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Tianjin vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 87-96
21-14 16-27 31-26 19-29
Position#15
Record11-27
FormWLLLL
Points / game102.6
Allowed / game111.6
vs
Position#16
Record8-30
FormLLLLW
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game107.8
ChinaCBARound 39· University of Finance and Economics
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tianjin v Guangzhou
23 Oct 2026
TIAN102
GUAN86
04 Jan 2026
TIAN106
GUAN108
12 Mar 2025
TIAN87
GUAN96
17 Nov 2024
TIAN69
GUAN89
29 Mar 2024
TIAN99
GUAN103
09 Mar 2023
TIAN77
GUAN98
01 Mar 2022
TIAN106
GUAN110
27 Mar 2021
TIAN111
GUAN112
30 Oct 2020
TIAN95
GUAN108
27 Jul 2020
TIAN118
GUAN110
23 Oct 2018
TIAN103
GUAN114
24 Jan 2018
TIAN131
GUAN126
22 Jan 2017
TIAN99
GUAN89
03 Jan 2016
TIAN134
GUAN128
19 Dec 2014
TIAN112
GUAN123
29 Nov 2013
TIAN115
GUAN100
01 Jan 2013
TIAN111
GUAN103
12 Feb 2012
TIAN115
GUAN116
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tianjin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TianjinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTianjin
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#19
W
109-104
109
104
+5
107avg 93
A13/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
113-136
113
136
-23
96avg 93
A15/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
106-135
106
135
-29
87avg 93
H17/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
120-115
120
115
+5
116avg 93
H19/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
93-99
93
99
-6
85avg 93
A21/01
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
97-84
97
84
+13
84avg 93
H25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
88-103
88
103
-15
no box
A10/02
CBA Club Cup
Shanghai
#10
L
113-126
113
126
-13
101avg 93
H05/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
111-128
111
128
-17
100avg 93
A08/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
116-124 OT
116
124
-8
103avg 93
A10/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
32-24
20-22
36-29
27-31
32-49
27-28
27-28
32-25
25-42
22-37
27-31
28-28
29-24
27-26
36-37
27-30
24-22
17-25
25-22
30-22
25-19
20-24
22-19
15-25
26-25
21-27
26-26
29-35
21-37
34-26
29-28
30-33
28-36
19-39
34-20
30-27
21-24
36-36
25-25
222.0Avg total
106.6Scored
115.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)102.6111.6214.1-9.029%
Season at home (19)104.3108.7213.1-4.437%
Season away (19)100.8114.4215.2-13.621%
Last 10 (10)106.6115.4222.0-8.830%
Last 5 (5)105.0113.0218.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)100.1116.3216.4-16.25%
vs Similar ◀ (9)105.4102.0207.4+3.467%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#10
L
81-112
81
112
-31
69avg 89
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
89-121
89
121
-32
83avg 89
H13/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 89
H16/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
97-116
97
116
-19
90avg 89
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
116-124
116
124
-8
108avg 89
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
113-116
113
116
-3
102avg 89
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
82-111
82
111
-29
70avg 89
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
80-126
80
126
-46
52avg 89
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
86-104
86
104
-18
85avg 89
H08/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
110avg 89
H10/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
28-23
16-31
16-36
29-25
27-34
19-32
14-30
28-18
20-11
11-33
18-23
27-34
20-26
26-24
24-32
30-26
32-35
27-36
27-27
27-28
32-40
32-26
22-22
22-29
21-24
25-32
14-26
19-25
26-24
15-41
20-36
24-31
18-24
22-26
22-23
32-32
19-15
26-25
19-24
204.6Avg total
93.0Scored
111.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)96.9107.8204.7-10.921%
Season at home (19)98.4107.9206.3-9.521%
Season away (19)95.4107.7203.1-12.421%
Last 10 (10)93.0111.6204.6-18.610%
Last 5 (5)94.0111.6205.6-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)93.1112.2205.2-19.10%
vs Similar ◀ (10)103.694.7198.3+8.970%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tianjin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -8.7-8.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -8.3-8.3
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -8.7-8.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -8.3-8.3
TianjinGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TianjinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#19
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A13/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A15/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H17/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H19/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A21/01
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A10/02
CBA Club Cup
Shanghai
#10
L
50-72
50
72
-22
H05/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A08/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A10/03
CBA
111.9Avg total
53.2Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.258.9111.1-6.827%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.256.8112.0-1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)49.560.8110.3-11.36%-
Last 10 (10)53.258.7111.9-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)51.056.6107.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)50.962.5113.3-11.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)55.250.7105.9+4.656%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H13/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H16/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H08/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H10/03
CBA
102.8Avg total
50.2Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.352.5102.9-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.452.5103.9-1.247%-
Last 30 away (13)49.052.5101.5-3.538%-
Last 10 (10)50.252.6102.8-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)48.054.4102.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)49.555.3104.8-5.830%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)52.047.099.0+5.070%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tianjin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tianjintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tianjin: 108.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.426.6
48.9%
52.6%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.9
35.1%
35.1%35.7
🏀 Free throws25.319.2
75.9%
76.3%19.2
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.624.3
49.0%
52.6%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.2
34.6%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.916.4
78.5%
76.3%16.4
They take 76.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tianjin
LLLLWLWLLW
Guangzhou
WLLLLLLLLL
#15
League position
#16
-7.3
Net rating
-19.5
112.1
Offensive rating
99.3
119.4
Defensive rating
118.8
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.0%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
13.3%
Turnover %
20.5%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.1%
3-point %
34.6%
64.9%
Assist %
58.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 99.3Defence119.4 · 118.8Shooting50.3% · 50.0%3-point %35.1% · 34.6%Ball care13.3% · 20.5%Off. rebounds30.9% · 26.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Tianjin   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tianjin wins
8
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
27/11/24Guangzhou v Tianjin108-97
17/11/24Tianjin v Guangzhou69-89
29/03/24Tianjin v Guangzhou99-103
15/12/23Guangzhou v Tianjin93-106
15/03/23Guangzhou v Tianjin113-84
09/03/23Tianjin v Guangzhou77-98
07/03/22Guangzhou v Tianjin98-113
01/03/22Tianjin v Guangzhou106-110
06/04/21Guangzhou v Tianjin147-140 OT
27/03/21Tianjin v Guangzhou111-112 OT
Tianjinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25ANingbo Rockets116-124 OT
08/03/25AZhejiang Chouzhou111-128
05/03/25HShanghai113-126
10/02/25AShanghai88-103
25/01/25HSichuan97-84
21/01/25AJiangsu Dragons93-99
19/01/25HNingbo Rockets120-115
17/01/25HZhejiang Chouzhou106-135
15/01/25AShanxi Zhongyu113-136
13/01/25ASichuan109-104
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25HFujian109-101 OT
08/03/25HShenzhen86-104
05/03/25AQingdao80-126
24/01/25AGuangdong82-111
22/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters113-116
20/01/25AShanxi Zhongyu116-124
18/01/25AXinjiang97-116
16/01/25HGuangdong77-85
13/01/25HShandong89-121
10/01/25AShanghai81-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tianjin
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWLWWL37%
AwayWLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %29%37%21%
Points / game102.6104.3100.8
Allowed / game111.6108.7114.4
Point differential-9.0-4.4-13.6
Avg total214.1213.1215.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%21%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW21%
HomeLLLLW21%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %21%21%21%
Points / game96.998.495.4
Allowed / game107.8107.9107.7
Point differential-10.9-9.5-12.4
Avg total204.7206.3203.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%16%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %8%16%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha3933685%103.992.6+11.2
2 Shanxi Zhongyu3829976%114.0107.6+6.4
3 Xinjiang37261170%110.1102.2+7.9
4 Beijing38261268%102.196.2+5.9
5 Shandong38261268%104.5100.0+4.5
6 Guangdong38251366%105.098.0+7.0
7 Qingdao38251366%104.299.7+4.5
8 Shanghai37241365%111.2102.4+8.8
9 Liaoning39251464%105.199.6+5.5
10 Zhejiang Chouzhou38241463%113.1105.3+7.8
11 Beijing Royal Fighters37211657%106.8102.1+4.7
12 Nanjing Tongxi39192049%106.1107.6-1.5
13 Shenzhen38152339%104.8106.5-1.7
14 Jilin39132633%102.5111.1-8.7
15 Tianjin38112729%102.6111.6-9.0
16 Ningbo Rockets38102826%103.4113.8-10.4
17 Sichuan3883021%100.4110.1-9.7
18 Guangzhou3883021%96.9107.8-10.9
19 Fujian3763116%103.1115.4-12.4
20 Jiangsu Dragons3863216%93.4103.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tianjin2116311987
Guangzhou1427262996
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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