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San Jose State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 87-71
47-32 40-39
Position#349
Record6-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#86
Record17-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Jose State v Nevada
23 Jan 2027
SAN v NEVA
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
SAN 87
NEVA71
14 Feb 2025
SAN 58
NEVA73
23 Feb 2024
SAN 63
NEVA84
07 Jan 2023
SAN 40
NEVA67
17 Feb 2022
SAN 60
NEVA90
13 Feb 2021
SAN v NEVA
upcoming
08 Jan 2020
SAN 70
NEVA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Jose State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A11/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H14/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H17/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
54-87
54
87
-33
A21/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
58-89
58
89
-31
H28/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H01/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-42
32-34
27-21
43-41
31-40
31-36
26-39
28-48
23-31
39-35
33-36
25-53
35-41
45-49
29-30
28-35
41-45
34-37
36-39
43-55
144.2Avg total
65.5Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)70.277.4147.5-7.224%
Season at home (15)73.175.1148.1-2.040%
Season away (10)65.880.8146.6-15.00%
Last 10 (10)65.578.7144.2-13.210%
Last 5 (5)69.884.0153.8-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)65.279.8145.0-14.65%
vs Similar (5)75.869.6145.4+6.280%
vs Weaker (3)90.762.0152.7+28.7100%
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A15/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A17/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
87-54
87
54
+33
H21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
66-60 OT
66
60
+6
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
A04/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-39
54-44
23-29
39-42
40-29
41-37
39-26
48-28
35-36
38-44
26-24
27-29
33-28
56-48
28-39
51-40
28-28
41-31
25-36
32-35
147.4Avg total
76.3Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.271.2147.3+5.068%
Season at home (16)77.669.4147.1+8.281%
Season away (9)73.674.2147.8-0.744%
Last 10 (10)76.371.1147.4+5.260%
Last 5 (5)73.671.4145.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.280.0151.2-8.80%
vs Similar (20)74.071.8145.8+2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)77.863.2141.0+14.7100%
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -5.7-5.71st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -7.5-7.52nd half: +4.9+4.9
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -5.7-5.71st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -7.5-7.52nd half: +4.9+4.9
San Jose StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A11/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H14/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H17/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A21/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H28/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A11/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/02
NCAA
67.1Avg total
30.7Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.937.271.1-3.323%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.635.472.0+1.133%-
Last 30 away (12)29.939.869.8-9.98%-
Last 10 (10)30.736.467.1-5.710%-
Last 5 (5)34.838.273.0-3.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)31.639.471.0-7.810%-
vs Similar (5)39.234.073.2+5.240%-
vs Weaker (3)41.025.766.7+15.3100%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A17/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A04/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A15/02
NCAA
62.9Avg total
31.5Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.732.765.4+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.131.366.4+3.861%-
Last 30 away (12)29.134.863.8-5.717%-
Last 10 (10)31.531.462.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)28.031.059.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.538.571.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (20)32.432.765.1-0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)33.828.862.7+5.050%-
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
San Jose State wins
9
Nevada wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HGrand Canyon79-94
11/02/26AUNLV75-82
08/02/26AColorado State57-65
01/02/26HNew Mexico80-90
28/01/26HBoise State58-89
24/01/26AWyoming62-66
21/01/26ANevada54-87
17/01/26HUNLV62-76
14/01/26HAir Force70-62
11/01/26AGrand Canyon58-76
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26ASan Diego State57-71
08/02/26HFresno State69-59
04/02/26ABoise State87-91 OT
31/01/26HUNLV89-76
28/01/26HGrand Canyon66-60 OT
25/01/26ANew Mexico73-80
21/01/26HSan Jose State87-54
17/01/26AAir Force81-66
15/01/26AUtah State62-71
11/01/26HWyoming92-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Jose State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeWLLLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %24%40%0%
Points / game70.273.165.8
Allowed / game77.475.180.8
Point differential-7.2-2.0-15.0
Avg total147.5148.1146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayLWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %68%81%44%
Points / game76.277.673.6
Allowed / game71.269.474.2
Point differential+5.0+8.2-0.7
Avg total147.3147.1147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %12%12%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2522388%84.769.1+15.6
2 New Mexico2620677%81.569.2+12.3
3 San Diego State2418675%79.869.3+10.5
4 Nevada2517868%76.271.2+5.0
5 Grand Canyon2516964%75.368.8+6.5
6 Colorado State25151060%76.070.3+5.6
7 Boise State25151060%79.374.6+4.8
8 Wyoming26141254%78.073.5+4.5
9 UNLV25131252%79.278.8+0.4
10 Fresno State26121446%74.072.6+1.5
11 San Jose State2561924%70.277.4-7.2
12 Air Force2632312%61.479.7-18.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Jose State474087
Nevada323971
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