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San Jose State vs Nevada Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#278
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#210
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · San Jose State v Nevada
23 Jan 2027
SAN v NEVA
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
SAN 87
NEVA71
14 Feb 2025
SAN 58
NEVA73
23 Feb 2024
SAN 63
NEVA84
07 Jan 2023
SAN 40
NEVA67
17 Feb 2022
SAN 60
NEVA90
13 Feb 2021
SAN v NEVA
upcoming
08 Jan 2020
SAN 70
NEVA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Jose State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A21/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A25/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H28/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A04/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H07/03
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A12/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
77-93
77
93
-16
A13/03
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#167
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H02/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#17
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A08/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#109
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
38-48
42-37
44-43
37-42
36-43
34-45
34-37
36-49
42-39
41-39
43-35
36-43
41-50
45-27
50-47
31-51
48-40
37-36
38-44
161.5Avg total
78.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.081.7164.7+1.333%
Season at home (2)85.077.0162.0+8.050%
Season away (1)79.091.0170.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)78.483.1161.5-4.730%
Last 5 (5)82.082.4164.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)70.281.9152.2-11.78%
vs Similar (4)83.269.2152.5+14.0100%
vs Weaker (2)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
80-45
80
45
+35
H11/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A12/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A14/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
86-49
86
49
+37
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#73
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
37-39
28-49
45-34
32-25
42-34
39-10
41-35
34-40
50-40
32-39
34-40
41-24
45-25
42-35
37-44
24-40
39-36
28-34
43-39
150.0Avg total
77.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.073.2152.2+5.850%
Season at home (3)84.372.3156.7+12.067%
Season away (1)63.076.0139.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)77.672.4150.0+5.250%
Last 5 (5)76.474.4150.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.276.4148.6-4.138%
vs Similar (13)77.675.0152.6+2.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)76.960.9137.8+16.089%
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +4.7+4.7
San Jose StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A25/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A12/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/03
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#167
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H02/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#17
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A08/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#109
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H13/11
NCAA
77.5Avg total
37.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.238.473.6-3.327%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.236.873.1-0.629%-
Last 30 away (13)33.840.574.3-6.823%-
Last 10 (10)37.040.577.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.277.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.240.274.4-6.017%-
vs Similar (4)41.232.874.0+8.550%-
vs Weaker (2)34.529.063.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
39-10
39
10
+29
H11/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A14/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A12/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#73
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H15/11
NCAA
66.8Avg total
33.7Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.832.465.1+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.828.663.4+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)30.536.667.1-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)33.733.166.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.434.467.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.634.565.1-3.912%-
vs Similar (13)33.534.567.9-1.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)33.727.461.1+6.256%-
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
San Jose State wins
8
Nevada wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HUC Riverside75-80
08/11/26AUC Irvine79-91
02/11/26HUTSA Roadrunners95-74
13/03/26ANew Mexico77-93
12/03/26ABoise State84-74
07/03/26HWyoming78-88
04/03/26AFresno State68-82
28/02/26HColorado State73-85
25/02/26AAir Force86-80
21/02/26ABoise State69-84
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HUtah Valley State71-73
12/11/26AUC Santa Barbara63-76
08/11/26HSt. Marys (CA)96-95 OT
03/11/26HRobert Morris86-49
14/03/26AUtah State66-79
12/03/26AGrand Canyon84-80
11/03/26HAir Force80-45
08/03/26HAir Force74-59
04/03/26AWyoming73-83
01/03/26AUNLV83-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Jose State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game83.085.079.0
Allowed / game81.777.091.0
Point differential+1.3+8.0-12.0
Avg total164.7162.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game79.084.363.0
Allowed / game73.272.376.0
Point differential+5.8+12.0-13.0
Avg total152.2156.7139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State330100%114.371.0+43.3
2 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
3 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
4 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
5 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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