Sweden vs Finland Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Aug 2025

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 90-93

21-26 27-23 24-23 18-21

Position#21

Record-

FormLWLLW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Sweden

Finland 🏆

Position#10

Record-

FormWLLLW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

EuroBasketRound 1· Nokia Arena

Other2025

Meetings · Sweden v Finland

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sweden winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Finland winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SwedenLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSweden

Date

Competition

Estonia

#55

87-82

no box

A11/11

World Cup

Israel

#52

71-68

no box

H14/11

World Cup

Germany

66-73

-7

no box

A24/02

World Cup

Estonia

#55

71-72

-1

no box

H27/02

World Cup

Bulgaria

#13

84-70

+14

no box

H22/02

EuroBasket

Montenegro

#19

70-95

-25

no box

A25/02

EuroBasket

Germany

73-72

64avg 67

H22/11

EuroBasket

Germany

61-80

-19

50avg 67

A25/11

EuroBasket

Bulgaria

#13

77-81 OT

-4

73avg 67

A20/02

EuroBasket

Montenegro

#19

86-83 OT

88avg 67

H23/02

EuroBasket

27-13

12-24

20-24

28-21

17-16

20-24

16-8

18-20

19-21

12-19

14-17

21-16

16-17

14-11

14-15

27-29

29-22

21-21

12-12

22-15

24-27

13-23

20-25

13-20

26-18

11-19

18-19

18-16

19-23

12-18

17-19

13-20

22-25

17-9

15-24

16-12

20-14

12-19

21-18

19-21

152.2Avg total

74.6Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	74.6	77.6	152.2	-3.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	82.2	155.6	-8.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	68.6	77.5	146.2	-8.9	27%
vs Similar (5)	83.2	84.0	167.2	-0.8	40%
vs Weaker (14)	83.0	73.6	156.6	+9.4	64%

This opponent (Finland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FinlandLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFinland

Date

Competition

Japan

#28

88-98

-10

no box

A27/08

World Cup

Germany

75-101

101

-26

no box

A29/08

World Cup

Cape Verde

#45

100-77

100

+23

no box

A31/08

World Cup

Venezuela

#43

90-75

+15

no box

H02/09

World Cup

Serbia

61-77

-16

no box

A23/02

EuroBasket

Denmark

#27

89-85

no box

H26/02

EuroBasket

Georgia

#21

83-90

-7

74avg 86

H21/11

EuroBasket

Georgia

#21

64-81

-17

62avg 86

A24/11

EuroBasket

Serbia

95-105

105

-10

91avg 86

H21/02

EuroBasket

Denmark

#27

83-77

75avg 86

A24/02

EuroBasket

15-22

31-14

27-27

15-35

22-19

17-28

16-29

20-25

28-16

26-23

23-17

23-21

13-17

35-18

19-27

23-13

20-17

14-19

17-22

10-19

23-27

19-31

30-14

17-13

25-20

23-23

15-19

20-28

21-17

19-21

13-17

11-26

26-24

31-27

14-28

24-26

24-25

17-22

18-23

24-7

169.4Avg total

82.8Scored

86.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	82.8	86.6	169.4	-3.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	87.6	170.4	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	77.9	88.3	166.1	-10.4	21%
vs Similar (10)	89.3	80.7	170.0	+8.6	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	85.2	74.0	159.2	+11.2	100%

This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SwedenFinland

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.6	41.5	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.8	21.6	40.5	-2.8	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.0	16.3	37.3	+4.7	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.7	40.1	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.6	46.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	57%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	18.5	38.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	22.3	16.3	38.7	+6.0	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	17.7	35.8	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	19.9	37.3	-2.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.4	18.7	33.1	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.0	17.6	30.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	14.5	19.2	33.7	-4.6	9%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.4	42.5	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	22.3	45.1	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.5	39.9	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	22.6	45.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.8	46.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.8	24.1	42.9	-5.3	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.0	18.3	42.3	+5.7	90%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	67%	-

SwedenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estonia

#55

39-37

A11/11

World Cup

Israel

#52

37-40

-3

H14/11

World Cup

Germany

31-40

-9

A24/02

World Cup

Estonia

#55

30-28

H27/02

World Cup

Bulgaria

#13

50-43

H22/02

EuroBasket

Montenegro

#19

37-50

-13

A25/02

EuroBasket

Germany

37-37

H22/11

EuroBasket

Germany

31-41

-10

A25/11

EuroBasket

Bulgaria

#13

39-34

A20/02

EuroBasket

Montenegro

#19

32-33

-1

H23/02

EuroBasket

74.6Avg total

36.3Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	37.6	75.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	36.1	73.2	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	39.2	77.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	38.3	74.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	39.0	74.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	33.4	40.8	74.2	-7.5	18%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.8	39.4	80.2	+1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (14)	40.1	34.5	74.6	+5.6	71%	-

This opponent (Finland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Japan

#28

46-36

+10

A27/08

World Cup

Germany

39-47

-8

A29/08

World Cup

Cape Verde

#45

54-39

+15

A31/08

World Cup

Venezuela

#43

48-35

+13

H02/09

World Cup

Serbia

34-36

-2

A23/02

EuroBasket

Denmark

#27

42-58

-16

H26/02

EuroBasket

Georgia

#21

48-43

H21/11

EuroBasket

Georgia

#21

40-38

A24/11

EuroBasket

Serbia

57-51

H21/02

EuroBasket

Denmark

#27

41-47

-6

A24/02

EuroBasket

87.9Avg total

44.9Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	40.9	83.3	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	41.1	85.1	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.8	40.7	81.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	43.0	87.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	47.4	93.0	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	40.6	45.5	86.1	-4.9	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.3	36.8	81.1	+7.5	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	43.7	36.8	80.5	+6.8	67%	-

This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.5	37.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.1	34.8	-1.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.6	18.4	36.0	-0.7	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	23.6	43.8	-3.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.5	40.7	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	21.9	38.9	-4.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	22.3	41.5	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.2	20.9	38.1	-3.7	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.2	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.3	18.8	40.2	+2.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.7	38.9	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	17.8	33.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	15.7	16.4	32.1	-0.6	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.4	20.5	42.9	+1.9	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.1	21.9	41.9	-1.8	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.5	20.2	42.7	+2.3	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	37.6	76.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.6	36.1	74.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	39.0	77.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	37.1	73.3	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	38.8	72.8	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	33.4	34.7	68.1	-1.4	55%	-
vs Similar (5)	42.4	44.6	87.0	-2.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (14)	41.6	37.3	78.9	+4.3	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	41.3	81.3	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	38.9	81.3	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	43.7	81.2	-6.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	43.6	81.5	-5.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	40.2	77.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.3	42.8	80.1	-5.5	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.8	41.7	84.5	+1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	41.5	37.2	78.7	+4.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Swedentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden: 74.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀39%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.0 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game

46%

36%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.3	14.5	44.8%	52.4%	29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	9.3	33.9%	33.4%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	23.3	17.2	73.6%	73.1%	17.2

They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland: 78.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.3 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game

46%

36%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	18.2	52.9%	52.4%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.0	10.0	31.2%	33.4%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	15.2	11.8	78.0%	73.1%	11.8

They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.2	50.4%	52.4%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.2	8.8	27.5%	33.4%	26.5
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.3	75.4%	73.1%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	18.8	50.9%	52.4%	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.3	9.8	42.1%	33.4%	29.5
🏀 Free throws	23.8	18.0	75.5%	73.1%	18.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.2	50.4%	52.4%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.2	8.8	27.5%	33.4%	26.5
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.3	75.4%	73.1%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	18.8	50.9%	52.4%	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.3	9.8	42.1%	33.4%	29.5
🏀 Free throws	23.8	18.0	75.5%	73.1%	18.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 27 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Sweden

WLLWLWLLWW

Finland

WLLLWLWWLL

#21

League position

#10

-6.8

Net rating

-9.7

101.4

Offensive rating

108.2

Defensive rating

117.9

47.6%

Effective FG%

50.0%

46.2%

Opp. effective FG%

55.7%

17.1%

Turnover %

16.5%

25.0%

Off. rebound %

32.9%

0.39

Free-throw rate

0.23

33.9%

3-point %

31.2%

64.3%

Assist %

79.9%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Sweden ■ Finland

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sweden wins

Finland wins

Date	Game	Score
30/06/22	Finland v Sweden	85-69
25/11/21	Sweden v Finland	72-62

Swedenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/02/25	H	Montenegro	86-83 OT
20/02/25	A	Bulgaria	77-81 OT
25/11/24	A	Germany	61-80
22/11/24	H	Germany	73-72
25/02/24	A	Montenegro	70-95
22/02/24	H	Bulgaria	84-70
27/02/23	H	Estonia	71-72
24/02/23	A	Germany	66-73
14/11/22	H	Israel	71-68
11/11/22	A	Estonia	87-82

Finlandlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/02/25	A	Denmark	83-77
21/02/25	H	Serbia	95-105
24/11/24	A	Georgia	64-81
21/11/24	H	Georgia	83-90
26/02/24	H	Denmark	89-85
23/02/24	A	Serbia	61-77
02/09/23	H	Venezuela	90-75
31/08/23	A	Cape Verde	100-77
29/08/23	A	Germany	75-101
27/08/23	A	Japan	88-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sweden

EuroBasket 2025

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Finland

EuroBasket 2025

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Germany	1	1	0	100%	106.0	76.0	+30.0
2	Lithuania	1	1	0	100%	94.0	70.0	+24.0
3	Turkey	1	1	0	100%	93.0	73.0	+20.0
4	Portugal	1	1	0	100%	62.0	50.0	+12.0
5	Czech Republic	1	0	1	0%	50.0	62.0	-12.0
6	Latvia	1	0	1	0%	73.0	93.0	-20.0
7	Great Britain	1	0	1	0%	70.0	94.0	-24.0
8	Montenegro	1	0	1	0%	76.0	106.0	-30.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sweden	21	27	24	18	90
Finland	26	23	23	21	93

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Sweden vs Finland Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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