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Siauliai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 84-87
22-21 23-24 17-22 22-20
Position#7
Record12-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#5
Record9-13
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game80.6
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Siauliai v Neptunas
29 Apr 2027
SIA v NEP
upcoming
05 Dec 2026
SIA v NEP
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
SIA81
NEP90
02 Nov 2025
SIA89
NEP85
22 Mar 2025
SIA91
NEP78
19 Oct 2024
SIA108
NEP103
02 Oct 2024
SIA102
NEP82
05 May 2024
SIA104
NEP98
24 Sep 2023
SIA90
NEP82
15 Apr 2023
SIA87
NEP89
06 Dec 2022
SIA61
NEP60
21 Mar 2022
SIA84
NEP87
15 Feb 2022
SIA75
NEP77
21 Mar 2021
SIA99
NEP68
07 Jan 2021
SIA76
NEP91
08 Nov 2020
SIA93
NEP88
29 Apr 2020
SIA v NEP
upcoming
17 Nov 2019
SIA95
NEP102
26 Jan 2019
SIA103
NEP106
27 Oct 2018
SIA88
NEP98
14 Apr 2018
SIA77
NEP76
21 Sep 2017
SIA73
NEP82
18 Mar 2017
SIA65
NEP100
06 Nov 2016
SIA62
NEP110
06 May 2016
SIA86
NEP87
01 May 2016
SIA93
NEP84
13 Apr 2016
SIA79
NEP74
07 Nov 2015
SIA68
NEP75
19 Mar 2015
SIA67
NEP88
02 Oct 2014
SIA80
NEP90
07 May 2014
SIA95
NEP66
15 Apr 2014
SIA90
NEP79
06 Feb 2013
SIA81
NEP82
21 Apr 2012
SIA102
NEP92
16 Apr 2012
SIA89
NEP74
06 Oct 2011
SIA85
NEP76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
82-63
82
63
+19
no box
H18/01
ENBL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
90-108
90
108
-18
78avg 77
A31/01
LKL
Valmiera Glass Via
#7
W
92-85
92
85
+7
no box
A02/02
ENBL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
80avg 77
A05/02
LKL
Anwil Wloclawek
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
no box
H10/02
ENBL
Neptunas
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
60avg 77
H15/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
71-76
71
76
-5
no box
H20/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
W
79-62
79
62
+17
79avg 77
A06/03
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
79-66
79
66
+13
73avg 77
A12/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
9-26
32-12
22-5
30-24
14-29
19-24
27-31
21-26
21-17
25-20
25-22
25-15
17-21
22-28
12-23
22-28
17-22
18-26
20-24
19-15
17-28
11-16
28-18
17-27
21-18
11-16
19-19
16-23
18-14
19-13
18-26
17-26
20-16
26-12
16-8
26-12
21-24
18-17
14-13
159.3Avg total
78.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.780.8162.5+0.957%
Season at home (10)83.081.7164.7+1.360%
Season away (11)80.580.0160.5+0.555%
Last 10 (10)78.980.4159.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)74.472.2146.6+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.390.0164.3-15.70%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.881.2169.1+6.669%
vs Weaker (10)92.883.2176.0+9.680%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-80
80
80
+0
no box
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
70-85
70
85
-15
60avg 77
H19/01
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
75-87
75
87
-12
70avg 77
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
A27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
56avg 77
H30/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
no box
H03/02
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
73-63
73
63
+10
70avg 77
A07/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
78avg 77
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-83
73
83
-10
70avg 77
H05/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
76avg 77
A14/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
16-24
19-14
22-18
20-23
19-18
13-23
18-21
7-21
24-22
20-25
24-19
13-21
17-18
15-20
19-17
16-25
21-16
13-18
10-18
26-18
20-18
20-25
22-21
23-15
22-12
8-20
20-16
15-19
28-17
16-11
18-28
16-26
21-17
16-21
20-19
20-28
25-18
10-11
24-25
152.9Avg total
73.9Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.780.6157.3-4.041%
Season at home (11)75.884.0159.8-8.227%
Season away (11)77.577.3154.8+0.355%
Last 10 (10)73.979.0152.9-5.130%
Last 5 (5)78.077.0155.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.186.9156.0-17.70%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.378.9156.2-1.640%
vs Weaker (13)84.877.4162.2+7.477%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
SiauliaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H18/01
ENBL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A31/01
LKL
Valmiera Glass Via
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A02/02
ENBL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/02
LKL
Anwil Wloclawek
#2
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H10/02
ENBL
Neptunas
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H15/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H20/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A06/03
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A12/03
LKL
81.8Avg total
38.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.585.9+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.543.285.8-0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)44.441.786.1+2.757%-
Last 10 (10)38.743.181.8-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.679.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.345.182.4-7.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.541.286.7+4.469%-
vs Weaker (10)44.942.587.4+2.450%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H19/01
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H30/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/02
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A07/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A14/03
LKL
79.2Avg total
39.2Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.078.9+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.538.578.0+1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)40.439.579.9+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.079.2-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.680.8+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.442.678.0-7.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.740.079.7-0.340%-
vs Weaker (13)42.636.278.8+6.469%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.2
52.1%
53.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.8
34.9%
33.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.513.8
74.6%
73.1%13.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.6
59.2%
53.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.46.0
30.9%
33.8%18.0
🏀 Free throws17.711.9
67.2%
73.1%11.9
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siauliai
WWLLLLLWLW
Neptunas
LLWWWLLLLL
#7
League position
#5
-1.4
Net rating
-6.1
106.0
Offensive rating
103.5
107.5
Defensive rating
109.6
52.2%
Effective FG%
54.7%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
19.1%
Turnover %
24.5%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.9%
3-point %
30.9%
65.2%
Assist %
59.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 103.5Defence107.5 · 109.6Shooting52.2% · 54.7%3-point %34.9% · 30.9%Ball care19.1% · 24.5%Off. rebounds28.0% · 34.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Siauliai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Siauliai wins
5
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
15/02/22Siauliai v Neptunas75-77
31/10/21Neptunas v Siauliai86-94
07/05/21Neptunas v Siauliai107-106 OT
21/03/21Siauliai v Neptunas99-68
17/01/21Neptunas v Siauliai77-88
10/01/21Neptunas v Siauliai88-94
07/01/21Siauliai v Neptunas76-91
08/11/20Siauliai v Neptunas93-88
08/03/20Neptunas v Siauliai90-70
17/11/19Siauliai v Neptunas95-102
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/22ANevezis79-66
06/03/22AJonava79-62
20/02/22HRytas71-76
19/02/22AZalgiris Kaunas68-80
15/02/22HNeptunas75-77
10/02/22HAnwil Wloclawek77-100
05/02/22ALietkabelis76-87
02/02/22AValmiera Glass Via92-85
31/01/22APieno Zvaigzdes90-108
18/01/22HTartu Ulikool82-63
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/22AJuventus79-82
05/03/22HLietkabelis73-83
15/02/22ASiauliai77-75
07/02/22APrienai73-63
03/02/22HPrienai88-82
30/01/22HZalgiris Kaunas60-77
27/01/22AJuventus64-76
24/01/22HJonava75-87
19/01/22HAlytaus Dzukija70-85
15/01/22ALietkabelis80-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%60%55%
Points / game81.783.080.5
Allowed / game80.881.780.0
Point differential+0.9+1.3+0.5
Avg total162.5164.7160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL41%
HomeLLLWL27%
AwayWLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%27%55%
Points / game76.775.877.5
Allowed / game80.684.077.3
Point differential-4.0-8.2+0.3
Avg total157.3159.8154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2322196%87.774.1+13.6
2 Rytas2320387%90.274.6+15.7
3 Lietkabelis2419579%84.374.0+10.2
4 Siauliai2112957%81.780.8+0.9
5 Juventus22111150%84.483.4+1.0
6 Jonava23101343%76.681.5-4.9
7 Neptunas2291341%76.780.6-4.0
8 Alytaus Dzukija2181338%75.880.8-5.0
9 Nevezis2251723%79.087.9-8.9
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2241818%78.487.1-8.7
11 Prienai2332013%75.887.4-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siauliai2223172284
Neptunas2124222087
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