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Shimane vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 79-87
24-19 13-27 28-26 14-15
Position#14
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#12
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game80.0
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Shimane v Saga
27 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
SHIM80
SAGA77
14 Mar 2026
SHIM91
SAGA96
15 Oct 2025
SHIM79
SAGA87
11 Dec 2024
SHIM85
SAGA55
27 Mar 2024
SHIM64
SAGA66
22 Oct 2023
SHIM61
SAGA58
21 Oct 2023
SHIM87
SAGA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
81avg 75
H26/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
77-68
77
68
+9
71avg 75
H27/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
94-91
94
91
+3
96avg 75
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
69-88
69
88
-19
65avg 75
A04/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
A09/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
62avg 75
A10/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
86-74
86
74
+12
88avg 75
A04/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
94-61
94
61
+33
95avg 75
A05/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
81-101
81
101
-20
76avg 75
A11/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
76-93
76
93
-17
66avg 75
A12/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
21-22
19-22
20-21
25-19
20-15
15-10
17-24
29-17
31-24
16-19
18-31
14-21
21-26
23-17
11-24
19-16
22-22
13-22
17-19
18-25
27-21
5-20
20-22
25-21
20-29
25-11
16-13
19-15
22-14
29-12
24-20
21-26
26-26
15-23
19-26
26-29
12-24
12-25
26-15
164.0Avg total
80.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.282.2166.5+2.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)84.282.2166.5+2.050%
Last 10 (10)80.084.0164.0-4.040%
Last 5 (5)81.483.4164.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.787.1164.9-9.429%
vs Similar ◀ (5)76.269.8146.0+6.440%
vs Weaker (18)80.776.1156.7+4.667%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Shimane
#8
L
66-82
66
82
-16
55avg 69
H19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
78-68
78
68
+10
69avg 69
A23/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
92avg 69
H26/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
106-82
106
82
+24
109avg 69
H27/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 69
A03/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
76-85
76
85
-9
67avg 69
A04/05
B League
Shiga
#18
W
92-68
92
68
+24
88avg 69
H04/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
97-91
97
91
+6
101avg 69
H05/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
59avg 69
A10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
67avg 69
A11/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
22-19
11-20
11-26
13-16
21-24
20-14
24-14
15-14
30-15
30-23
15-27
28-26
25-28
19-9
34-19
21-27
20-25
14-13
16-22
23-14
18-21
20-18
15-32
17-24
32-14
26-14
17-16
28-20
23-25
19-23
27-23
21-15
16-28
15-19
15-14
16-22
20-19
17-20
20-24
161.9Avg total
81.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.280.0162.2+2.250%
Season at home (2)94.579.5174.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)70.080.5150.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)81.680.3161.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)81.081.0162.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.882.6156.4-8.819%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.682.9168.4+2.756%
vs Weaker (5)90.876.0166.8+14.8100%
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.3-2.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.3-2.3
ShimaneSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H26/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H27/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
60-41
60
41
+19
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A04/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A09/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A10/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A04/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A05/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A11/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A12/10
B League
88.4Avg total
44.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.181.0+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (10)41.738.279.9+3.560%-
Last 30 away (20)42.039.581.5+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.044.488.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.246.089.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.444.387.7-0.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.634.274.8+6.460%-
vs Weaker (18)41.638.480.1+3.256%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A23/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H26/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H27/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A03/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A04/05
B League
Shiga
#18
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H04/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H05/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A11/10
B League
84.4Avg total
43.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.484.2-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.442.587.9+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)37.642.379.9-4.721%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.384.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.483.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.741.480.1-2.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.945.189.0-1.244%-
vs Weaker (5)47.840.688.4+7.260%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.5
55.4%
53.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.47.8
28.5%
33.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.813.5
75.8%
73.1%13.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.1
55.0%
53.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.710.7
31.8%
33.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.012.3
72.4%
73.1%12.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
LLWWLLLWWL
Saga
LLWWLLWWWL
#14
League position
#12
-7.5
Net rating
+1.7
105.8
Offensive rating
107.6
113.3
Defensive rating
105.8
50.0%
Effective FG%
51.3%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.7%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.5%
3-point %
31.8%
73.1%
Assist %
75.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 107.6Defence113.3 · 105.8Shooting50.0% · 51.3%3-point %28.5% · 31.8%Ball care16.2% · 15.7%Off. rebounds27.9% · 28.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Shimane   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Shimane wins
4
Saga wins
DateGameScore
19/04/25Saga v Shimane66-82
18/04/25Saga v Shimane80-61
26/03/25Saga v Shimane87-73
11/12/24Shimane v Saga85-55
27/03/24Shimane v Saga64-66
20/12/23Saga v Shimane80-77
22/10/23Shimane v Saga61-58
21/10/23Shimane v Saga87-74
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25AUtsunomiya Brex76-93
11/10/25AUtsunomiya Brex81-101
05/10/25AKoshigaya Alphas94-61
04/10/25AKoshigaya Alphas86-74
10/05/25ARyukyu70-88
09/05/25ARyukyu71-79
04/05/25AHiroshima D.69-88
03/05/25AHiroshima D.94-91
27/04/25HRyukyu77-68
26/04/25HRyukyu82-97
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25ANagasaki73-85
10/10/25ANagasaki67-76
05/10/25HShiga97-91
04/10/25HShiga92-68
04/05/25ARyukyu76-85
03/05/25ARyukyu71-87
27/04/25HOsaka106-82
26/04/25HOsaka90-79
23/04/25ANagasaki78-68
19/04/25HShimane66-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
Home--
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %50%-50%
Points / game84.2-84.2
Allowed / game82.2-82.2
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total166.5-166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.294.570.0
Allowed / game80.079.580.5
Point differential+2.2+15.0-10.5
Avg total162.2174.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex440100%85.269.2+16.0
2 Chiba440100%90.875.0+15.8
3 Nagasaki43175%89.276.2+13.0
4 Diamond Dolphins43175%79.268.2+11.0
5 Sun Rockers Shibuya43175%79.875.5+4.2
6 Hokkaido43175%82.278.8+3.5
7 Altiri Chiba43175%79.280.8-1.5
8 SeaHorses Mikawa42250%82.075.2+6.8
9 Ryukyu42250%78.875.0+3.8
10 Hiroshima D.42250%93.890.8+3.0
11 Saga42250%82.280.0+2.2
12 Shimane42250%84.282.2+2.0
13 Gunma42250%75.274.2+1.0
14 NeoPhoenix42250%82.081.8+0.2
15 Shiga42250%80.881.0-0.2
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles42250%84.085.8-1.8
17 Sendai42250%75.279.2-4.0
18 Yokohama42250%78.882.8-4.0
19 Toyama42250%83.590.8-7.2
20 Brave Thunders41325%87.289.5-2.2
21 Kyoto41325%80.086.2-6.2
22 Osaka41325%76.584.0-7.5
23 Ibaraki Robots41325%69.877.8-8.0
24 Akita41325%73.283.5-10.2
25 Alvark4040%66.078.0-12.0
26 Koshigaya Alphas4040%65.583.0-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shimane2413281479
Saga1927261587
← all games of the day
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