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Siauliai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:10
Final 81-90
14-21 22-35 22-16 23-18
Position#4
Record11-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Position#3
Record11-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game91.7
LithuaniaLKL· Siauliu arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Siauliai v Neptunas
29 Apr 2027
SIA v NEP
upcoming
05 Dec 2026
SIA v NEP
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
SIA81
NEP90
02 Nov 2025
SIA89
NEP85
22 Mar 2025
SIA91
NEP78
19 Oct 2024
SIA108
NEP103
02 Oct 2024
SIA102
NEP82
05 May 2024
SIA104
NEP98
24 Sep 2023
SIA90
NEP82
15 Apr 2023
SIA87
NEP89
06 Dec 2022
SIA61
NEP60
21 Mar 2022
SIA84
NEP87
15 Feb 2022
SIA75
NEP77
21 Mar 2021
SIA99
NEP68
07 Jan 2021
SIA76
NEP91
08 Nov 2020
SIA93
NEP88
29 Apr 2020
SIA v NEP
upcoming
17 Nov 2019
SIA95
NEP102
26 Jan 2019
SIA103
NEP106
27 Oct 2018
SIA88
NEP98
14 Apr 2018
SIA77
NEP76
21 Sep 2017
SIA73
NEP82
18 Mar 2017
SIA65
NEP100
06 Nov 2016
SIA62
NEP110
06 May 2016
SIA86
NEP87
01 May 2016
SIA93
NEP84
13 Apr 2016
SIA79
NEP74
07 Nov 2015
SIA68
NEP75
19 Mar 2015
SIA67
NEP88
02 Oct 2014
SIA80
NEP90
07 May 2014
SIA95
NEP66
15 Apr 2014
SIA90
NEP79
06 Feb 2013
SIA81
NEP82
21 Apr 2012
SIA102
NEP92
16 Apr 2012
SIA89
NEP74
06 Oct 2011
SIA85
NEP76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
82-97
82
97
-15
65avg 81
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
W
103-101
103
101
+2
105avg 81
A28/12
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
98-95
98
95
+3
90avg 81
H03/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
61avg 81
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
94-99
94
99
-5
no box
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
85-79
85
79
+6
82avg 81
A25/01
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
89avg 81
H31/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
83-73
83
73
+10
75avg 81
H08/02
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
100avg 81
H15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
71avg 81
A18/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
17-27
24-19
16-19
26-33
29-15
18-20
30-33
26-19
20-25
25-21
27-30
20-17
14-15
17-19
20-24
22-19
22-33
26-23
24-24
27-19
24-19
16-22
18-19
22-17
15-28
24-13
18-21
23-14
23-6
21-28
16-25
23-22
28-18
28-17
18-33
17-17
24-22
19-24
17-12
178.4Avg total
89.2Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.688.6176.2-1.058%
Season at home (10)90.388.3178.6+2.060%
Season away (9)84.688.9173.4-4.356%
Last 10 (10)89.289.2178.4+0.060%
Last 5 (5)88.885.0173.8+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)86.794.5181.3-7.827%
vs Similar (13)87.287.0174.2+0.262%
vs Weaker (6)89.287.2176.3+2.067%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
96-97
96
97
-1
88avg 83
A21/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
97-87
97
87
+10
94avg 83
H24/01
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
98-92
98
92
+6
96avg 83
H28/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
95-87
95
87
+8
92avg 83
H31/01
LKL
Aris
#13
L
64-83
64
83
-19
55avg 83
A04/02
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
67avg 83
A08/02
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
74avg 83
H11/02
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
95-100
95
100
-5
85avg 83
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
81-119
81
119
-38
70avg 83
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-94
73
94
-21
38avg 83
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
29-24
20-16
23-35
29-23
17-21
24-19
27-24
33-25
21-30
23-17
21-20
30-19
22-26
23-22
20-20
21-21
13-19
8-25
22-18
27-19
10-32
18-20
21-16
21-30
24-20
22-20
19-21
23-31
22-25
24-21
26-23
22-31
22-25
20-35
17-28
24-16
12-31
21-24
16-23
179.8Avg total
86.1Scored
93.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)95.691.7187.2+3.961%
Season at home (8)97.687.8185.4+9.975%
Season away (10)93.994.8188.7-0.950%
Last 10 (10)86.193.7179.8-7.630%
Last 5 (5)82.298.2180.4-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)88.6101.8190.3-13.225%
vs Similar (9)89.886.3176.1+3.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)101.191.2192.3+9.978%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
SiauliaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A28/12
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H03/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A25/01
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H31/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H08/02
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A18/02
LKL
86.4Avg total
44.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.044.988.9-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.542.286.8+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)43.448.091.4-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.786.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.236.481.6+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.150.292.3-8.127%-
vs Similar (13)44.241.585.7+2.646%-
vs Weaker (6)47.042.789.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A21/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H24/01
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H28/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H31/01
LKL
Aris
#13
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A04/02
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A08/02
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H11/02
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
93.6Avg total
44.6Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.148.094.0-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.447.694.0-1.336%-
Last 30 away (16)45.848.294.1-2.456%-
Last 10 (10)44.649.093.6-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.452.093.4-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)45.152.297.3-7.225%-
vs Similar (9)45.945.090.9+0.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)47.645.292.8+2.367%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.7
58.4%
55.4%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.6
33.7%
35.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.717.2
75.8%
74.3%17.2
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.516.9
53.7%
55.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.0
35.1%
35.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws24.719.3
78.1%
74.3%19.3
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siauliai
WWWLWLLWWL
Neptunas
LLLLLLWWWL
#4
League position
#3
+3.9
Net rating
-7.3
110.0
Offensive rating
101.2
106.1
Defensive rating
108.5
55.4%
Effective FG%
53.2%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
61.2%
14.0%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.41
33.7%
3-point %
35.1%
56.0%
Assist %
68.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 101.2Defence106.1 · 108.5Shooting55.4% · 53.2%3-point %33.7% · 35.1%Ball care14.0% · 14.4%Off. rebounds40.3% · -Free throws0.34 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Siauliai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Siauliai wins
1
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
28/12/25Neptunas v Siauliai101-103
02/11/25Siauliai v Neptunas89-85
27/04/25Neptunas v Siauliai90-95
22/03/25Siauliai v Neptunas91-78
25/01/25Neptunas v Siauliai80-90
27/11/24Neptunas v Siauliai101-104 OT
19/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas108-103 OT
02/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas102-82
05/05/24Siauliai v Neptunas104-98
11/03/24Neptunas v Siauliai85-76
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26ALietkabelis77-75
15/02/26HJuventus97-90
08/02/26HGargzdai83-73
31/01/26HJuventus102-108 OT
25/01/26AJonava85-79
15/01/26ARytas94-99
11/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas71-75
03/01/26HNevezis98-95
28/12/25ANeptunas103-101
23/12/25HRytas82-97
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HLietkabelis73-94
21/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas81-119
14/02/26ARytas95-100
11/02/26HBahcesehir Kol.86-91
08/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas76-87
04/02/26AAris64-83
31/01/26HRytas95-87
28/01/26HHapoel Jerusalem98-92
24/01/26HLietkabelis97-87
21/01/26AManresa96-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game87.690.384.6
Allowed / game88.688.388.9
Point differential-1.0+2.0-4.3
Avg total176.2178.6173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL61%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %61%75%50%
Points / game95.697.693.9
Allowed / game91.787.894.8
Point differential+3.9+9.9-0.9
Avg total187.2185.4188.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2019195%90.175.2+14.9
2 Rytas1912763%91.883.7+8.1
3 Neptunas1811761%95.691.7+3.9
4 Siauliai1911858%87.688.6-1.0
5 Lietkabelis1991047%83.882.3+1.6
6 Juventus1981142%87.488.3-0.9
7 Gargzdai2081240%82.087.1-5.2
8 Nevezis2061430%81.290.0-8.8
9 Jonava2031715%85.497.2-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siauliai1422222381
Neptunas2135161890
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