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Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 108-115
22-23 29-28 28-35 29-29
Position#10
Record55-40
FormWLWWL
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game114.6
vs
Position#2
Record69-22
FormWWWLW
Points / game119.6
Allowed / game110.6
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v San Antonio Spurs
18 Feb 2027
MIN v SAS
upcoming
03 Jan 2027
MIN v SAS
upcoming
15 May 2026
MIN109
SAS139
10 May 2026
MIN114
SAS109
08 May 2026
MIN108
SAS115
11 Jan 2026
MIN104
SAS103
30 Nov 2025
MIN125
SAS112
09 Mar 2025
MIN141
SAS124
29 Dec 2024
MIN112
SAS110
27 Feb 2024
MIN114
SAS105
06 Dec 2023
MIN102
SAS94
26 Oct 2022
MIN134
SAS122
24 Oct 2022
MIN106
SAS115
07 Apr 2022
MIN127
SAS121
18 Nov 2021
MIN115
SAS90
09 Aug 2021
MIN91
SAS89
10 Jan 2021
MIN96
SAS88
09 Jan 2021
MIN122
SAS125
26 Mar 2020
MIN v SAS
upcoming
13 Nov 2019
MIN129
SAS114
18 Jan 2019
MIN113
SAS116
28 Nov 2018
MIN128
SAS89
15 Nov 2017
MIN98
SAS86
21 Mar 2017
MIN93
SAS100
06 Dec 2016
MIN91
SAS105
08 Mar 2016
MIN91
SAS116
23 Dec 2015
MIN83
SAS108
10 Jan 2015
MIN93
SAS108
21 Nov 2014
MIN92
SAS121
08 Apr 2014
MIN110
SAS91
12 Mar 2013
MIN107
SAS83
06 Feb 2013
MIN94
SAS104
27 Jan 2012
MIN87
SAS79
02 Jan 2012
MIN106
SAS96
11 Jan 2011
MIN96
SAS107
24 Nov 2010
MIN109
SAS113
12 Mar 2010
MIN85
SAS103
12 Dec 2008
MIN86
SAS98
05 Nov 2008
MIN125
SAS129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#7
W
136-132
136
132
+4
A11/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
132-126
132
126
+6
H13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
105-116
105
116
-11
A18/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
119-114
119
114
+5
A21/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
113-96
113
96
+17
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
112-96
112
96
+16
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
113-125
113
125
-12
A28/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
110-98
110
98
+12
H01/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
104-102
104
102
+2
A05/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-133
95
133
-38
A07/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-36
32-37
34-33
33-26
34-24
39-35
24-31
35-36
33-23
29-39
17-29
26-25
25-39
39-25
26-29
29-21
25-11
36-28
27-29
25-28
22-23
28-31
32-24
30-18
29-34
22-26
24-37
38-28
29-30
28-20
25-24
28-24
24-23
21-22
24-27
35-30
17-24
18-35
28-39
32-35
227.7Avg total
113.9Scored
113.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (95)117.2114.6231.7+2.658%
Season at home (45)115.0110.7225.7+4.364%
Season away (50)119.1118.1237.2+1.152%
Last 10 (10)113.9113.8227.7+0.170%
Last 5 (5)106.8110.8217.6-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)99.8110.8210.7-11.033%
vs Similar (19)113.4115.3228.6-1.953%
vs Weaker (5)128.8109.0237.8+19.8100%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
112-101
112
101
+11
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
139-120
139
120
+19
H11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
118-128
118
128
-10
H13/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
111-98
111
98
+13
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
103-106
103
106
-3
H22/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
120-108
120
108
+12
A25/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
114-93
114
93
+21
A26/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
114-95
114
95
+19
H29/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
102-104
102
104
-2
H05/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
133-95
133
95
+38
H07/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
29-28
27-22
24-28
37-26
31-39
40-28
31-27
34-37
22-33
35-31
27-27
30-21
29-28
28-23
24-26
28-27
29-30
23-22
23-27
27-29
32-36
29-22
32-21
23-25
18-33
33-16
40-19
36-24
29-21
21-20
28-30
23-24
22-21
27-24
30-35
24-17
35-18
39-28
35-32
221.4Avg total
116.6Scored
104.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (91)119.6110.6230.2+9.076%
Season at home (47)120.2110.8231.0+9.479%
Season away (44)118.9110.4229.3+8.573%
Last 10 (10)116.6104.8221.4+11.870%
Last 5 (5)116.699.0215.6+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)120.0114.0234.0+6.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)121.3107.5228.8+13.881%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
Minnesota TimberwolvesSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A11/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A18/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A21/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A28/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H01/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A07/05
NBA
113.2Avg total
56.7Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.154.7110.8+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.454.9112.3+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)55.154.6109.6+0.541%-
Last 10 (10)56.756.5113.2+0.230%-
Last 5 (5)47.653.6101.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)46.349.796.0-3.333%-
vs Similar (19)57.056.1113.1+0.947%-
vs Weaker (5)64.255.6119.8+8.680%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H13/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H22/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A25/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A26/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H29/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H05/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H07/05
NBA
111.0Avg total
57.0Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.053.2115.2+8.770%-
Last 30 at home (18)60.353.7114.0+6.767%-
Last 30 away (12)64.452.6117.0+11.875%-
Last 10 (10)57.054.0111.0+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)53.849.6103.4+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)59.855.2115.0+4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)62.352.9115.2+9.473%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.231.6
54.3%
54.8%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.6
34.5%
35.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws26.318.9
71.9%
78.1%18.9
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 116.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.929.6
54.9%
54.8%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.612.9
38.4%
35.8%38.7
🏀 Free throws23.618.7
79.2%
78.1%18.7
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWLWWWLWW
San Antonio Spurs
WLWWWLWLWW
#10
League position
#2
+0.1
Net rating
+11.7
111.6
Offensive rating
115.9
111.5
Defensive rating
104.2
53.4%
Effective FG%
55.9%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
12.7%
Turnover %
13.1%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.5%
3-point %
38.4%
60.0%
Assist %
61.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 115.9Defence111.5 · 104.2Shooting53.4% · 55.9%3-point %34.5% · 38.4%Ball care12.7% · 13.1%Off. rebounds26.2% · 29.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs95-133
05/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs104-102
01/05/26HDenver Nuggets110-98
28/04/26ADenver Nuggets113-125
26/04/26HDenver Nuggets112-96
24/04/26HDenver Nuggets113-96
21/04/26ADenver Nuggets119-114
18/04/26ADenver Nuggets105-116
13/04/26HNew Orleans Pelicans132-126
11/04/26AHouston Rockets136-132
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/26HMinnesota Timberwolves133-95
05/05/26HMinnesota Timberwolves102-104
29/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers114-95
26/04/26APortland Trail Blazers114-93
25/04/26APortland Trail Blazers120-108
22/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers103-106
20/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers111-98
13/04/26HDenver Nuggets118-128
11/04/26HDallas Mavericks139-120
09/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers112-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayLWLWL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954550
Win %58%64%52%
Points / game117.2115.0119.1
Allowed / game114.6110.7118.1
Point differential+2.6+4.3+1.1
Avg total231.7225.7237.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%40%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (27)54% (13)43% (14)
Overtime %6%4%8%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWLWLW79%
AwayWWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games914744
Win %76%79%73%
Points / game119.6120.2118.9
Allowed / game110.6110.8110.4
Point differential+9.0+9.4+8.5
Avg total230.2231.0229.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%55%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (26)45% (11)60% (15)
Overtime %3%2%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder92731979%118.4107.8+10.6
2 San Antonio Spurs91692276%119.6110.6+9.0
3 Detroit Pistons95682772%116.3108.6+7.7
4 Boston Celtics93623167%114.4106.9+7.5
5 New York Knicks94623266%115.8108.7+7.1
6 Denver Nuggets93593463%120.4116.1+4.3
7 Houston Rockets92583463%114.8109.9+4.9
8 Los Angeles Lakers95583761%114.2113.4+0.8
9 Cleveland Cavaliers95573860%118.3115.0+3.2
10 Minnesota Timberwolves95554058%117.2114.6+2.6
11 Toronto Raptors94534156%114.4111.8+2.6
12 Orlando Magic93524156%114.6113.5+1.1
13 Atlanta Hawks92504254%117.2116.4+0.8
14 Phoenix Suns91494254%112.6111.0+1.6
15 Charlotte Hornets89474253%116.1112.0+4.1
16 Philadelphia 76ers97514653%113.8115.1-1.2
17 Los Angeles Clippers86444251%113.5112.3+1.2
18 Portland Trail Blazers92454749%114.9115.9-1.1
19 Miami Heat88434549%120.4118.8+1.6
20 Golden State Warriors89414846%114.6115.1-0.5
21 Milwaukee Bucks86355141%110.8116.5-5.7
22 Chicago Bulls87345339%116.5121.4-4.9
23 Dallas Mavericks86295734%114.1118.8-4.6
24 New Orleans Pelicans84265831%115.8120.3-4.5
25 Memphis Grizzlies87266130%114.8121.1-6.3
26 Utah Jazz86236327%117.8126.2-8.3
27 Sacramento Kings86236327%111.1120.9-9.8
28 Brooklyn Nets85216425%106.3116.1-9.7
29 Indiana Pacers86216524%112.6120.5-8.0
30 Washington Wizards85186721%112.8124.4-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves22292829108
San Antonio Spurs23283529115
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