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Tofas vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-93 (OT)
20-27 24-15 14-12 19-23 13-16
Position#27
Record6-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#1
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 3· Tofas Spor Salonu
European cup2025
Meetings · Tofas v AEK Athens
03 Feb 2026
TOF90
AAT93
10 Jan 2023
TOF82
AAT85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#15
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
94avg 82
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
W
89-75
89
75
+14
86avg 82
H06/01
Champions League
Cholet
#23
L
86-105
86
105
-19
75avg 82
A09/01
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#14
W
82-76
82
76
+6
84avg 82
A11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H14/01
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
no box
A18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#11
L
90-94
90
94
-4
85avg 82
H20/01
Champions League
Galatasaray
#7
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 82
H24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
W
93-79
93
79
+14
91avg 82
A27/01
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
L
78-95
78
95
-17
75avg 82
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-28
13-21
18-15
24-28
26-18
18-22
18-12
27-23
16-25
20-28
24-24
26-28
17-23
23-16
25-14
17-23
23-15
19-18
20-19
22-30
23-19
15-26
21-23
23-22
20-12
23-22
25-26
22-34
16-31
14-20
27-23
21-17
19-22
30-24
26-16
18-17
23-26
27-16
15-27
13-26
175.7Avg total
86.3Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.286.0171.2-0.855%
Season at home (6)86.085.2171.2+0.867%
Season away (5)84.287.0171.2-2.840%
Last 10 (10)86.389.4175.7-3.140%
Last 5 (5)84.289.8174.0-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.483.6165.0-2.246%
vs Similar (12)84.286.5170.8-2.233%
vs Weaker (5)90.280.4170.6+9.880%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
63-101
63
101
-38
49avg 79
H13/12
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
L
69-80
69
80
-11
56avg 79
A16/12
Champions League
Mykonos
#7
W
77-76
77
76
+1
72avg 79
A20/12
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
82-76
82
76
+6
80avg 79
H27/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
94-86
94
86
+8
95avg 79
A03/01
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
90-65
90
65
+25
94avg 79
H11/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
A17/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 79
H21/01
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
82avg 79
H28/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
96-83
96
83
+13
97avg 79
H31/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-33
14-32
22-18
13-18
18-20
28-20
15-22
8-18
22-12
21-17
19-21
15-26
18-18
19-18
25-24
20-16
23-20
31-29
21-23
19-14
26-16
18-27
23-11
23-11
20-16
19-18
21-22
19-15
20-19
14-18
19-22
35-14
22-26
20-20
22-24
24-10
20-31
29-11
22-22
25-19
161.7Avg total
82.6Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.873.0156.8+10.888%
Season at home (5)92.276.4168.6+15.8100%
Season away (3)69.767.3137.0+2.367%
Last 10 (10)82.679.1161.7+3.580%
Last 5 (5)88.274.4162.6+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.587.0161.5-12.517%
vs Similar (4)78.078.2156.2-0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.373.7160.0+12.695%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +4.0+4.0
TofasAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#15
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H06/01
Champions League
Cholet
#23
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A09/01
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#14
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H14/01
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H20/01
Champions League
Galatasaray
#7
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A27/01
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.4Avg total
42.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.282.4+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.880.9+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)41.442.583.9-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.285.4-1.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.685.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.840.180.9+0.854%-
vs Similar (12)39.842.482.2-2.617%-
vs Weaker (5)45.641.086.6+4.6100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
28-65
28
65
-37
H13/12
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A16/12
Champions League
Mykonos
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A20/12
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A03/01
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A17/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H21/01
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H31/01
Basket League
83.7Avg total
41.6Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.180.2+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.438.979.3+1.459%-
Last 30 away (13)42.039.481.4+2.669%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.183.7-0.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.482.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.247.081.2-12.80%-
vs Similar (4)39.839.078.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.736.580.3+7.289%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.8
53.8%
52.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.8
40.3%
33.8%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.316.4
73.5%
74.1%16.4
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.6
54.1%
52.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.1
35.2%
33.8%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.018.5
77.1%
74.1%18.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWLLLWWLWL
AEK Athens
WWWWWWWWLL
#27
League position
#1
-2.3
Net rating
+4.9
103.8
Offensive rating
108.0
106.1
Defensive rating
103.1
56.5%
Effective FG%
53.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
40.3%
3-point %
35.2%
64.2%
Assist %
68.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 108.0Defence106.1 · 103.1Shooting56.5% · 53.6%3-point %40.3% · 35.2%Ball care16.5% · 14.9%Off. rebounds25.4% · 26.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Tofas   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
2
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
10/01/23Tofas v AEK Athens82-85
04/01/23AEK Athens v Tofas73-70
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26ATurk Telekom78-95
27/01/26AAS Karditsas93-79
24/01/26HGalatasaray78-91
20/01/26HAlba Berlin90-94
18/01/26AFenerbahce82-90
14/01/26HCholet84-82
11/01/26APetkim Spor82-76
09/01/26ACholet86-105
06/01/26HCholet89-75
02/01/26AKarsiyaka101-107 OT
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HKolossos Rhodes96-83
28/01/26HAlba Berlin88-80
21/01/26HAS Karditsas88-73
17/01/26AAS Karditsas79-71
11/01/26HMykonos90-65
03/01/26APromitheas94-86
27/12/25HAris82-76
20/12/25AMykonos77-76
16/12/25ASzolnoki Olaj69-80
13/12/25HPanathinaikos63-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Champions League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game85.286.084.2
Allowed / game86.085.287.0
Point differential-0.8+0.8-2.8
Avg total171.2171.2171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game83.892.269.7
Allowed / game73.076.467.3
Point differential+10.8+15.8+2.3
Avg total156.8168.6137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Joventut Badalona880100%88.674.5+14.1
2 Unicaja87188%91.473.9+17.5
3 Gran Canaria87188%82.070.8+11.2
4 AEK Athens87188%83.873.0+10.8
5 Chalon/Saone1311285%91.484.8+6.6
6 Tenerife86275%88.479.5+8.9
7 Alba Berlin86275%90.482.6+7.8
8 Galatasaray86275%88.281.1+7.1
9 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
10 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
11 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
12 Rytas85362%94.488.0+6.4
13 Le Mans106460%88.577.6+10.9
14 Levice127558%79.279.8-0.6
15 Wurzburg116555%81.477.0+4.4
16 Tofas116555%85.286.0-0.8
17 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
18 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
19 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
20 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
21 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
22 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
23 Mersin SK84450%80.088.6-8.6
24 Trieste115645%82.682.8-0.2
25 Cholet94544%89.087.0+2.0
26 Szolnoki Olaj94544%76.476.4+0.0
27 Hapoel Holon94544%81.782.0-0.3
28 Trapani73443%75.179.1-4.0
29 AS Karditsas104640%78.685.7-7.1
30 Spartak Subotica83538%78.279.4-1.1
31 Heidelberg83538%79.582.1-2.6
32 Promitheas83538%80.186.5-6.4
33 Legia62433%78.077.8+0.2
34 Bnei Herzliya62433%84.890.5-5.7
35 Bursaspor93633%76.883.0-6.2
36 Nymburk103730%80.685.1-4.5
37 Sabah Baku61517%81.090.7-9.7
38 VEF Riga61517%68.580.0-11.5
39 Igokea61517%75.387.0-11.7
40 Benfica61517%71.592.2-20.7
41 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
42 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
43 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
44 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
45 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
46 Oostende6060%81.092.7-11.7
47 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
48 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
49 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
51 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
52 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
53 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 53 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Tofas202414191390
AEK Athens271512231693
← all games of the day
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