PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Shimane vs Saga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 04:35
Scheduled
Position#15
Record7-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
5.9/10
Above normal
Position#25
Record1-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game95.6
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shimane v Saga
27 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
SHIM80
SAGA77
14 Mar 2026
SHIM91
SAGA96
15 Oct 2025
SHIM79
SAGA87
11 Dec 2024
SHIM85
SAGA55
27 Mar 2024
SHIM64
SAGA66
22 Oct 2023
SHIM61
SAGA58
21 Oct 2023
SHIM87
SAGA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Saga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Chiba
#14
L
78-97
78
97
-19
66avg 71
A17/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
80-69
80
69
+11
73avg 71
H19/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
65avg 71
A24/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
85-86
85
86
-1
81avg 71
H26/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
84avg 71
H31/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-74
73
74
-1
42avg 71
H01/11
B League
Toyama
#11
W
108-75
108
75
+33
no box
H09/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
95-74
95
74
+21
no box
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
H13/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
H15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
30-23
15-22
17-29
18-26
23-15
19-10
20-18
17-20
20-29
16-14
26-19
23-26
21-18
25-17
16-25
24-23
23-22
16-23
25-27
19-25
21-16
22-15
11-18
20-13
32-20
26-23
30-19
26-14
24-24
27-19
18-17
27-23
16-22
16-19
17-23
21-24
22-15
17-21
23-9
165.3Avg total
84.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.581.1164.6+2.444%
Season at home (10)84.181.3165.4+2.840%
Season away (6)82.580.8163.3+1.750%
Last 10 (10)84.580.8165.3+3.740%
Last 5 (5)87.075.8162.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.783.0154.7-11.30%
vs Similar (9)82.285.1167.3-2.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.178.1162.2+6.070%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
61-72
61
72
-11
52avg 74
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
90-109
90
109
-19
71avg 74
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
70-115
70
115
-45
58avg 74
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
66-84
66
84
-18
58avg 74
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
88-112
88
112
-24
72avg 74
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
83-100
83
100
-17
72avg 74
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
60avg 74
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
103-111
103
111
-8
no box
H08/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A13/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
70-107
70
107
-37
no box
A15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
24-28
21-26
19-23
26-32
18-29
21-33
16-24
15-29
20-24
15-24
17-17
14-19
13-33
17-28
30-21
28-30
16-37
31-21
11-24
25-18
13-21
28-15
16-21
21-27
20-34
21-24
26-25
36-28
26-24
14-26
19-27
13-13
23-21
16-34
22-23
9-29
176.5Avg total
78.1Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.395.6172.9-18.36%
Season at home (9)78.496.3174.8-17.90%
Season away (7)75.994.7170.6-18.914%
Last 10 (10)78.198.4176.5-20.30%
Last 5 (5)81.298.4179.6-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.793.3171.1-15.610%
vs Similar (3)75.776.3152.0-0.767%
vs Weaker (7)87.776.7164.4+11.086%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -7.9-7.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.4-4.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -7.9-7.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.4-4.4
ShimaneSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#14
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A17/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A24/10
B League
Sendai
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H31/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H01/11
B League
Toyama
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H09/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H15/11
B League
86.4Avg total
44.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.583.1-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.941.982.9-1.042%-
Last 30 away (11)40.143.483.5-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)44.342.186.4+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.284.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.343.179.4-6.818%-
vs Similar (9)42.243.085.2-0.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.041.385.3+2.750%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
30-61
30
61
-31
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H08/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A15/11
B League
89.8Avg total
38.4Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.985.8-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.247.085.2-8.814%-
Last 30 away (16)43.243.186.3+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)38.451.489.8-13.010%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.493.0-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.047.986.8-8.920%-
vs Similar (3)41.336.377.7+5.067%-
vs Weaker (7)46.140.386.4+5.971%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.5
54.7%
53.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.7
33.4%
32.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws14.610.4
71.2%
73.8%10.4
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.9
51.9%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.6
30.9%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.911.0
73.8%
73.8%11.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
WLWWLLLLWL
Saga
LLLLLLLLLL
#15
League position
#25
-5.9
Net rating
-18.0
91.9
Offensive rating
90.3
97.8
Defensive rating
108.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
49.3%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
11.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.4%
3-point %
30.9%
62.7%
Assist %
60.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 90.3Defence97.8 · 108.3Shooting52.5% · 49.3%3-point %33.4% · 30.9%Ball care14.7% · 11.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Shimane   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Shimane wins
7
Saga wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Shimane v Saga80-77
14/03/26Shimane v Saga91-96
28/01/26Saga v Shimane95-88
15/10/25Shimane v Saga79-87
19/04/25Saga v Shimane66-82
18/04/25Saga v Shimane80-61
26/03/25Saga v Shimane87-73
11/12/24Shimane v Saga85-55
27/03/24Shimane v Saga64-66
20/12/23Saga v Shimane80-77
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HUtsunomiya Brex83-69
13/11/26HSendai76-87
11/11/26ABrave Thunders95-74
09/11/26HToyama108-75
01/11/26HHiroshima D.73-74
31/10/26HHiroshima D.88-95
26/10/26HSendai85-86
24/10/26AToyama79-82
19/10/26HBrave Thunders80-69
17/10/26AChiba78-97
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ALevanga Hokkaido70-107
13/11/26ABrave Thunders72-90
08/11/26HChiba103-111
01/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa78-84
31/10/26ASeaHorses Mikawa83-100
26/10/26HAlvark88-112
21/10/26HNagasaki66-84
18/10/26AKyoto70-115
16/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido90-109
12/10/26HGunma61-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW44%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game83.584.182.5
Allowed / game81.181.380.8
Point differential+2.4+2.8+1.7
Avg total164.6165.4163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %6%0%14%
Points / game77.378.475.9
Allowed / game95.696.394.7
Point differential-18.3-17.9-18.9
Avg total172.9174.8170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1312192%92.676.7+15.9
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1711665%89.980.3+9.6
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.