PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Syracuse vs Lafayette Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 82-63
Projected total 144.9
Scheduled
Position#148
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game63.3
Vs
94%
■ SYRA 94%■ LAFA 6%
Pythia win probability
Position#202
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Syracuse v Lafayette
21 Nov 2026
SYRA v LAFA
upcoming
09 Nov 2021
SYRA97
LAFA63
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Syracuse host Lafayette in the NCAA. Pythia makes Syracuse the favourite at 94% and projects 82-63, about 145 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%. Syracuse are 2-1 this season (85.3 scored, 63.3 allowed a game), form LLWWL; Lafayette are 3-3 this season (76.2 scored, 67.2 allowed a game), form WLWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Syracuse win
94.1%fair 1.06
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lafayette win
5.9%fair 17.03
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SyracuseUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
64-101
64
101
-37
A17/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H21/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
69-71 OT
69
71
-2
H07/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A10/03
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#291
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#247
W
102-49
102
49
+53
H06/11
NCAA
Indiana
#49
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-39
44-39
24-40
40-61
28-33
36-44
46-42
37-46
21-39
41-38
31-28
34-37
38-39
31-47
39-17
35-41
47-23
55-26
38-34
42-49
151.4Avg total
74.6Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.363.3148.7+22.067%
Season at home (2)88.053.5141.5+34.5100%
Season away (1)80.083.0163.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)74.676.8151.4-2.230%
Last 5 (5)78.869.4148.2+9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)66.779.4146.1-12.614%
vs Similar (11)81.874.6156.5+7.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.468.6153.0+15.880%
This opponent (Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#204
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H22/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A26/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H04/03
NCAA
Butler
#200
L
60-96
60
96
-36
A03/11
NCAA
Kings (PA) Monarchs
#440
W
104-67
104
67
+37
H05/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
L
57-67 OT
57
67
-10
A07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
W
89-46
89
46
+43
H11/11
NCAA
Penn St. Lehigh Valley
#464
W
89-46
89
46
+43
H11/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#100
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
30-41
31-25
39-44
37-26
46-51
39-34
38-48
34-54
26-42
55-31
49-36
24-31
31-24
54-16
35-30
54-16
35-30
29-35
29-46
145.4Avg total
74.8Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.267.2143.3+9.050%
Season at home (3)94.053.0147.0+41.0100%
Season away (3)58.381.3139.7-23.00%
Last 10 (10)74.870.6145.4+4.250%
Last 5 (5)79.461.4140.8+18.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)66.575.8142.2-9.225%
vs Similar (15)70.675.0145.6-4.440%
vs Weaker (1)89.046.0135.0+43.0100%
This opponent (Syracuse) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
47.0%
Under 146
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151
Over 151
34.8%
Under 151
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156
Over 156
24.0%
Under 156
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Syracuse total 80.5
Over 80.5
54.4%
Under 80.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syracuse total 84.5
Over 84.5
38.4%
Under 84.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syracuse total 88.5
Over 88.5
24.2%
Under 88.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lafayette total 62
Over 62
55.1%
Under 62
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lafayette total 66
Over 66
38.6%
Under 66
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lafayette total 70
Over 70
24.2%
Under 70
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Syracuse -3
SYRA -3
91.7%
LAFA +3
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
SYRA
No market prices yet.
LAFA
No market prices yet.
Spread Syracuse 0
SYRA 0
94.1%
LAFA 0
5.9%
Best 5 market prices
SYRA
No market prices yet.
LAFA
No market prices yet.
Spread Syracuse +3
SYRA +3
96.2%
LAFA -3
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
SYRA
No market prices yet.
LAFA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: -3.4-3.4
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: -3.4-3.4
SyracuseLafayette
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SyracuseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A17/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H07/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A10/03
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#291
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H03/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#247
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H06/11
NCAA
Indiana
#49
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A09/11
NCAA
68.1Avg total
34.7Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.933.569.4+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.530.867.3+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)35.037.272.2-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)34.733.468.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.628.266.8+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.637.168.7-5.614%-
vs Similar (11)39.132.571.5+6.691%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.825.866.6+15.0100%-
This opponent (Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#204
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A26/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H28/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Butler
#200
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A03/11
NCAA
Kings (PA) Monarchs
#440
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H05/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
W
54-16
54
16
+38
H11/11
NCAA
Penn St. Lehigh Valley
#464
W
54-16
54
16
+38
H11/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#100
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A14/11
NCAA
69.0Avg total
38.8Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.368.5-0.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.932.069.9+5.947%-
Last 30 away (15)30.536.567.1-6.020%-
Last 10 (10)38.830.269.0+8.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.225.869.0+17.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.735.065.7-4.317%-
vs Similar (15)33.036.369.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker (1)54.016.070.0+38.0100%-
This opponent (Syracuse) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Syracuse wins
0
Lafayette wins
DateGameScore
10/11/21Syracuse v Lafayette97-63
Syracuselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26AIndiana80-83
06/11/26HCentral Connecticut State102-49
03/11/26HNew Haven Chargers74-58
10/03/26ASMU Mustangs69-86
07/03/26HPittsburgh69-71 OT
04/03/26ALouisville62-77
28/02/26AWake Forest83-88
21/02/26HNorth Carolina64-77
17/02/26ADuke64-101
14/02/26HSMU Mustangs79-78
Lafayettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASt. Bonaventure58-81
11/11/26HPenn St. Lehigh Valley89-46
11/11/26HPenn State89-46
07/11/26ASaint Josephs Hawks57-67 OT
05/11/26HKings (PA) Monarchs104-67
03/11/26AButler60-96
04/03/26HHoly Cross77-82
28/02/26HArmy83-77
26/02/26AColgate70-69
22/02/26HAmerican University61-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Syracuse
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game85.388.080.0
Allowed / game63.353.583.0
Point differential+22.0+34.5-3.0
Avg total148.7141.5163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lafayette
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.294.058.3
Allowed / game67.253.081.3
Point differential+9.0+41.0-23.0
Avg total143.3147.0139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Navy54180%69.265.8+3.4
2 Boston University43175%80.074.5+5.5
3 Army42250%75.566.2+9.2
4 Lafayette63350%76.267.2+9.0
5 Lehigh42250%64.570.2-5.8
6 American University31233%64.075.0-11.0
7 Loyola Maryland51420%68.473.0-4.6
8 Colgate3030%69.785.7-16.0
9 Bucknell4040%62.287.5-25.2
10 Holy Cross3030%64.092.7-28.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.