Siauliai vs Neptunas Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 29 Apr 2020

Tip-off: 15:30

Scheduled

Position#8

Record7-17

FormLLLWL

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game85.2

Siauliai

Neptunas

Position#4

Record14-10

FormWWWLW

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game80.5

LKL

Domestic2019-20

Meetings · Siauliai v Neptunas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Neptunas win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siauliai

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CBet

76-85

-9

A29/12

LKL

Lietkabelis

71-80

-9

H02/01

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

71-73

-2

H05/01

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

97-84

+13

H10/01

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

86-83

A19/01

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

73-80

-7

A25/01

LKL

Rytas

75-96

-21

A01/02

LKL

CBet

74-87

-13

H09/02

LKL

Nevezis

91-75

+16

H01/03

LKL

Neptunas

70-90

-20

A08/03

LKL

19-30

14-20

20-15

23-20

12-23

21-11

22-24

16-22

4-14

24-20

23-16

20-23

26-25

26-19

23-22

22-18

17-23

26-14

20-20

23-26

13-17

29-23

19-21

12-19

17-19

12-30

18-25

28-22

14-23

23-16

22-23

15-25

23-18

20-17

22-18

26-22

15-34

15-12

24-19

16-25

161.7Avg total

78.4Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	78.8	85.2	164.0	-6.4	29%
Season at home (11)	80.3	83.4	163.6	-3.1	36%
Season away (13)	77.6	86.8	164.4	-9.2	23%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	83.3	161.7	-4.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	85.6	162.2	-9.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	77.0	92.1	169.1	-15.1	12%
vs Similar (13)	83.2	82.3	165.5	+0.9	46%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

93-70

+23

H23/12

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

77-80

-3

A28/12

LKL

CBet

86-73

+13

H04/01

LKL

Lietkabelis

64-102

102

-38

A11/01

LKL

Rytas

69-92

-23

A18/01

LKL

CBet

95-85

+10

A01/02

LKL

Juventus

115-89

115

+26

H08/02

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

78-73

H26/02

LKL

Lietkabelis

78-84

-6

H29/02

LKL

Siauliai

90-70

+20

H08/03

LKL

25-16

29-18

21-23

18-13

22-22

12-15

19-24

24-19

20-20

22-16

16-19

28-18

14-30

21-22

14-32

15-18

16-21

22-27

18-30

13-14

25-18

15-26

33-20

22-21

21-23

33-20

26-30

35-16

20-15

23-15

16-21

19-22

27-22

14-18

22-21

15-23

34-15

12-15

19-24

25-16

166.3Avg total

84.5Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	83.7	80.5	164.2	+3.2	58%
Season at home (13)	85.7	77.2	162.8	+8.5	77%
Season away (11)	81.4	84.5	165.9	-3.2	36%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	81.8	166.3	+2.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	91.2	80.2	171.4	+11.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	78.3	88.5	166.8	-10.2	17%
vs Similar (3)	73.3	86.7	160.0	-13.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	87.3	77.0	164.4	+10.3	76%

This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SiauliaiNeptunas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	22.4	41.6	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	20.9	38.6	-3.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	23.6	44.2	-3.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	22.6	38.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	22.2	38.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.2	24.6	43.8	-5.4	12%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	18.2	40.8	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	22.1	42.6	-1.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	18.6	44.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.2	21.3	37.5	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.1	19.5	42.6	+3.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	22.7	43.3	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	22.4	43.3	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	23.1	43.3	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.3	22.8	43.1	-2.5	29%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.6	41.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.0	22.7	44.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.5	19.1	41.7	+3.4	67%	-

SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CBet

33-50

-17

A29/12

LKL

Lietkabelis

33-34

-1

H02/01

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

28-34

-6

H05/01

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

52-44

H10/01

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

43-37

A19/01

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

42-40

A25/01

LKL

Rytas

29-49

-20

A01/02

LKL

CBet

37-39

-2

H09/02

LKL

Nevezis

43-35

H01/03

LKL

Neptunas

30-46

-16

A08/03

LKL

77.8Avg total

37.0Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	45.1	84.9	-5.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	43.3	81.9	-4.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	46.7	87.6	-5.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	40.8	77.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	41.8	78.0	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	39.5	47.4	86.9	-7.8	18%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.2	42.2	82.4	-1.9	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

54-34

+20

H23/12

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

34-37

-3

A28/12

LKL

CBet

42-36

H04/01

LKL

Lietkabelis

35-52

-17

A11/01

LKL

Rytas

38-48

-10

A18/01

LKL

CBet

40-44

-4

A01/02

LKL

Juventus

54-43

+11

H08/02

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

43-30

+13

H26/02

LKL

Lietkabelis

41-40

H29/02

LKL

Siauliai

46-30

+16

H08/03

LKL

82.1Avg total

42.7Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	40.2	83.6	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.0	37.9	82.9	+7.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.7	42.7	84.4	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	39.4	82.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	37.4	82.2	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.2	44.0	82.2	-5.8	17%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.7	43.3	82.0	-4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	45.7	38.6	84.3	+7.0	81%	-

This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	22.8	43.5	-2.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	20.2	38.9	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.3	41.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.9	23.6	42.5	-4.7	29%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.5	18.6	39.2	+1.9	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.1	41.0	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	21.7	41.8	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	24.4	44.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.2	46.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	25.2	42.8	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.3	23.0	42.3	-3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	21.3	42.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.6	21.1	39.7	-2.5	29%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+0.9	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	17.1	38.8	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.5	19.3	41.8	+3.2	67%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.3	20.3	35.7	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.1	18.7	39.9	+2.4	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	42.7	82.6	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.3	44.1	86.4	-1.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	41.6	79.3	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	42.5	83.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	43.8	84.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	37.5	44.7	82.2	-7.2	24%	-
vs Similar (13)	43.0	40.2	83.2	+2.8	69%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	40.1	80.8	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	38.8	80.6	+3.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	41.7	81.1	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	42.4	84.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	42.8	89.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.2	44.5	84.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	34.7	43.3	78.0	-8.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	41.7	38.4	80.1	+3.2	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	15.0	50.0%	55.4%	30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	10.0	37.0%	35.5%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	16.0	13.0	81.2%	73.8%	13.0

They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Siauliai wins

Neptunas wins

Date	Game	Score
08/03/20	Neptunas v Siauliai	90-70
17/11/19	Siauliai v Neptunas	95-102
05/10/19	Neptunas v Siauliai	90-94
05/05/19	Neptunas v Siauliai	96-75
26/01/19	Siauliai v Neptunas	103-106 OT
23/12/18	Neptunas v Siauliai	80-76
27/10/18	Siauliai v Neptunas	88-98
14/04/18	Siauliai v Neptunas	77-76
01/03/18	Neptunas v Siauliai	71-78
04/01/18	Neptunas v Siauliai	84-79

Siauliailast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	A	Neptunas	70-90
01/03/20	H	Nevezis	91-75
09/02/20	H	CBet	74-87
01/02/20	A	Rytas	75-96
25/01/20	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	73-80
19/01/20	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	86-83
10/01/20	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	97-84
05/01/20	H	Alytaus Dzukija	71-73
02/01/20	H	Lietkabelis	71-80
29/12/19	A	CBet	76-85

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	H	Siauliai	90-70
29/02/20	H	Lietkabelis	78-84
26/02/20	H	Alytaus Dzukija	78-73
08/02/20	H	Juventus	115-89
01/02/20	A	CBet	95-85
18/01/20	A	Rytas	69-92
11/01/20	A	Lietkabelis	64-102
04/01/20	H	CBet	86-73
28/12/19	A	Alytaus Dzukija	77-80
23/12/19	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	93-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai

LKL 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	29%
Home	LLWLW	36%
Away	LWLLL	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	11	13
Win %	29%	36%	23%
Points / game	78.8	80.3	77.6
Allowed / game	85.2	83.4	86.8
Point differential	-6.4	-3.1	-9.2
Avg total	164.0	163.6	164.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	36%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Neptunas

LKL 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	58%
Home	WWWLW	77%
Away	LLLLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	13	11
Win %	58%	77%	36%
Points / game	83.7	85.7	81.4
Allowed / game	80.5	77.2	84.5
Point differential	+3.2	+8.5	-3.2
Avg total	164.2	162.8	165.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	46%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	67% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	24	22	2	92%	89.0	70.0	+19.0
2	Rytas	24	17	7	71%	84.7	75.5	+9.2
3	Lietkabelis	24	16	8	67%	78.3	72.5	+5.8
4	Neptunas	24	14	10	58%	83.7	80.5	+3.2
5	Juventus	24	13	11	54%	80.2	81.7	-1.5
6	CBet	24	11	13	46%	73.7	79.4	-5.7
7	Pieno Zvaigzdes	24	8	16	33%	77.5	83.0	-5.5
8	Siauliai	24	7	17	29%	78.8	85.2	-6.4
9	Nevezis	24	6	18	25%	74.4	82.9	-8.5
10	Alytaus Dzukija	24	6	18	25%	71.2	80.8	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Siauliai vs Neptunas Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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