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Shimane vs Saga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 26 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 04:10
Scheduled
Position#20
Record4-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#25
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game94.0
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shimane v Saga
27 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
SHIM80
SAGA77
14 Mar 2026
SHIM91
SAGA96
15 Oct 2025
SHIM79
SAGA87
11 Dec 2024
SHIM85
SAGA55
27 Mar 2024
SHIM64
SAGA66
22 Oct 2023
SHIM61
SAGA58
21 Oct 2023
SHIM87
SAGA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Saga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
66avg 71
H03/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
72avg 71
H04/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#11
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 71
H07/10
B League
Ryukyu
#12
L
69-90
69
90
-21
55avg 71
A10/10
B League
Chiba
#22
L
78-97
78
97
-19
66avg 71
A17/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
80-69
80
69
+11
73avg 71
H19/10
B League
Toyama
#10
L
79-82
79
82
-3
65avg 71
A24/10
B League
Sendai
#6
L
85-86
85
86
-1
81avg 71
H26/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
84avg 71
H31/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-74
73
74
-1
no box
H01/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
10-27
20-23
22-15
10-26
17-21
30-23
23-20
28-16
12-25
29-24
26-18
15-18
17-30
16-27
21-15
16-23
30-23
15-22
17-29
18-26
23-15
19-10
20-18
17-20
20-29
16-14
26-19
23-26
21-18
25-17
16-25
24-23
23-22
16-23
25-27
19-25
21-16
22-15
11-18
165.1Avg total
80.0Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.282.8163.9-1.633%
Season at home (7)82.083.1165.1-1.129%
Season away (5)80.082.2162.2-2.240%
Last 10 (10)80.085.1165.1-5.120%
Last 5 (5)81.081.2162.2-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.183.3154.4-12.20%
vs Similar (16)83.581.2164.7+2.362%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)74.090.0164.0-16.033%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#5
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 74
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
57avg 74
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
84-77
84
77
+7
75avg 74
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#7
L
61-72
61
72
-11
52avg 74
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#11
L
90-109
90
109
-19
71avg 74
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#8
L
70-115
70
115
-45
58avg 74
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#15
L
66-84
66
84
-18
58avg 74
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
88-112
88
112
-24
72avg 74
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
83-100
83
100
-17
72avg 74
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
A01/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
20-25
31-20
19-22
15-29
19-15
22-22
18-24
27-20
17-12
15-26
25-19
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
24-28
21-26
19-23
26-32
18-29
21-33
16-24
15-29
20-24
15-24
17-17
14-19
13-33
17-28
30-21
28-30
16-37
31-21
11-24
25-18
13-21
28-15
16-21
21-27
171.9Avg total
78.3Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.394.0170.3-17.78%
Season at home (8)75.494.5169.9-19.10%
Season away (5)77.893.2171.0-15.420%
Last 10 (10)78.393.6171.9-15.310%
Last 5 (5)77.099.0176.0-22.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.091.7168.7-14.712%
vs Similar (4)76.077.2153.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (9)87.178.4165.6+8.778%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -8.3-8.3Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -8.3-8.3Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
ShimaneSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H03/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H04/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H07/10
B League
Ryukyu
#12
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A10/10
B League
Chiba
#22
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A17/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/10
B League
Toyama
#10
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A24/10
B League
Sendai
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H31/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H01/11
B League
83.4Avg total
38.5Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.882.8-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.142.882.9-2.733%-
Last 30 away (12)39.942.782.6-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.544.983.4-6.410%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.085.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.343.478.6-8.118%-
vs Similar (16)42.642.084.6+0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.044.788.7-0.733%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#7
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#11
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#8
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#15
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
30-61
30
61
-31
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/11
B League
85.9Avg total
38.1Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.484.7-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.845.183.9-6.320%-
Last 30 away (15)43.941.785.5+2.267%-
Last 10 (10)38.147.885.9-9.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.453.091.4-14.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.846.785.5-7.924%-
vs Similar (4)42.537.279.8+5.275%-
vs Weaker (9)45.739.885.4+5.967%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.9
53.8%
53.7%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.2
35.1%
32.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws15.711.3
72.0%
73.7%11.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.1
51.9%
53.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.48.9
29.3%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.211.5
75.7%
73.7%11.5
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
LLLLWLLWLL
Saga
LLLLLLLWLL
#20
League position
#25
-5.0
Net rating
-21.3
93.0
Offensive rating
88.1
98.0
Defensive rating
109.5
53.2%
Effective FG%
48.3%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
15.3%
Turnover %
11.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.1%
3-point %
29.3%
62.5%
Assist %
59.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 88.1Defence98.0 · 109.5Shooting53.2% · 48.3%3-point %35.1% · 29.3%Ball care15.3% · 11.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Shimane   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Shimane wins
7
Saga wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Shimane v Saga80-77
14/03/26Shimane v Saga91-96
28/01/26Saga v Shimane95-88
15/10/25Shimane v Saga79-87
19/04/25Saga v Shimane66-82
18/04/25Saga v Shimane80-61
26/03/25Saga v Shimane87-73
11/12/24Shimane v Saga85-55
27/03/24Shimane v Saga64-66
20/12/23Saga v Shimane80-77
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HHiroshima D.73-74
31/10/26HHiroshima D.88-95
26/10/26HSendai85-86
24/10/26AToyama79-82
19/10/26HBrave Thunders80-69
17/10/26AChiba78-97
10/10/26ARyukyu69-90
07/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido95-83
04/10/26HDiamond Dolphins80-90
03/10/26HDiamond Dolphins73-85
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa78-84
31/10/26ASeaHorses Mikawa83-100
26/10/26HAlvark88-112
21/10/26HNagasaki66-84
18/10/26AKyoto70-115
16/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido90-109
12/10/26HGunma61-72
10/10/26AKobe84-77
08/10/26AAlvark74-90
04/10/26HNeoPhoenix89-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWWLLL29%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%29%40%
Points / game81.282.080.0
Allowed / game82.883.182.2
Point differential-1.6-1.1-2.2
Avg total163.9165.1162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %8%0%20%
Points / game76.375.477.8
Allowed / game94.094.593.2
Point differential-17.7-19.1-15.4
Avg total170.3169.9171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins10100100%92.573.6+18.9
2 Hiroshima D.1312192%91.279.6+11.5
3 SeaHorses Mikawa108280%90.578.2+12.3
4 Alvark1411379%95.483.1+12.3
5 NeoPhoenix97278%87.380.7+6.7
6 Sendai1410471%85.680.0+5.6
7 Gunma139469%81.872.8+8.9
8 Kyoto128467%84.676.8+7.8
9 Tokyo Sunrockers149564%89.479.3+10.1
10 Toyama138562%83.785.7-2.0
11 Levanga Hokkaido127558%95.294.0+1.2
12 Ryukyu137654%85.182.2+2.8
13 Yokohama147750%79.183.1-4.1
14 Ibaraki Robots146843%83.679.6+4.0
15 Nagasaki146843%77.080.3-3.3
16 Shiga125742%85.589.3-3.8
17 Utsunomiya Brex135838%81.285.2-4.0
18 Shinshu145936%83.285.9-2.7
19 Altiri Chiba145936%80.186.2-6.1
20 Shimane124833%81.282.8-1.6
21 Brave Thunders134931%79.384.2-4.8
22 Chiba134931%90.597.0-6.5
23 Akita134931%78.986.7-7.8
24 Kobe1331023%78.986.1-7.2
25 Saga131128%76.394.0-17.7
26 Osaka131128%67.890.2-22.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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