Siena vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 91-67

27-14 25-10 16-20 23-23

Position#2

Record15-8

FormWWWLW

Points / game75.1

Allowed / game68.6

Siena 🏆

Avellino

Position#12

Record10-13

FormWLLLL

Points / game75.1

Allowed / game79.5

Lega ARound 24

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Siena v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

89-80

A08/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

73-80

-7

A09/02

Italian Cup

Khimki M.

73-85

-12

A12/02

Eurocup

Pesaro

#15

80-70

+10

H16/02

Lega A

Nymburk

#32

86-84

H19/02

Eurocup

Venezia

#11

71-66

A23/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

78-50

+28

A02/03

Lega A

Cantu

68-62

H08/03

Lega A

Pistoia

76-77

-1

A16/03

Lega A

Stony Brook

#15

66-55

+11

H18/03

CBI

20-10

24-25

20-20

25-25

14-18

14-27

25-16

20-19

13-18

17-22

28-19

15-26

24-16

14-16

23-14

19-24

21-17

26-23

22-17

17-27

17-14

15-19

18-12

21-21

13-17

23-11

26-5

16-17

18-19

22-17

9-13

19-13

13-24

23-17

14-23

26-13

0-0

31-34

0-0

35-21

146.9Avg total

76.0Scored

70.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	75.1	68.6	143.7	+6.6	65%
Season at home (11)	79.1	68.8	147.9	+10.3	91%
Season away (12)	71.5	68.3	139.8	+3.2	42%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	70.9	146.9	+5.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	62.0	133.8	+9.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	71.7	79.3	151.0	-7.7	0%
vs Similar (12)	72.1	70.8	142.9	+1.2	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	73.6	68.7	142.3	+4.9	62%

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

103-92

103

+11

H05/01

Lega A

Reggiana

73-96

-23

A11/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

82-88

-6

A19/01

Lega A

Pistoia

75-70

H26/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

80-72

A02/02

Lega A

Varese

#10

83-63

+20

H16/02

Lega A

Cantu

59-77

-18

H23/02

Lega A

Caserta

57-76

-19

A02/03

Lega A

Sassari

68-75

-7

H08/03

Lega A

Cremona

#14

75-83

-8

A16/03

Lega A

24-22

29-18

21-24

29-28

8-32

25-29

21-22

19-13

19-17

22-24

20-23

21-24

21-17

22-15

16-17

16-21

28-19

22-17

11-24

19-12

25-12

12-16

19-18

27-17

17-19

13-27

21-16

8-15

13-28

8-11

23-13

13-24

20-14

15-25

13-16

20-20

17-17

23-28

16-23

19-15

154.7Avg total

75.5Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	75.1	79.5	154.6	-4.4	43%
Season at home (11)	78.4	77.2	155.5	+1.2	64%
Season away (12)	72.1	81.6	153.7	-9.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	75.5	79.2	154.7	-3.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	68.4	74.8	143.2	-6.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	70.6	79.3	149.9	-8.7	31%
vs Similar (14)	79.2	78.6	157.8	+0.6	64%
vs Weaker (3)	87.3	86.7	174.0	+0.7	33%

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SienaAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	17.0	34.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	17.5	36.5	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.5	16.5	32.0	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	15.3	30.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.2	14.8	27.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.2	16.2	33.4	+0.9	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.2	18.8	36.9	-0.6	38%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.7	20.8	38.5	-3.1	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	21.3	42.7	+0.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.7	36.5	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.7	36.7	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.6	42.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	15.3	31.7	+1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	18.2	37.5	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	17.8	16.1	33.9	+1.8	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	20.9	38.2	-3.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	21.4	35.6	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.0	20.9	38.9	-2.9	31%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.9	19.3	37.1	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.3	19.7	43.0	+3.7	67%	-

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

44-35

A08/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

28-45

-17

A09/02

Italian Cup

Khimki M.

30-40

-10

A12/02

Eurocup

Pesaro

#15

38-32

H16/02

Lega A

Nymburk

#32

47-40

H19/02

Eurocup

Venezia

#11

32-33

-1

A23/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

36-28

A02/03

Lega A

Cantu

40-36

H08/03

Lega A

Pistoia

36-41

-5

A16/03

Lega A

Stony Brook

#15

31-34

-3

H18/03

CBI

72.6Avg total

36.2Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	34.7	70.8	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.0	35.2	73.2	+2.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	34.1	68.4	+0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	36.4	72.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	34.4	69.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	33.7	34.0	67.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.4	34.5	70.9	+1.9	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	36.0	34.8	70.8	+1.2	46%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

53-40

+13

H05/01

Lega A

Reggiana

33-61

-28

A11/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

41-41

A19/01

Lega A

Pistoia

43-32

+11

H26/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

50-36

+14

A02/02

Lega A

Varese

#10

37-28

H16/02

Lega A

Cantu

30-46

-16

H23/02

Lega A

Caserta

21-39

-18

A02/03

Lega A

Sassari

35-39

-4

H08/03

Lega A

Cremona

#14

40-45

-5

A16/03

Lega A

79.0Avg total

38.3Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	39.6	77.4	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.7	38.4	78.1	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.2	40.6	76.8	-4.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	40.7	79.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	39.4	72.0	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	35.7	41.7	77.4	-6.0	31%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.4	37.3	75.7	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.7	41.0	85.7	+3.7	33%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	16.2	32.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.1	15.3	31.4	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	17.1	34.1	-0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	13.9	32.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	10.6	24.0	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	15.2	16.2	31.4	-0.9	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.5	16.7	35.2	+1.8	46%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	17.6	36.6	+1.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	20.1	39.6	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.2	35.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.0	16.8	34.8	+1.2	54%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	22.3	44.3	-0.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.2	39.2	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.7	37.7	+2.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.0	40.4	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	25.0	42.3	-7.7	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.1	17.2	36.2	+1.9	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	21.7	40.4	-3.0	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	20.2	38.8	-1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.2	35.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	15.8	20.1	35.8	-4.3	23%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	23.3	44.0	-2.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	35.4	71.9	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.2	32.9	69.1	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.8	37.9	74.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	34.5	74.3	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	27.6	64.4	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.0	45.3	83.3	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	35.7	36.3	72.0	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	37.6	33.8	71.5	+3.8	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	39.8	77.8	-1.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.8	39.3	77.1	-1.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	40.3	78.4	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	38.5	75.7	-1.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	35.4	71.2	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	33.8	36.9	70.7	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.8	41.3	82.1	-0.5	29%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.7	45.7	88.3	-3.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Siena wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
08/12/13	Avellino v Siena	75-85
01/04/13	Avellino v Siena	75-70
03/12/12	Siena v Avellino	101-65
19/04/12	Siena v Avellino	109-79
11/12/11	Avellino v Siena	77-83 OT
30/04/11	Siena v Avellino	77-82
06/01/11	Avellino v Siena	75-79
27/03/10	Siena v Avellino	91-74
29/11/09	Avellino v Siena	57-86
22/04/09	Siena v Avellino	84-68

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/14	H	Stony Brook	66-55
16/03/14	A	Pistoia	76-77
08/03/14	H	Cantu	68-62
02/03/14	A	Sutor Montegranaro	78-50
23/02/14	A	Venezia	71-66
19/02/14	H	Nymburk	86-84
16/02/14	H	Pesaro	80-70
12/02/14	A	Khimki M.	73-85
09/02/14	A	Sassari	73-80
08/02/14	A	Brindisi	89-80

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/14	A	Cremona	75-83
08/03/14	H	Sassari	68-75
02/03/14	A	Caserta	57-76
23/02/14	H	Cantu	59-77
16/02/14	H	Varese	83-63
02/02/14	A	Virtus Roma	80-72
26/01/14	H	Pistoia	75-70
19/01/14	A	Pesaro	82-88
11/01/14	A	Reggiana	73-96
05/01/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	103-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	65%
Home	LWWWW	91%
Away	LLWWL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	65%	91%	42%
Points / game	75.1	79.1	71.5
Allowed / game	68.6	68.8	68.3
Point differential	+6.6	+10.3	+3.2
Avg total	143.7	147.9	139.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	73%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	-	29% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Avellino

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	43%
Home	WWWLL	64%
Away	LLWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	43%	64%	25%
Points / game	75.1	78.4	72.1
Allowed / game	79.5	77.2	81.6
Point differential	-4.4	+1.2	-9.5
Avg total	154.6	155.5	153.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	18%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	80% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	23	18	5	78%	80.2	70.0	+10.2
2	Cantu	23	16	7	70%	81.7	77.4	+4.3
3	Brindisi	24	16	8	67%	76.8	73.7	+3.1
4	Sassari	23	15	8	65%	86.2	79.2	+7.0
5	Siena	23	15	8	65%	75.1	68.6	+6.6
6	Virtus Roma	24	15	9	62%	77.7	76.4	+1.2
7	Reggiana	23	11	12	48%	75.1	72.8	+2.3
8	Caserta	23	11	12	48%	73.0	72.3	+0.7
9	Venezia	23	10	13	43%	79.3	79.9	-0.6
10	Pistoia	23	10	13	43%	76.6	78.9	-2.3
11	Avellino	23	10	13	43%	75.1	79.5	-4.4
12	Varese	23	9	14	39%	80.3	83.0	-2.6
13	Virtus Bologna	24	9	15	38%	78.4	80.0	-1.5
14	Cremona	23	8	15	35%	75.6	81.8	-6.2
15	Sutor Montegranaro	23	7	16	30%	77.7	86.3	-8.7
16	Pesaro	24	6	18	25%	79.7	88.5	-8.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Siena	27	25	16	23	91
Avellino	14	10	20	23	67

← all games of the day

Siena vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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