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Tofas vs Karsiyaka Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 23 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record2-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#10
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game82.4
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 28· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tofas v Karsiyaka
23 Apr 2027
TOF v KAR
upcoming
03 May 2026
TOF87
KAR78
17 May 2025
TOF90
KAR76
21 Apr 2024
TOF111
KAR91
05 Mar 2023
TOF81
KAR86
12 Dec 2021
TOF69
KAR71
30 Mar 2021
TOF90
KAR79
17 Oct 2020
TOF78
KAR88
07 Dec 2019
TOF94
KAR88
26 Jan 2019
TOF93
KAR91
15 Apr 2018
TOF94
KAR75
21 Jan 2017
TOF80
KAR86
06 Nov 2012
TOF63
KAR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#13
L
87-101
87
101
-14
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#25
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#18
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#9
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#3
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
21-31
27-21
15-21
22-15
24-15
14-23
22-16
22-30
14-20
25-25
26-26
18-21
31-19
18-24
22-18
17-29
17-19
25-11
20-28
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
20-29
22-24
24-20
27-20
21-14
19-24
19-14
13-22
22-24
33-14
15-22
20-14
168.6Avg total
85.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.884.0163.8-4.240%
Season at home (3)80.383.3163.7-3.033%
Season away (2)79.085.0164.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)85.183.5168.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)84.881.4166.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.987.6167.5-7.70%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.489.7174.1-5.427%
vs Weaker (9)90.984.6175.4+6.389%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
78-71 OT
78
71
+7
H02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#16
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#5
L
72-97
72
97
-25
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
28-30
18-13
29-21
20-14
26-21
20-20
22-19
11-13
20-18
21-19
16-17
20-23
26-24
11-14
21-26
16-14
15-34
31-18
22-16
15-17
29-20
15-16
13-20
18-13
17-21
15-14
15-17
13-20
21-22
24-28
24-22
24-22
24-19
23-21
24-17
16-25
20-24
14-25
22-23
162.2Avg total
81.3Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.882.4162.2-2.640%
Season at home (3)81.782.3164.0-0.767%
Season away (2)77.082.5159.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)81.380.9162.2+0.460%
Last 5 (5)79.882.4162.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.886.9163.7-10.221%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.186.3172.4-0.250%
vs Weaker (1)95.079.0174.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
TofasKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#5
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#13
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#25
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#18
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#9
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
Eurocup
85.1Avg total
42.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.644.386.9-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.845.387.1-3.644%-
Last 30 away (14)43.643.186.8+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.385.1+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.684.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.142.883.9-1.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.846.686.5-6.818%-
vs Weaker (9)47.843.190.9+4.778%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#16
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.7Avg total
40.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.644.684.2-4.920%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.443.381.8-4.919%-
Last 30 away (14)41.046.087.0-5.021%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.781.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.680.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.244.082.2-5.816%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.546.087.5-4.520%-
vs Weaker (1)48.041.089.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.8
59.7%
54.9%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.5
26.5%
35.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.816.1
77.4%
75.4%16.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.2
53.8%
54.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.5
38.3%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.916.9
70.7%
75.4%16.9
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WLLWWLWLWW
Karsiyaka
LWLWLWLWWW
#11
League position
#10
-0.3
Net rating
+1.7
92.3
Offensive rating
99.0
92.6
Defensive rating
97.2
51.9%
Effective FG%
55.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.41
26.5%
3-point %
38.3%
58.0%
Assist %
61.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 99.0Defence92.6 · 97.2Shooting51.9% · 55.2%3-point %26.5% · 38.3%Ball care17.4% · 15.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Tofas   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tofas wins
5
Karsiyaka wins
DateGameScore
03/05/26Tofas v Karsiyaka87-78
02/01/26Karsiyaka v Tofas107-101 OT
17/05/25Tofas v Karsiyaka90-76
19/01/25Karsiyaka v Tofas81-93
21/04/24Tofas v Karsiyaka111-91
24/12/23Karsiyaka v Tofas98-71
05/03/23Tofas v Karsiyaka81-86
21/10/22Karsiyaka v Tofas72-83
09/04/22Karsiyaka v Tofas79-78
12/12/21Tofas v Karsiyaka69-71
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ASlask Wroclaw90-74
25/10/26HPetkim Spor72-74
21/10/26ABasket Napoli101-105 OT
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85
10/10/26HEsenler Erokspor79-87
06/10/26AJL Bourg89-82
03/10/26ADenizli Basket87-101
29/09/26HChemnitz82-69
25/09/26HBordo Bandirma90-89
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HFenerbahce72-97
16/10/26HCayirova95-79
10/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.82-92
02/10/26HGalatasaray78-71 OT
26/09/26ATurk Telekom72-73
10/05/26HBursaspor84-82
03/05/26ATofas78-87
26/04/26HEsenler Erokspor68-67
18/04/26ABahcesehir Kol.88-74
11/04/26HBuyukcekmece96-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game79.880.379.0
Allowed / game84.083.385.0
Point differential-4.2-3.0-6.0
Avg total163.8163.7164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game79.881.777.0
Allowed / game82.482.382.5
Point differential-2.6-0.7-5.5
Avg total162.2164.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.550100%92.883.4+9.4
2 Turk Telekom54180%80.471.8+8.6
3 Anadolu Efes54180%85.677.2+8.4
4 Esenler Erokspor54180%85.682.8+2.8
5 Fenerbahce53260%88.484.2+4.2
6 Trabzonspor53260%82.281.8+0.4
7 Petkim Spor53260%83.683.4+0.2
8 Galatasaray52340%88.680.2+8.4
9 Korfez Basket52340%81.883.6-1.8
10 Karsiyaka52340%79.882.4-2.6
11 Tofas52340%79.884.0-4.2
12 Besiktas52340%82.688.8-6.2
13 Denizli Basket51420%80.885.8-5.0
14 Bordo Bandirma51420%79.085.2-6.2
15 Bursaspor51420%76.484.2-7.8
16 Cayirova51420%80.489.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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