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Saudi Arabia vs Japan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-106
22-33 18-23 12-34 26-16
Position#59
Record3-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Japan 🏆
Position#16
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2027
Meetings · Saudi Arabia v Japan
27 Aug 2026
SAUD78
JAPA106
04 Oct 2023
SAUD79
JAPA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saudi Arabia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A05/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H07/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A09/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
H11/08
Asia Cup
India
#91
W
75-51
75
51
+24
H27/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
81-57
81
57
+24
A30/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A27/02
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A29/06
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H02/07
World Cup
Qatar
#50
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H05/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
21-23
22-27
23-13
21-17
27-14
19-22
10-20
24-25
21-6
21-18
18-10
15-25
22-15
22-20
20-19
28-16
17-16
16-11
14-8
19-9
24-12
26-15
12-21
17-26
16-25
13-28
18-15
29-20
17-15
22-24
18-21
19-22
23-19
24-22
16-25
18-17
15-15
21-15
19-29
156.4Avg total
79.8Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.874.3151.2+2.550%
Season at home (3)76.771.7148.3+5.033%
Season away (3)77.077.0154.0+0.067%
Last 10 (10)79.876.6156.4+3.250%
Last 5 (5)77.279.0156.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)65.386.2151.5-20.90%
vs Similar (7)76.479.3155.7-2.943%
vs Weaker (12)78.961.2140.2+17.7100%
This opponent (Japan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syria
#20
W
99-68
99
68
+31
H06/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A08/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
102-63
102
63
+39
A10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
73-97
73
97
-24
H12/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H28/11
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A01/12
World Cup
China
#30
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H26/02
World Cup
South Korea
#46
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H01/03
World Cup
China
#30
W
92-73
92
73
+19
A03/07
World Cup
South Korea
#46
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A06/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
14-28
28-10
39-17
13-16
21-18
24-24
12-20
27-15
25-18
26-19
24-11
19-23
22-30
23-28
9-16
23-10
22-12
20-20
25-22
17-22
25-14
15-21
23-16
21-11
26-22
9-25
24-29
15-16
27-22
12-17
24-17
22-21
28-19
24-19
18-14
25-25
12-10
17-20
25-26
159.9Avg total
84.3Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.275.0158.2+8.267%
Season at home (3)82.774.3157.0+8.367%
Season away (3)83.775.7159.3+8.067%
Last 10 (10)84.375.6159.9+8.760%
Last 5 (5)81.877.2159.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.684.6155.1-14.029%
vs Similar (5)79.485.2164.6-5.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.669.7156.3+16.989%
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
Saudi ArabiaJapan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A05/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H07/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A09/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H11/08
Asia Cup
India
#91
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H27/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A30/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A27/02
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A29/06
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H02/07
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H05/07
World Cup
78.2Avg total
41.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.237.874.9-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.936.674.4+1.356%-
Last 30 away (14)36.439.175.5-2.843%-
Last 10 (10)41.536.778.2+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.075.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)31.545.276.6-13.79%-
vs Similar (7)40.637.678.1+3.057%-
vs Weaker (12)40.431.171.5+9.383%-
This opponent (Japan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syria
#20
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H06/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A08/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H12/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H28/11
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/12
World Cup
China
#30
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H26/02
World Cup
South Korea
#46
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/03
World Cup
China
#30
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A03/07
World Cup
South Korea
#46
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A06/07
World Cup
78.7Avg total
42.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.779.6+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.237.479.7+4.856%-
Last 30 away (14)39.440.179.5-0.657%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.578.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.480.0+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.144.378.4-10.114%-
vs Similar (5)34.845.880.6-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.334.579.8+10.889%-
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Saudi Arabiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saudi Arabia: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.5
51.2%
-35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.1
29.7%
-27.3
🏀 Free throws20.413.4
65.7%
-13.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.014.2
52.6%
-28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.212.6
33.9%
-37.8
🏀 Free throws18.914.8
78.3%
-14.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saudi Arabia
LLWLWWLWWL
Japan
LWWLWWLWLW
#59
League position
#16
+4.3
Net rating
+6.7
102.6
Offensive rating
106.5
98.3
Defensive rating
99.8
48.1%
Effective FG%
51.6%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.8%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.7%
3-point %
33.9%
59.0%
Assist %
73.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Saudi Arabia   ■ Japan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saudi Arabia wins
0
Japan wins
DateGameScore
04/10/23Saudi Arabia v Japan79-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/26HQatar73-76
02/07/26HLebanon82-88
29/06/26AQatar86-80
27/02/26ALebanon64-94
30/11/25AIndia81-57
27/11/25HIndia75-51
11/08/25HPhilippines88-95 OT
09/08/25AIndia84-59
07/08/25HJordan77-73
05/08/25AChina88-93
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/26ASouth Korea79-81
03/07/26AChina92-73
01/03/26HSouth Korea78-72
26/02/26HChina80-87
01/12/25AChinese Taipei80-73
28/11/25HChinese Taipei90-64
12/08/25HLebanon73-97
10/08/25AGuam102-63
08/08/25AIran70-78
06/08/25HSyria99-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saudi Arabia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game76.876.777.0
Allowed / game74.371.777.0
Point differential+2.5+5.0+0.0
Avg total151.2148.3154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Japan
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game83.282.783.7
Allowed / game75.074.375.7
Point differential+8.2+8.3+8.0
Avg total158.2157.0159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%94.267.2+27.0
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada660100%104.081.8+22.2
4 Brazil660100%93.775.3+18.3
5 Poland660100%94.379.3+15.0
6 Turkey660100%88.573.7+14.8
7 Croatia109190%97.570.3+27.2
8 Ivory Coast76186%93.175.4+17.7
9 Cameroon76186%76.970.4+6.4
10 Jordan65183%85.060.0+25.0
11 Senegal65183%88.267.7+20.5
12 Argentina65183%86.266.7+19.5
13 Lebanon65183%89.572.3+17.2
14 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
15 Uruguay65183%83.568.2+15.3
16 Germany65183%92.380.0+12.3
17 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
18 France65183%84.272.8+11.3
19 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
20 Dominican Republic43175%91.277.8+13.5
21 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
22 South Sudan75271%82.466.1+16.3
23 Angola75271%86.971.9+15.0
24 Mali75271%80.175.6+4.6
25 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
26 New Zealand64267%93.278.8+14.3
27 Japan64267%83.275.0+8.2
28 Tunisia64267%74.868.5+6.3
29 Serbia64267%86.581.3+5.2
30 Montenegro64267%68.572.3-3.8
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Guinea74357%72.366.7+5.6
33 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
34 Nigeria74357%77.175.1+2.0
35 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
36 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
37 Sweden74357%82.983.4-0.6
38 Finland74357%78.481.0-2.6
39 Hungary116555%81.376.6+4.6
40 Latvia63350%83.777.5+6.2
41 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
42 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
43 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
44 Egypt63350%77.773.7+4.0
45 Netherlands105550%80.377.3+3.0
46 Saudi Arabia63350%76.874.3+2.5
47 Slovenia63350%85.583.5+2.0
48 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
49 South Korea63350%78.078.0+0.0
50 Cape Verde63350%79.881.8-2.0
51 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
52 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
53 Colombia63350%83.288.0-4.8
54 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
55 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
56 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
57 Estonia73443%82.381.1+1.1
58 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
59 Bosnia & Herzegovina62433%79.077.2+1.8
60 Israel62433%79.779.5+0.2
61 Philippines62433%77.579.5-2.0
62 Puerto Rico62433%89.592.2-2.7
63 Bahamas62433%90.593.5-3.0
64 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
65 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
66 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
67 Panama62433%75.887.5-11.7
68 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
69 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
70 D.R. Congo72529%66.685.0-18.4
71 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
72 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saudi Arabia2218122678
Japan33233416106
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