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Tofas vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 91-82
Projected total 172.7
Final 94-79
19-29 24-20 24-10 27-20
Position#6
Record4-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game83.0
Tofas 🏆
Vs
75%
25%
■ TOF 75%■ NEP 25%
Pythia win probability
Neptunas
Position#26
Record1-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game91.2
EuropeEurocupRound 6· Tofas Spor Salonu
European cup2026
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Tofas will host Neptunas in the EuroCup on 3 November 2026, with the Pythia model designating Tofas as the favourite at 75% versus 25% for Neptunas, a reflection of Tofas' 4-1 record, 90.4 points per game and 83.0 allowed per game, placing them 6th in the league, compared with Neptunas' 1-4 record, 84.8 points per game and 91.2 allowed per game, 28th in the standings; Tofas' home form is flawless, 2-0 with 86.0 points per game and 77.0 allowed, while Neptunas have struggled on the road, 0-2 with 86.5 points per game and 98.5 allowed; in the last five games each side has won two and lost three, with Tofas' recent outings including a 77-88 loss to Fenerbahce, a 90-74 win over Slask Wroclaw and a 72-74 defeat to Petkim Spor, and Neptunas' recent results featuring a 79-99 loss to Lietkabelis, an 85-94 loss to Basket Napoli and a 110-88 victory over Siauliai; the teams have met once before, with the last meeting recorded as a 91-82 result; Pythia projects a 91-82 score for Tofas, 172.7 total points, a home line of -11.5 with a 40% chance of covering, an over line of 173.5 with a 47% chance of the over, and a 4% probability of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
75.3%fair 1.33
Best odds1.17
Implied82.2%
Edge-6.8pp
Neptunas winLost
24.7%fair 4.06
Best odds5.50
Implied17.8%
Edge+6.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 02 Nov 07:08 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
W
82-69
82
69
+13
78avg 79
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#15
L
87-101
87
101
-14
79avg 79
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#24
W
89-82
89
82
+7
81avg 79
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
63avg 79
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
78avg 79
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#12
W
71-69
71
69
+2
38avg 79
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
89avg 79
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 79
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-74
90
74
+16
91avg 79
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 79
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
24-15
14-23
22-16
22-30
14-20
25-25
26-26
18-21
31-19
18-24
22-18
17-29
17-19
25-11
20-28
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
20-29
22-24
24-20
27-20
21-14
19-24
19-14
13-22
22-24
33-14
15-22
20-14
21-25
22-22
16-23
18-18
167.2Avg total
83.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.483.0173.4+7.480%
Season at home (2)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)93.387.0180.3+6.367%
Last 10 (10)83.883.4167.2+0.450%
Last 5 (5)82.282.0164.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.488.6168.0-9.20%
vs Similar (12)83.189.9173.0-6.817%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.083.0173.0+7.090%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Trento
#27
L
73-76
73
76
-3
66avg 82
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
92avg 82
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#12
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 82
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 82
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 82
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 82
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 82
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
110-88
110
88
+22
108avg 82
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 82
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-99
79
99
-20
78avg 82
A31/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
21-15
15-23
22-17
34-10
21-12
14-19
20-21
15-31
24-26
27-18
18-18
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
33-19
20-29
11-25
15-26
173.7Avg total
86.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.891.2176.0-6.420%
Season at home (3)83.786.3170.0-2.733%
Season away (2)86.598.5185.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)86.387.4173.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)89.493.6183.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)83.495.4178.8-12.00%
vs Similar (13)83.983.7167.6+0.246%
vs Weaker (12)91.885.9177.8+5.958%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1301%1352%1404%1456%1508%15510%16012%16512%17012%17510%1808%1856%1904%1953%2002%2051%2100%215
0%1302%1406%15010%16012%17010%1806%1903%2001%210
Pythia expects about 173 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 170-174 (12%). The market's main line is 175.75.
Over/Under 170.5Actual: Over 170.5
Over 170.5
54.7%
@ 1.57-7.3pp
Under 170.5
45.3%
@ 2.55+7.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.57
BetVictor
1.50
Marathon Be
1.49
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.45
BetVictor
2.40
1xBet
2.25
Over/Under 175.75 · main lineActual: Under 175.75
Over 175.75
42.7%
@ 1.80-7.6pp
Under 175.75
57.3%
@ 1.82+7.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.82
Over/Under 180.5Actual: Under 180.5
Over 180.5
31.5%
@ 2.30-8.7pp
Under 180.5
68.5%
@ 1.57+8.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
BetVictor
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Under
Bet365
1.57
BetVictor
1.55
Marathon Be
1.53
Betano
1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

Tofas total 89.5Actual: Tofas over 89.5
Over 89.5
54.1%
@ 1.57-8.4pp
Under 89.5
45.9%
@ 2.45+8.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Under
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.33
Bet365
2.25
Tofas total 93.5 · main lineActual: Tofas over 93.5
Over 93.5
39.1%
@ 1.88-10.4pp
Under 93.5
60.9%
@ 1.85+10.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.75
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.69
Tofas total 97.5Actual: Tofas under 97.5
Over 97.5
25.5%
@ 2.72-9.6pp
Under 97.5
74.5%
@ 1.40+9.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.72
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.43
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.37
Neptunas total 78.5Actual: Neptunas over 78.5
Over 78.5
63.2%
@ 1.41-2.0pp
Under 78.5
36.8%
@ 2.70+2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Under
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.60
1xBet
2.40
Neptunas total 82.5 · main lineActual: Neptunas under 82.5
Over 82.5
48.1%
@ 1.83-1.9pp
Under 82.5
51.9%
@ 1.88+1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.72
Under
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.72
Neptunas total 86.5Actual: Neptunas under 86.5
Over 86.5
33.5%
@ 2.42-3.8pp
Under 86.5
66.5%
@ 1.52+3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.42
Bet365
2.40
1xBet
2.37
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-241%-211%-182%-153%-124%-96%-67%-35%+010%+310%+610%+99%+128%+157%+185%+214%+243%+272%+301%+331%+361%+39
0%-241%-183%-126%-65%+010%+69%+127%+184%+242%+301%+36
Margin from Tofas's side (positive = Tofas win). Pythia's expected margin is +8.3; Tofas win by 1+ in 69% of simulations.
Spread Tofas -13.5Actual: Tofas -13.5
TOF -13.5
33.5%
@ 2.40-6.7pp
NEP +13.5
66.5%
@ 1.55+6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
TOF
Betano
2.40
BetVictor
2.30
Bet365
2.30
1xBet
2.21
Marathon Be
2.17
NEP
Marathon Be
1.55
BetVictor
1.55
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.48
Spread Tofas -10.5 · main lineActual: Tofas -10.5
TOF -10.5
43.0%
@ 1.92-6.7pp
NEP +10.5
57.0%
@ 1.90+6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
TOF
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.90
Betfair
1.90
BetVictor
1.88
SBO
1.86
NEP
Betfair
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Spread Tofas -7.5Actual: Tofas -7.5
TOF -7.5
53.2%
@ 1.57-6.7pp
NEP +7.5
46.8%
@ 2.38+6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
TOF
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
Marathon Be
1.51
1xBet
1.44
NEP
BetVictor
2.38
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.30
1xBet
2.28
Marathon Be
2.26

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
TofasNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#15
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#24
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#12
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.6Avg total
42.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 88.25
Last 30 (30)42.644.787.4-2.143%57%
Last 30 at home (15)41.746.187.7-4.440%47%
Last 30 away (15)43.643.487.0+0.247%67%
Last 10 (10)42.342.384.6+0.050%50%
Last 5 (5)41.242.283.4-1.040%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.144.486.5-2.238%62%
vs Similar (12)38.847.486.2-8.617%42%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)47.641.889.4+5.880%70%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#27
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#12
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#3
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A31/10
LKL
89.4Avg total
46.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 88.25
Last 30 (30)45.742.888.5+2.957%57%
Last 30 at home (16)46.442.188.4+4.356%56%
Last 30 away (14)44.943.688.6+1.357%57%
Last 10 (10)46.043.489.4+2.650%70%
Last 5 (5)47.847.295.0+0.660%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.050.892.8-8.80%80%
vs Similar (13)44.939.284.1+5.869%38%
vs Weaker (12)48.143.491.5+4.767%67%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Neptunas win
TOF win
68.2%
@ 1.38-0.6pp
NEP win
31.8%
@ 3.20+0.6pp
1st half Spread Tofas -5 · main lineActual: Neptunas +5
TOF -5
47.7%
@ 1.90-2.5pp
NEP +5
52.3%
@ 1.92+2.5pp
1st half Over/Under 88.25 · main lineActual: Over 88.25
Over
42.2%
@ 1.82-7.5pp
Under
57.8%
@ 1.80+7.5pp
Tofas 1st half total 46.5 · main lineActual: Tofas under 46.5
Over
43.8%
@ 1.83-6.7pp
Under
56.2%
@ 1.95+6.7pp
Neptunas 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Neptunas over 42.5
Over
41.8%
@ 2.22-3.6pp
Under
58.2%
@ 1.83+3.6pp
1st half: TOF + total 86.5
TOF & over
33.1%
@ 2.55-1.0pp
TOF & under
32.7%
@ 2.70+0.5pp
1st half: Draw + total 86.5
Draw & over
1.7%
@ 29.00-1.3pp
Draw & under
1.9%
@ 29.00-1.1pp
1st half: NEP + total 86.5
NEP & over
15.3%
@ 6.00+0.8pp
NEP & under
15.4%
@ 6.50+2.1pp
1st half Over/Under 87Actual: Over 87
Over
48.0%
@ 1.89-6.8pp
Under
52.0%
@ 2.11+6.8pp
1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Over 89.5
Over
38.4%
@ 2.16-5.7pp
Under
61.6%
@ 1.88+5.7pp
1st half Spread Tofas -6Actual: Neptunas +6
TOF -6
43.3%
@ 2.07-2.7pp
NEP +6
56.7%
@ 1.80+2.7pp
1st half Spread Tofas -4Actual: Neptunas +4
TOF -4
52.0%
@ 1.80-2.5pp
NEP +4
48.0%
@ 2.09+2.5pp
1st half Over/Under 85.75Actual: Over 85.75
Over
53.6%
@ 1.72+1.0pp
Under
46.4%
@ 1.91-1.0pp
1st half Over/Under 91.5Actual: Over 91.5
Over
31.1%
@ 2.05-13.5pp
Under
68.9%
@ 1.65+13.5pp
1st half Spread Tofas -7Actual: Neptunas +7
TOF -7
38.7%
@ 2.11-6.2pp
NEP +7
61.3%
@ 1.72+6.2pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Tofas (regulation)
TOF
65.8%
@ 1.42-1.1pp
Draw
3.5%
@ 18.00-2.0pp
NEP
30.7%
@ 3.31+3.1pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
TOF win + total 175.5
🔒 Pro
NEP win + total 175.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: TOF leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NEP leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (TOF:NEP): TOF wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Q2: Tofas under 25.572.5%1.42
1xBet
1.42		----+11.3ppWon
Q3: Tofas under 26.580.6%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+10.8ppWon
Q3: Tofas under 25.575.0%1.36
1xBet
1.36		----+10.6ppWon
Tofas under 96.571.3%1.48
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.43		--+10.5ppWon
Tofas under 104.590.9%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+10.4ppWon
Tofas under 98.577.4%1.35
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.32		--+10.4ppWon
Tofas under 100.583.0%1.26
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.22		---+10.4ppWon
2nd half: Neptunas +11.578.1%1.31
1xBet
1.31		----+10.1ppLost
Under 18475.9%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+9.9ppWon
2nd half: Neptunas +10.574.9%1.36
1xBet
1.36		----+9.8ppLost
2nd half: Tofas under 50.579.0%1.28
1xBet
1.28		----+9.8ppLost
Under 18374.0%1.45
Bet365
1.45		----+9.8ppWon
2nd half: Neptunas +9.571.8%1.43
1xBet
1.43		----+9.8ppLost
2nd half: Tofas under 49.574.8%1.35
1xBet
1.35		----+9.6ppLost
Tofas under 97.574.5%1.39
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.37		--+9.6ppWon
1st half: Tofas under 49.571.8%1.43
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.39		---+9.5ppWon
Under 18272.0%1.48
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.45		---+9.5ppWon
Tofas under 106.593.7%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+9.4ppWon
Tofas under 101.585.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+9.3ppWon
Under 181.570.6%1.49
Bet365
1.52
BetVictor
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47		-+9.0ppWon
Tofas under 103.589.4%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+8.9ppWon
Tofas under 99.580.2%1.28
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Betano
1.27		--+8.9ppWon
2nd half: Tofas under 48.570.2%1.42
1xBet
1.42		----+8.9ppLost
Tofas under 102.587.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+8.8ppWon
Under 182.572.6%1.45
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.44
Marathon Bet
1.43		--+8.8ppWon
Under 183.574.5%1.41
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.39		---+8.8ppWon
Under 184.576.3%1.36
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.35		---+8.7ppWon
1st half: Under 92.572.1%1.46
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.36		---+8.6ppWon
Q1: Tofas under 26.576.2%1.31
1xBet
1.31		----+8.5ppWon
Tofas under 108.595.7%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+8.5ppWon
Tofas under 110.597.4%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+8.3ppWon
Tofas under 105.592.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+8.2ppWon
Under 185.578.1%1.31
Betano
1.31		----+7.8ppWon
Under 186.579.8%1.28
Betano
1.28		----+7.7ppWon
1st half: Tofas under 50.576.2%1.33
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.32		---+7.7ppWon
Q4: Tofas under 25.571.0%1.38
1xBet
1.38		----+7.7ppLost
Tofas under 107.594.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+7.6ppWon
Tofas under 109.596.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+7.6ppWon
Tofas under 111.597.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+7.4ppWon
Tofas under 114.598.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+7.4ppWon
Tofas under 112.598.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+7.2ppWon
Tofas under 113.598.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+7.1ppWon
Neptunas +1571.4%1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathon Bet
1.43		---+6.9ppPush
2nd half: Neptunas over 36.572.5%1.34
1xBet
1.34		----+6.8ppLost
2nd half: Neptunas over 35.576.6%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+6.7ppLost
Neptunas +1674.2%1.37
Bet365
1.37
Marathon Bet
1.36		---+6.6ppWon
1st half: Tofas under 54.589.6%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+6.5ppWon
Q1: Neptunas under 23.572.0%1.36
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.34		---+6.5ppLost
Q1: Tofas under 31.595.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.4ppWon
Q1: Tofas under 27.581.6%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+6.3ppWon
Neptunas +1776.8%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+6.3ppWon
Neptunas +15.572.2%1.39
BetVictor
1.42
Bet365
1.41
Marathon Bet
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.33		+6.1ppWon
Q1: Under 50.583.9%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+6.1ppWon
Neptunas +1879.2%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+6.1ppWon
1st half: Tofas under 56.594.0%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+6.1ppWon
1st half: Tofas under 52.583.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+6.1ppWon
Q1: Tofas under 33.598.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+6.0ppWon
Q1: Tofas under 29.590.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+6.0ppWon
Neptunas under 100.595.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.9ppWon
Neptunas under 90.578.7%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+5.9ppWon
Neptunas +17.577.3%1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.28		---+5.6ppWon
Neptunas +16.574.8%1.32
Marathon Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.24		-+5.6ppWon
Neptunas over 63.596.7%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.5ppWon
1st half: Neptunas +10.574.1%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+5.5ppWon
Under 189.584.3%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+5.5ppWon
Neptunas +30.596.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.5ppWon
Neptunas +18.579.7%1.25
Bet365
1.26
Betano
1.24		---+5.4ppWon
Neptunas under 94.587.6%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+5.3ppWon
1st half: Neptunas +9.570.7%1.41
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.36		--+5.3ppWon
Neptunas under 98.593.6%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+5.3ppWon
Neptunas under 101.596.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.2ppWon
Neptunas +19.581.8%1.20
Betano
1.20		----+5.1ppWon
Neptunas over 61.597.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.1ppWon
Neptunas over 65.594.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.1ppWon
Under 199.594.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+5.1ppWon
Neptunas under 104.597.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.0ppWon
Neptunas +20.583.8%1.17
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17		---+5.0ppWon
1st half: Neptunas under 51.593.2%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+4.9ppWon
Q1: Under 48.575.8%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+4.9ppWon
Neptunas +21.585.6%1.14
Betano
1.14		----+4.8ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 30.593.5%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+4.8ppWon
Neptunas under 96.590.9%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+4.8ppWon
Neptunas under 102.597.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.7ppWon
Tofas over 71.596.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.7ppWon
Q1: Tofas over 13.596.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.7ppWon
Neptunas over 64.595.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.6ppWon
Q1: Neptunas +6.572.3%1.34
Bet365
1.37
1xBet
1.31		---+4.6ppWon
1st half: Neptunas under 45.573.5%1.31
Bet365
1.32
1xBet
1.31		---+4.6ppLost
Neptunas under 103.597.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.6ppWon
Neptunas over 62.597.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.6ppWon
1st half: Neptunas +13.583.3%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+4.5ppWon
Q1: Neptunas +8.580.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+4.5ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 34.582.2%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+4.4ppWon
Neptunas under 99.594.6%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+4.4ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 32.588.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+4.4ppWon
1st half: Under 96.583.2%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+4.4ppWon
1st half: Neptunas under 47.582.0%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+4.2ppLost
Q1: Neptunas over 12.594.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+4.2ppWon
1st half: Neptunas under 49.588.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+4.1ppWon
Overtime: no96.1%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+4.1pp-
Under 194.590.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+4.1ppWon
1st half: Under 94.578.1%1.26
Bet365
1.26		----+4.1ppWon
Neptunas under 92.583.6%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+4.1ppWon
1st half: Neptunas +11.577.4%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+4.0ppWon
Neptunas over 66.593.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.0ppWon
1st half: Over 76.583.5%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+4.0ppWon
Q1: Neptunas over 10.597.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.0ppWon
Q1: Neptunas under 28.594.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+4.0ppLost
1st half: Neptunas +15.587.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+3.9ppWon
Neptunas +25.591.4%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+3.9ppWon
Q1: Tofas over 15.592.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+3.9ppWon
Neptunas under 88.572.9%1.32
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.28		--+3.9ppWon
Neptunas under 97.592.2%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+3.9ppWon
Tofas over 72.595.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+3.9ppWon
Q1: Neptunas under 30.597.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.9ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 31.591.4%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+3.9ppWon
Tofas over 73.594.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+3.7ppWon
1st half: Neptunas under 50.591.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+3.7ppWon
Neptunas over 67.591.9%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+3.6ppWon
1st half: Tofas over 36.589.7%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+3.6ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 36.574.1%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+3.6ppWon
Neptunas under 89.575.9%1.27
Bet365
1.27
Betano
1.26		---+3.5ppWon
Neptunas under 91.581.2%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+3.4ppWon
Neptunas under 93.585.7%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+3.4ppWon
Neptunas under 95.589.3%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+3.2ppWon
1st half: Tofas over 38.583.7%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+3.1ppWon
Neptunas over 69.588.6%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+3.1ppWon
Tofas over 75.592.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+3.1ppWon
Neptunas over 71.584.5%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+3.0ppWon
Q1: Neptunas over 17.572.9%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+3.0ppWon
Q1: Tofas or Neptunas94.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+3.0pp-
Tofas over 74.593.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+2.9ppWon
Q1: Neptunas over 16.579.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+2.9ppWon
Q1: Neptunas under 26.588.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+2.6ppLost
1st half: Neptunas over 33.585.6%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+2.5ppWon
Q1: Neptunas over 14.588.4%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+2.3ppWon
1st half: Neptunas under 48.585.4%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+2.3ppLost
Q1: Neptunas under 24.578.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+2.3ppLost
Over 149.591.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+2.2ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 35.578.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+2.2ppWon
Neptunas over 68.590.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+2.1ppWon
Q1: Tofas over 17.585.9%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+2.1ppWon
1st half: Tofas over 41.570.9%1.29
1xBet
1.29		----+2.0ppWon
1st half: Over 78.578.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+2.0ppWon
Tofas over 77.589.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+1.9ppWon
Q2: Tofas or Neptunas94.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.8pp-
1st half: Neptunas under 46.577.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+1.7ppLost
Tofas over 76.590.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+1.6ppWon
1st half: Over 80.572.1%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+1.6ppWon
Neptunas over 73.579.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+1.6ppWon
Neptunas over 74.576.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22		---+1.4ppWon
Neptunas over 70.586.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+1.1ppWon
Tofas +9.591.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.1ppWon
Q1: Over 38.575.8%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+1.0ppWon
1st half: Tofas over 40.575.7%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+0.9ppWon
Q1: Tofas +1.570.8%1.30
1xBet
1.31
Bet365
1.29		---+0.9ppLost
Tofas over 81.580.4%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+0.9ppWon
Tofas over 79.585.1%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+0.7ppWon
Q1: Tofas +3.579.5%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+0.6ppLost
Neptunas over 72.582.0%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+0.6ppWon
Q1: Tofas over 19.575.2%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+0.5ppLost
Neptunas over 75.573.4%1.25
Bet365
1.29
Betano
1.22		---+0.4ppWon
Over 154.586.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+0.1ppWon
Tofas over 78.587.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+0.0ppWon
1st half: Tofas +4.582.4%1.12
Bet365
1.12		-----0.7ppLost
Neptunas over 76.570.2%1.28
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Betano
1.27		---1.1ppWon
Over 159.578.4%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----1.1ppWon
1st half: Tofas +2.576.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----1.4ppLost
Tofas over 83.574.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----1.4ppWon
Tofas over 80.582.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----1.5ppWon
Tofas over 82.577.7%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----1.8ppWon
Over 163.570.6%1.26
Betano
1.26		-----2.4ppWon
Tofas +4.584.1%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----3.4ppWon
Tofas -1.573.2%1.20
Betano
1.20		-----3.5ppWon
Tofas (regulation)73.1%1.18
Betano
1.21
Marathon Bet
1.16
1xBet
1.16		---3.8ppWon
Tofas over 84.571.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----4.5ppWon
Tofas win75.3%1.15
WilliamHill
1.17
Marathon Bet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Betano
1.15
BetVictor
1.15		-6.8ppWon
Tofas or draw76.7%1.09
Marathon Bet
1.09		------
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
54.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.9
29.2%
34.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
75.6%15.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.1
53.4%
54.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
34.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.620.2
82.1%
75.6%20.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWLLWWLWLW
Neptunas
LLWLWWLLWL
#6
League position
#26
-1.4
Net rating
-1.7
92.8
Offensive rating
98.4
94.2
Defensive rating
100.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.39
29.2%
3-point %
32.8%
59.8%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 98.4Defence94.2 · 100.1Shooting52.7% · 51.8%3-point %29.2% · 32.8%Ball care17.6% · 15.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Tofas   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
0
Neptunas wins
No previous meetings.
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AFenerbahce77-88
28/10/26ASlask Wroclaw90-74
25/10/26HPetkim Spor72-74
21/10/26ABasket Napoli101-105 OT
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85
10/10/26HEsenler Erokspor79-87
06/10/26AJL Bourg89-82
03/10/26ADenizli Basket87-101
29/09/26HChemnitz82-69
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ALietkabelis79-99
28/10/26HBasket Napoli85-94
25/10/26HSiauliai110-88
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
10/10/26ARytas77-86
07/10/26AChemnitz84-93
03/10/26HNevezis89-62
29/09/26HTrento73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game90.486.093.3
Allowed / game83.077.087.0
Point differential+7.4+9.0+6.3
Avg total173.4163.0180.3
Over 175.7520%0%33%
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Neptunas
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game84.883.786.5
Allowed / game91.286.398.5
Point differential-6.4-2.7-12.0
Avg total176.0170.0185.0
Over 175.7580%67%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aris550100%91.274.8+16.4
2 Hapoel Jerusalem550100%88.873.6+15.2
3 Basket Napoli550100%92.483.8+8.6
4 Bahcesehir Kol.54180%90.678.6+12.0
5 Chemnitz54180%88.278.0+10.2
6 Tofas54180%90.483.0+7.4
7 Tenerife54180%88.281.8+6.4
8 London Lions53260%80.873.0+7.8
9 Ulm53260%90.686.6+4.0
10 Manresa53260%90.287.0+3.2
11 PAOK53260%84.481.4+3.0
12 Tortona53260%83.283.8-0.6
13 Lietkabelis53260%77.878.6-0.8
14 Siauliai53260%82.484.0-1.6
15 Frankfurt53260%87.890.4-2.6
16 Rigas Zelli53260%80.884.2-3.4
17 Venezia52340%86.081.4+4.6
18 Buducnost52340%91.088.2+2.8
19 Le Mans52340%81.280.4+0.8
20 Maxima Roma52340%84.084.0+0.0
21 KK Bosna52340%81.681.8-0.2
22 Trento52340%82.087.4-5.4
23 BC Roma52340%83.088.6-5.6
24 Cluj-Napoca52340%83.091.6-8.6
25 JL Bourg51420%82.888.2-5.4
26 San Pablo Burgos51420%79.885.4-5.6
27 Turk Telekom51420%75.481.4-6.0
28 Neptunas51420%84.891.2-6.4
29 Slask Wroclaw51420%78.490.2-11.8
30 Rostock51420%78.491.6-13.2
31 Cedevita Olimpija5050%72.682.2-9.6
32 Balkan5050%67.683.2-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1924242794
Neptunas2920102079
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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