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Split vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 48-83
18-21 12-22 9-22 9-18
Position#14
Record6-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#3
Record14-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game75.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 17· Dvorana KK Split
Domestic2024
Meetings · Split v Buducnost
18 Jan 2025
SPL48
BUD83
10 Feb 2024
SPL75
BUD81
05 Jan 2023
SPL87
BUD85
23 Apr 2022
SPL61
BUD72
09 Jan 2021
SPL78
BUD77
01 Dec 2012
SPL71
BUD69
10 Jan 2009
SPL64
BUD75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
85avg 78
A13/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
66avg 78
A16/12
Premijer liga
Dubai
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
71avg 78
H20/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
83-71
83
71
+12
72avg 78
H23/12
Croatian Cup
Mornar Bar
#17
W
87-73
87
73
+14
87avg 78
H27/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
82-92
82
92
-10
79avg 78
H30/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#10
L
73-77
73
77
-4
67avg 78
H03/01
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
83-55
83
55
+28
83avg 78
A05/01
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
87-92
87
92
-5
75avg 78
A11/01
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
54-59
54
59
-5
41avg 78
A16/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
19-25
21-21
24-10
27-15
7-23
22-21
19-19
22-24
20-15
22-20
10-22
25-15
19-13
27-21
12-22
17-18
17-23
24-14
29-18
16-19
21-28
22-23
23-22
17-21
21-19
21-16
14-21
27-11
19-11
17-10
20-23
14-28
19-21
27-21
27-22
12-21
18-13
18-15
6-10
156.5Avg total
78.9Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.883.0161.8-4.238%
Season at home (9)80.680.2160.8+0.356%
Season away (7)76.486.6163.0-10.114%
Last 10 (10)78.977.6156.5+1.330%
Last 5 (5)75.875.0150.8+0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.086.9163.9-9.922%
vs Similar (6)75.076.5151.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (14)89.973.7163.6+16.279%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
L
71-82
71
82
-11
60avg 82
A11/12
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
W
97-90
97
90
+7
90avg 82
A15/12
ABA League
Trento
#16
W
110-108 OT
110
108
+2
112avg 82
H18/12
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
97-87
97
87
+10
94avg 82
H22/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
91-88
91
88
+3
81avg 82
A28/12
ABA League
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
81-69
81
69
+12
78avg 82
A02/01
Eurocup
Dubai
#4
W
89-78
89
78
+11
82avg 82
H05/01
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
87avg 82
A08/01
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#17
W
110-79
110
79
+31
114avg 82
H12/01
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
84-83
84
83
+1
76avg 82
H15/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-21
16-22
26-24
20-15
22-24
32-22
23-22
20-22
24-25
23-24
30-22
18-24
26-25
29-17
24-28
18-17
18-22
27-18
12-22
34-26
26-16
19-19
22-14
14-20
26-26
20-15
16-20
27-17
21-17
20-20
17-24
24-21
33-9
27-21
23-18
27-31
24-27
25-23
11-17
24-16
178.2Avg total
92.3Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)90.375.6165.9+14.788%
Season at home (9)90.378.0168.3+12.378%
Season away (7)90.372.6162.9+17.7100%
Last 10 (10)92.385.9178.2+6.480%
Last 5 (5)91.480.8172.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.290.4174.6-6.240%
vs Similar (8)86.585.6172.1+0.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.977.5167.4+12.488%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
SplitBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A13/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A16/12
Premijer liga
Dubai
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H20/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H23/12
Croatian Cup
Mornar Bar
#17
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H27/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H30/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#10
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H03/01
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
46-22
46
22
+24
A05/01
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A11/01
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A16/01
Premijer liga
76.6Avg total
37.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.480.3+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.337.379.7+5.053%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.580.9-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.076.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.475.2-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.744.983.6-6.233%-
vs Similar (6)35.238.373.5-3.217%-
vs Weaker (14)44.437.281.6+7.257%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A11/12
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A15/12
ABA League
Trento
#16
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H18/12
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H22/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A28/12
ABA League
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A02/01
Eurocup
Dubai
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H05/01
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A08/01
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#17
W
60-30
60
30
+30
H12/01
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H15/01
Eurocup
88.0Avg total
46.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.639.284.8+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.639.587.1+8.282%-
Last 30 away (13)43.038.881.8+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)46.741.388.0+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)48.238.686.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)46.244.891.0+1.460%-
vs Similar (8)42.140.282.4+1.975%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.137.084.1+10.182%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.6
55.1%
54.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.4
30.0%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.714.7
78.6%
75.6%14.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.421.7
59.6%
54.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.8
40.6%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.415.7
73.4%
75.6%15.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LLWLLWWLLL
Buducnost
WWLWWWWWWL
#14
League position
#3
+1.8
Net rating
+8.7
107.6
Offensive rating
120.9
105.8
Defensive rating
112.2
51.0%
Effective FG%
60.2%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.0%
3-point %
40.6%
67.5%
Assist %
61.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 120.9Defence105.8 · 112.2Shooting51.0% · 60.2%3-point %30.0% · 40.6%Ball care14.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds24.9% · 28.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Split   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Split wins
8
Buducnost wins
DateGameScore
28/09/24Buducnost v Split97-75
10/02/24Split v Buducnost75-81
11/11/23Buducnost v Split72-58
05/01/23Split v Buducnost87-85
02/10/22Buducnost v Split94-59
23/04/22Split v Buducnost61-72
10/10/21Buducnost v Split75-66
09/01/21Split v Buducnost78-77
03/10/20Buducnost v Split84-59
09/03/13Buducnost v Split66-47
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25AZadar54-59
11/01/25AIgokea87-92
05/01/25AGKK Sibenka83-55
03/01/25HZadar73-77
30/12/24HCedevita Junior82-92
27/12/24HMornar Bar87-73
23/12/24HGKK Sibenka83-71
20/12/24HDubai74-81
16/12/24AKvarner75-78
13/12/24AFMP Beograd91-98 OT
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv84-83
12/01/25HMornar Bar110-79
08/01/25ABahcesehir Kol.93-95 OT
05/01/25HDubai89-78
02/01/25ATrefl Sopot81-69
28/12/24AFMP Beograd91-88
22/12/24HKK Krka Novo mesto97-87
18/12/24HTrento110-108 OT
15/12/24APartizan97-90
11/12/24AGran Canaria71-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %38%56%14%
Points / game78.880.676.4
Allowed / game83.080.286.6
Point differential-4.2+0.3-10.1
Avg total161.8160.8163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %12%11%14%
Buducnost
ABA League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %88%78%100%
Points / game90.390.390.3
Allowed / game75.678.072.6
Point differential+14.7+12.3+17.7
Avg total165.9168.3162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan1614288%92.873.6+19.2
2 Buducnost1614288%90.375.6+14.7
3 Crvena zvezda1613381%88.179.7+8.4
4 Dubai1612475%86.479.6+6.9
5 Igokea1610662%83.183.6-0.5
6 Spartak Subotica169756%83.981.1+2.8
7 Cedevita Olimpija169756%82.980.4+2.5
8 Zadar169756%75.472.9+2.5
9 Mega Basket168850%81.280.1+1.2
10 FMP Beograd167944%79.085.2-6.2
11 Split1661038%78.883.0-4.2
12 Studentski Centar1651131%83.285.8-2.5
13 Borac Mozzart1651131%75.083.6-8.6
14 KK Krka Novo mesto1641225%82.287.2-5.1
15 Cibona1621412%74.387.3-13.0
16 Mornar Bar161156%75.994.0-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split18129948
Buducnost2122221883
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