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Split vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-73
17-18 17-23 24-14 29-18
Position#14
Record5-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game83.5
Split 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game92.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 14· Dvorana KK Split
Domestic2024
Meetings · Split v Mornar Bar
27 Dec 2024
SPL87
MBA73
08 Mar 2024
SPL87
MBA75
17 Mar 2023
SPL91
MBA80
11 Mar 2022
SPL76
MBA67
21 Nov 2020
SPL87
MBA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#12
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
80avg 79
H15/11
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 79
A17/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
111-55
111
55
+56
125avg 79
H28/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
64-110
64
110
-46
63avg 79
A30/11
ABA League
Cibona
#5
W
91-81
91
81
+10
88avg 79
A06/12
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
83-78
83
78
+5
81avg 79
H09/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
85avg 79
A13/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
66avg 79
A16/12
Premijer liga
Dubai
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
71avg 79
H20/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
83-71
83
71
+12
72avg 79
H23/12
Croatian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
17-15
25-29
19-14
24-27
25-22
17-11
21-18
32-13
25-13
23-15
31-14
9-25
22-28
20-29
13-28
20-17
29-15
18-23
24-26
25-17
18-21
16-16
24-24
19-27
19-25
21-21
24-10
27-15
7-23
22-21
19-19
22-24
20-15
22-20
10-22
25-15
19-13
27-21
12-22
166.2Avg total
84.7Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.983.5161.5-5.638%
Season at home (7)80.781.7162.4-1.057%
Season away (6)74.785.7160.3-11.017%
Last 10 (10)84.781.5166.2+3.260%
Last 5 (5)81.281.2162.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.886.5160.3-12.725%
vs Similar (5)79.280.0159.2-0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.175.2167.2+16.983%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#9
L
59-84
59
84
-25
44avg 67
A13/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
90-98 OT
90
98
-8
74avg 67
H19/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
64-85
64
85
-21
50avg 67
A27/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
92-85
92
85
+7
81avg 67
H04/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
91-99
91
99
-8
84avg 67
A11/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
78-105
78
105
-27
66avg 67
H17/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
90-103
90
103
-13
76avg 67
A29/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
76-81
76
81
-5
55avg 67
H08/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
66-104
66
104
-38
54avg 67
A15/12
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
55-81
55
81
-26
44avg 67
H23/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
13-21
21-19
11-21
20-17
18-26
23-21
26-23
14-27
21-20
13-15
16-23
34-24
19-19
11-25
28-17
17-23
15-25
30-27
29-24
16-28
14-21
26-29
22-27
15-25
20-31
34-25
21-22
13-15
23-28
18-21
22-17
21-30
11-26
25-20
9-28
13-13
18-27
10-23
14-18
168.6Avg total
76.1Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.392.8167.1-18.58%
Season at home (7)74.991.4166.3-16.614%
Season away (6)73.794.3168.0-20.70%
Last 10 (10)76.192.5168.6-16.410%
Last 5 (5)73.094.8167.8-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.193.2172.3-14.121%
vs Similar (1)72.079.0151.0-7.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -7.2-7.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -7.2-7.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
SplitMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#12
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H15/11
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A17/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H28/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A30/11
ABA League
Cibona
#5
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A06/12
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H09/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A13/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A16/12
Premijer liga
Dubai
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H20/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H23/12
Croatian Cup
80.9Avg total
42.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.581.6+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.137.280.3+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)39.044.183.1-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.980.9+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.079.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.044.982.9-6.933%-
vs Similar (5)36.239.275.4-3.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.237.683.8+8.667%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#9
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A13/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H19/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A27/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H04/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A11/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H17/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A29/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A15/12
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H23/12
ABA League
81.8Avg total
34.9Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.846.386.1-6.423%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.543.884.2-3.238%-
Last 30 away (14)39.149.188.2-10.17%-
Last 10 (10)34.946.981.8-12.010%-
Last 5 (5)32.848.881.6-16.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)40.246.586.6-6.325%-
vs Similar (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.723.4
58.9%
54.0%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.3
31.2%
35.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.415.0
73.5%
75.6%15.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.417.9
46.6%
54.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.8
30.4%
35.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.516.1
71.6%
75.6%16.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WLLLWWLWWW
Mornar Bar
LLLLLLWLLL
#14
League position
#17
+4.0
Net rating
-20.8
111.9
Offensive rating
95.7
107.8
Defensive rating
116.5
54.4%
Effective FG%
46.2%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.2%
3-point %
30.4%
64.8%
Assist %
56.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 95.7Defence107.8 · 116.5Shooting54.4% · 46.2%3-point %31.2% · 30.4%Ball care15.3% · 16.4%Off. rebounds26.0% · 23.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Split   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Split wins
4
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
08/03/24Split v Mornar Bar87-75
26/11/23Mornar Bar v Split76-93
17/03/23Split v Mornar Bar91-80
05/12/22Mornar Bar v Split104-88
11/03/22Split v Mornar Bar76-67
21/11/21Mornar Bar v Split81-65
15/03/21Mornar Bar v Split81-71
21/11/20Split v Mornar Bar87-95
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24HGKK Sibenka83-71
20/12/24HDubai74-81
16/12/24AKvarner75-78
13/12/24AFMP Beograd91-98 OT
09/12/24HKK Krka Novo mesto83-78
06/12/24ACibona91-81
30/11/24APartizan64-110
28/11/24HOsijek111-55
17/11/24ADubrava87-78
15/11/24HStudentski Centar88-85 OT
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24HZadar55-81
15/12/24ADubai66-104
08/12/24HFMP Beograd76-81
29/11/24AKK Krka Novo mesto90-103
17/11/24HPartizan78-105
11/11/24AStudentski Centar91-99
04/11/24HCibona92-85
27/10/24ASpartak Subotica64-85
19/10/24HBorac Mozzart90-98 OT
13/10/24AMega Basket59-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%57%17%
Points / game77.980.774.7
Allowed / game83.581.785.7
Point differential-5.6-1.0-11.0
Avg total161.5162.4160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %15%14%17%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLWLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game74.374.973.7
Allowed / game92.891.494.3
Point differential-18.5-16.6-20.7
Avg total167.1166.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan1311285%93.773.2+20.5
2 Buducnost1311285%88.874.2+14.6
3 Crvena zvezda1311285%87.879.8+7.9
4 Dubai1411379%85.678.0+7.6
5 Spartak Subotica148657%83.980.3+3.6
6 Igokea148657%81.282.4-1.2
7 Mega Basket137654%80.177.7+2.4
8 Cedevita Olimpija137654%82.782.2+0.5
9 FMP Beograd137654%81.283.5-2.3
10 Zadar147750%74.873.1+1.6
11 Split135838%77.983.5-5.6
12 Studentski Centar134931%83.887.2-3.3
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1331023%82.588.2-5.7
14 Borac Mozzart1331023%74.885.4-10.5
15 Cibona1321115%74.987.5-12.6
16 Mornar Bar131128%74.392.8-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1717242987
Mornar Bar1823141873
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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