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Siauliai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 102-82
18-17 20-26 29-23 35-16
Position#8
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Siauliai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas
Lithuania
Position#2
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Siauliu arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Siauliai v Neptunas
29 Apr 2027
SIA v NEP
upcoming
05 Dec 2026
SIA v NEP
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
SIA81
NEP90
02 Nov 2025
SIA89
NEP85
22 Mar 2025
SIA91
NEP78
19 Oct 2024
SIA108
NEP103
02 Oct 2024
SIA102
NEP82
05 May 2024
SIA104
NEP98
24 Sep 2023
SIA90
NEP82
15 Apr 2023
SIA87
NEP89
06 Dec 2022
SIA61
NEP60
21 Mar 2022
SIA84
NEP87
15 Feb 2022
SIA75
NEP77
21 Mar 2021
SIA99
NEP68
07 Jan 2021
SIA76
NEP91
08 Nov 2020
SIA93
NEP88
29 Apr 2020
SIA v NEP
upcoming
17 Nov 2019
SIA95
NEP102
26 Jan 2019
SIA103
NEP106
27 Oct 2018
SIA88
NEP98
14 Apr 2018
SIA77
NEP76
21 Sep 2017
SIA73
NEP82
18 Mar 2017
SIA65
NEP100
06 Nov 2016
SIA62
NEP110
06 May 2016
SIA86
NEP87
01 May 2016
SIA93
NEP84
13 Apr 2016
SIA79
NEP74
07 Nov 2015
SIA68
NEP75
19 Mar 2015
SIA67
NEP88
02 Oct 2014
SIA80
NEP90
07 May 2014
SIA95
NEP66
15 Apr 2014
SIA90
NEP79
06 Feb 2013
SIA81
NEP82
21 Apr 2012
SIA102
NEP92
16 Apr 2012
SIA89
NEP74
06 Oct 2011
SIA85
NEP76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-90
77
90
-13
66avg 79
H09/04
ENBL
Liege
#9
L
73-83
73
83
-10
80avg 79
A10/04
ENBL
Nevezis
#9
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 79
A15/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
74-83
74
83
-9
60avg 79
A18/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
93-96
93
96
-3
96avg 79
A21/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
65-91
65
91
-26
51avg 79
H27/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
104-98
104
98
+6
99avg 79
H05/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
70avg 79
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-91
63
91
-28
49avg 79
H22/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
93avg 79
A29/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
16-20
26-21
21-27
22-17
19-23
16-23
16-20
24-18
21-26
25-15
24-27
18-24
22-21
13-18
21-20
31-26
21-25
22-21
19-24
26-25
13-28
13-21
13-17
21-19
22-33
25-19
36-27
23-22
14-25
17-12
25-28
19-17
15-23
16-28
13-23
24-19
25-13
13-24
18-24
171.5Avg total
81.7Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.789.8171.5-8.130%
Last 5 (5)81.292.0173.2-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.690.9169.5-12.38%
vs Similar (10)86.082.6168.6+3.460%
vs Weaker (7)95.178.9174.0+16.3100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
77-88
77
88
-11
68avg 80
H27/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
85-86
85
86
-1
85avg 80
H01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
92avg 80
A05/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
84-91
84
91
-7
72avg 80
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
95-76
95
76
+19
96avg 80
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
66avg 80
A18/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
76avg 80
A21/09
LKL
Bilbao
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
57avg 80
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
L
59-95
59
95
-36
46avg 80
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Jonava
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
91avg 80
H29/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
18-19
10-15
22-30
15-15
31-14
21-24
18-33
19-21
33-22
19-25
27-36
22-31
20-14
21-19
21-27
30-23
23-23
26-10
16-20
16-26
15-14
26-24
23-27
19-12
17-21
22-24
32-27
19-21
12-16
15-16
20-21
24-18
12-29
15-26
8-22
24-22
27-24
19-22
20-19
170.0Avg total
82.4Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.487.6170.0-5.230%
Last 5 (5)77.086.2163.2-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.187.9169.9-5.836%
vs Similar (5)81.277.8159.0+3.4100%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.786.1171.8-0.445%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -5.5-5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -5.5-5.5
SiauliaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H09/04
ENBL
Liege
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/04
ENBL
Nevezis
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A15/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A18/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A21/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H27/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H05/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H22/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A29/09
LKL
85.6Avg total
41.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.043.587.5+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.244.686.8-2.435%-
Last 30 away (13)46.442.188.5+4.369%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.685.6-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.885.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.147.588.6-6.515%-
vs Similar (10)44.641.686.2+3.070%-
vs Weaker (7)48.638.787.3+9.986%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H27/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A05/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A18/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A21/09
LKL
Bilbao
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Jonava
#5
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/09
LKL
83.2Avg total
42.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.881.7+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.741.483.1+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)40.140.080.1+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.983.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.677.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.640.580.1-0.936%-
vs Similar (5)41.639.280.8+2.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.441.884.2+0.555%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.9
53.8%
55.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.2
30.5%
36.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.216.5
74.3%
74.4%16.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.4
53.8%
55.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.2
33.5%
36.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.412.8
66.0%
74.4%12.8
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siauliai
WLLWLLLWLL
Neptunas
WLLWLWLLLL
#8
League position
#2
-9.3
Net rating
-7.5
104.9
Offensive rating
105.6
114.2
Defensive rating
113.2
50.9%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.2%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.5%
3-point %
33.5%
54.0%
Assist %
64.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 105.6Defence114.2 · 113.2Shooting50.9% · 52.3%3-point %30.5% · 33.5%Ball care18.8% · 18.2%Off. rebounds32.9% · 28.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Siauliai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Siauliai wins
6
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
05/05/24Siauliai v Neptunas104-98
11/03/24Neptunas v Siauliai85-76
24/09/23Siauliai v Neptunas90-82
15/04/23Siauliai v Neptunas87-89
06/03/23Neptunas v Siauliai93-79
06/12/22Siauliai v Neptunas61-60
21/03/22Siauliai v Neptunas84-87
15/02/22Siauliai v Neptunas75-77
31/10/21Neptunas v Siauliai86-94
07/05/21Neptunas v Siauliai107-106 OT
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24AMazeikiai95-93 OT
22/09/24HZalgiris Kaunas63-91
09/05/24HLietkabelis79-87
05/05/24HNeptunas104-98
27/04/24HBC Wolves65-91
21/04/24AJuventus93-96
18/04/24ARytas74-83
15/04/24ANevezis94-86
10/04/24ALiege73-83
09/04/24HBakken Bears77-90
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24HJonava90-87
27/09/24ABilbao59-95
24/09/24HBilbao66-74
21/09/24ARytas90-84
18/05/24ABC Wolves80-91
15/05/24HBC Wolves95-76
13/05/24ABC Wolves84-91
05/05/24ASiauliai98-104
01/05/24HBC Wolves85-86
27/04/24HPieno Zvaigzdes77-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jonava110100%93.080.0+13.0
2 Juventus110100%86.073.0+13.0
3 Mazeikiai1010%73.086.0-13.0
4 Nevezis1010%80.093.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siauliai18202935102
Neptunas1726231682
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