
8 Cleveland Cavaliers90563462%118.7115.0+3.8
9 Houston Rockets88543461%114.1109.4+4.7
10 Minnesota Timberwolves89543561%117.4114.0+3.4
11 Toronto Raptors88493956%114.4111.8+2.7
12 Atlanta Hawks88484055%117.2116.2+1.1
13 Philadelphia 76ers92504254%114.5115.3-0.7
14 Orlando Magic89484154%114.1113.7+0.5
15 Charlotte Hornets84453954%115.8111.5+4.4
16 Phoenix Suns87464153%112.5111.2+1.3
17 Miami Heat82433952%121.1118.7+2.4
18 Los Angeles Clippers83424151%113.9112.8+1.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers88444450%114.6115.5-0.9
20 Golden State Warriors84384645%114.5115.2-0.7
21 Milwaukee Bucks82325039%110.6116.8-6.2
22 Chicago Bulls82315138%116.3121.5-5.2
23 New Orleans Pelicans82265632%115.5120.0-4.5
24 Dallas Mavericks82265632%114.1119.6-5.5
25 Memphis Grizzlies82255730%114.7120.7-6.0
26 Utah Jazz82226027%117.6126.0-8.4
27 Sacramento Kings82226027%111.0121.0-10.0
28 Brooklyn Nets82206224%105.9115.9-10.0
29 Indiana Pacers82196323%112.4120.4-8.0
30 Washington Wizards82176521%112.9124.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs24353935133
Minnesota Timberwolves1718283295
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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