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Mega Basket vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-78
22-25 27-17 25-19 18-17
Position#4
Record14-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#8
Record11-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 25· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2023
Meetings · Mega Basket v Split
20 Apr 2026
MEG95
SPL72
09 Feb 2025
MEG84
SPL82
31 Mar 2024
MEG92
SPL78
26 Mar 2023
MEG90
SPL85
12 Dec 2021
MEG78
SPL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
80avg 79
H14/01
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
80-112
80
112
-32
76avg 79
A22/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
72-92
72
92
-20
62avg 79
H28/01
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
55avg 79
A06/02
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
101-87
101
87
+14
101avg 79
H11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#3
L
92-100
92
100
-8
87avg 79
H15/02
Korac cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
106-91
106
91
+15
105avg 79
A03/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
80avg 79
H11/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
85avg 79
H17/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
89-83
89
83
+6
60avg 79
A25/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
23-14
22-18
18-22
26-25
13-34
23-26
18-27
20-19
14-31
18-18
20-24
17-17
14-23
21-16
19-18
26-27
24-21
22-17
29-22
15-26
23-31
30-29
24-14
27-29
25-20
27-22
27-20
20-17
20-21
24-17
16-21
22-23
18-29
24-19
24-8
24-18
17-30
22-21
26-14
173.1Avg total
86.5Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.982.7168.6+3.258%
Season at home (12)87.083.3170.3+3.767%
Season away (12)84.882.0166.8+2.850%
Last 10 (10)86.586.6173.1-0.160%
Last 5 (5)91.085.8176.8+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.390.7172.0-9.333%
vs Similar (7)81.484.0165.4-2.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.478.2166.6+10.175%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
L
61-77
61
77
-16
54avg 78
A01/03
ABA League
Bosco
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
88avg 78
A03/03
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
84avg 78
H08/03
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
93-68
93
68
+25
99avg 78
A10/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
W
89-68
89
68
+21
91avg 78
H13/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
89-80
89
80
+9
85avg 78
A16/03
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
72avg 78
A18/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
76-83
76
83
-7
77avg 78
H22/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
88-68
88
68
+20
95avg 78
H25/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
80-65
80
65
+15
77avg 78
A29/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
12-19
9-19
21-14
15-26
38-17
25-17
13-17
24-19
26-24
17-11
20-21
21-14
21-15
26-16
25-23
19-13
23-26
23-15
24-14
29-27
19-17
22-18
19-18
14-15
24-20
19-16
23-25
24-17
17-26
21-18
14-22
23-10
17-20
21-26
27-12
20-23
21-17
26-17
13-8
157.1Avg total
83.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.579.5155.9-3.046%
Season at home (12)78.377.2155.6+1.150%
Season away (12)74.681.7156.2-7.142%
Last 10 (10)83.473.7157.1+9.780%
Last 5 (5)82.674.4157.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.877.1151.9-2.450%
vs Similar (5)81.882.0163.8-0.260%
vs Weaker (16)88.875.1163.9+13.694%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
Mega BasketSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/01
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A22/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H28/01
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/02
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H15/02
Korac cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A03/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H11/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H17/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A25/03
ABA League
88.4Avg total
41.1Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.384.3-0.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.883.9+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.943.784.7-2.853%-
Last 10 (10)41.147.388.4-6.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.248.891.0-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.545.883.3-8.317%-
vs Similar (7)40.442.082.4-1.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.740.184.8+4.688%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A01/03
ABA League
Bosco
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A03/03
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H08/03
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A10/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H13/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A16/03
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A18/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H22/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H25/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/03
Premijer liga
81.6Avg total
42.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.882.6+2.970%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.040.384.3+3.783%-
Last 30 away (18)41.939.581.4+2.461%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.081.6+3.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.480.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.842.283.0-1.550%-
vs Similar (5)38.439.878.2-1.440%-
vs Weaker (16)45.438.984.3+6.688%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.624.0
59.1%
54.3%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.7
31.0%
34.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws25.118.0
71.7%
73.8%18.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.921.3
57.7%
54.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.99.0
39.3%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.212.9
75.0%
73.8%12.9
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WWWWLWLLLW
Split
WWLWWWWWWL
#4
League position
#8
+0.6
Net rating
+13.6
110.7
Offensive rating
116.9
110.1
Defensive rating
103.3
54.7%
Effective FG%
58.2%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.1%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.0%
3-point %
39.3%
64.2%
Assist %
67.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 116.9Defence110.1 · 103.3Shooting54.7% · 58.2%3-point %31.0% · 39.3%Ball care17.7% · 18.1%Off. rebounds28.7% · 30.7%Free throws0.40 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mega Basket wins
3
Split wins
DateGameScore
18/12/23Split v Mega Basket88-73
26/03/23Mega Basket v Split90-85
11/12/22Split v Mega Basket79-75
31/03/22Split v Mega Basket81-80
12/12/21Mega Basket v Split78-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24ACrvena zvezda89-83
17/03/24HStudentski Centar88-79
11/03/24HCibona80-76
03/03/24AKK Krka Novo mesto106-91
15/02/24HVojvodina Novi Sad92-100
11/02/24HMornar Bar101-87
06/02/24AZadar71-74
28/01/24HBuducnost72-92
22/01/24APartizan80-112
14/01/24HFMP Beograd86-72
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24ADubrovnik80-65
25/03/24HGKK Sibenka88-68
22/03/24HCibona76-83
18/03/24AKK Krka Novo mesto80-76
16/03/24AZabok89-80
13/03/24HAlkar89-68
10/03/24ADubrava93-68
08/03/24HMornar Bar87-75
03/03/24ABosco91-77
01/03/24AZadar61-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW58%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game85.987.084.8
Allowed / game82.783.382.0
Point differential+3.2+3.7+2.8
Avg total168.6170.3166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%42%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Split
ABA League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL46%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%50%42%
Points / game76.578.374.6
Allowed / game79.577.281.7
Point differential-3.0+1.1-7.1
Avg total155.9155.6156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2420483%88.572.0+16.5
2 Partizan2418675%92.575.4+17.2
3 Buducnost2418675%84.676.4+8.2
4 Cedevita Olimpija25151060%85.584.5+1.0
5 Mega Basket24141058%85.982.7+3.2
6 Zadar25141156%79.075.8+3.2
7 Igokea25131252%78.581.0-2.5
8 Studentski Centar24111346%85.485.6-0.2
9 Split24111346%76.579.5-3.0
10 Cibona2591636%78.483.7-5.2
11 Borac Mozzart2591636%78.583.9-5.4
12 FMP Beograd2591636%76.884.0-7.2
13 Mornar Bar2561924%77.289.5-12.4
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2552020%75.186.9-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2227251892
Split2517191778
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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