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Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 100-78
25-26 25-20 29-20 21-12
Position#7
Record41-31
FormWLWLL
Points / game106.7
Allowed / game103.6
vs
Position#24
Record30-42
FormWWWWL
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game100.1
USANBA· Air Canada Centre
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Dallas Mavericks
27 Jan 2027
TOR v DAL
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
TOR122
DAL92
07 Dec 2024
TOR118
DAL125
28 Feb 2024
TOR125
DAL136
26 Nov 2022
TOR105
DAL100
23 Oct 2021
TOR95
DAL103
18 Jan 2021
TOR116
DAL93
22 Dec 2019
TOR110
DAL107
26 Oct 2018
TOR116
DAL107
16 Mar 2018
TOR122
DAL115
13 Mar 2017
TOR100
DAL78
22 Dec 2015
TOR103
DAL99
28 Nov 2014
TOR102
DAL106
22 Jan 2014
TOR93
DAL85
14 Dec 2012
TOR95
DAL74
27 Feb 2011
TOR96
DAL114
17 Jan 2010
TOR110
DAL88
17 Dec 2008
TOR86
DAL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H16/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
107-97
107
97
+10
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
112-106
112
106
+6
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
92-91
92
91
+1
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
96-105
96
105
-9
H02/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
114-106
114
106
+8
A04/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
94-101
94
101
-7
A05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
99-105
99
105
-6
A11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
89-104
89
104
-15
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
13-21
14-34
32-10
18-29
27-26
29-22
33-20
25-28
28-24
29-28
30-26
21-25
19-28
23-14
29-24
26-24
20-38
14-20
36-23
35-27
27-26
17-25
35-28
19-12
23-41
25-27
27-21
22-26
23-20
23-18
26-23
19-18
29-31
27-25
24-31
26-32
15-27
22-26
26-19
197.4Avg total
98.7Scored
98.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)106.7103.6210.3+3.157%
Season at home (34)110.4102.9213.3+7.565%
Season away (38)103.5104.2207.7-0.750%
Last 10 (10)98.798.7197.4+0.060%
Last 5 (5)98.0100.6198.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)102.0104.6206.6-2.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)106.2102.8209.0+3.567%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
91-98
91
98
-7
A16/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
84-97
84
97
-13
A25/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
96-83
96
83
+13
H26/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
96-89
96
89
+7
H28/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
95-100
95
100
-5
A02/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
104-100
104
100
+4
H04/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
104-89
104
89
+15
H06/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
122-111
122
111
+11
H08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H11/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
98-100
98
100
-2
H12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
18-35
28-16
28-20
22-26
18-23
23-22
21-26
24-30
23-19
20-14
29-20
22-31
33-23
23-15
18-20
22-27
30-36
24-18
19-19
20-22
31-28
28-22
25-28
28-27
32-23
28-21
16-18
38-29
32-23
33-22
19-37
23-26
23-23
28-24
31-23
24-25
23-20
22-27
29-28
195.8Avg total
99.5Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)98.0100.1198.1-2.142%
Season at home (38)100.997.7198.6+3.258%
Season away (34)94.8102.8197.5-8.024%
Last 10 (10)99.596.3195.8+3.260%
Last 5 (5)106.699.2205.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)102.4102.0204.4+0.457%
vs Similar (23)101.597.7199.2+3.857%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +7.3+7.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
Toronto RaptorsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H02/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A04/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A12/03
NBA
98.9Avg total
46.6Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.153.4105.5-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.754.3108.0-0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)50.552.5103.1-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)46.652.398.9-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)47.652.099.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)51.953.7105.6-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)52.453.1105.5-0.750%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A16/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A25/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H26/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H28/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A02/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H04/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H06/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H11/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H12/03
NBA
102.6Avg total
50.3Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.950.6101.6+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (19)52.148.6100.7+3.563%-
Last 30 away (11)48.954.2103.1-5.336%-
Last 10 (10)50.352.3102.6-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)54.849.2104.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)49.352.6101.9-3.343%-
vs Similar (23)51.450.0101.5+1.457%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 98.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.329.2
48.4%
50.2%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.0
31.8%
35.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.619.3
78.5%
77.0%19.3
They take 82.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 99.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.025.6
49.2%
50.2%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.816.8
84.8%
77.0%16.8
They take 80.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LLWLWLWWWW
Dallas Mavericks
LWWWWLWWLL
#7
League position
#24
+0.0
Net rating
+3.4
104.1
Offensive rating
104.6
104.1
Defensive rating
101.2
48.2%
Effective FG%
51.1%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
12.5%
Turnover %
13.6%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
18.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.8%
3-point %
36.3%
43.1%
Assist %
57.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 104.6Defence104.1 · 101.2Shooting48.2% · 51.1%3-point %31.8% · 36.3%Ball care12.5% · 13.6%Off. rebounds23.9% · 18.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/17AMiami Heat89-104
11/03/17AAtlanta Hawks99-105
09/03/17ANew Orleans Pelicans94-87
05/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks94-101
04/03/17AWashington Wizards114-106
02/03/17HWashington Wizards96-105
28/02/17ANew York Knicks92-91
26/02/17HPortland Trail Blazers112-106
25/02/17HBoston Celtics107-97
16/02/17HCharlotte Hornets90-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/17HPhoenix Suns98-100
11/03/17HBrooklyn Nets105-96
08/03/17HLos Angeles Lakers122-111
06/03/17HOklahoma City Thunder104-89
04/03/17HMemphis Grizzlies104-100
02/03/17AAtlanta Hawks95-100
28/02/17HMiami Heat96-89
26/02/17HNew Orleans Pelicans96-83
25/02/17AMinnesota Timberwolves84-97
16/02/17ADetroit Pistons91-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeLWWWL65%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723438
Win %57%65%50%
Points / game106.7110.4103.5
Allowed / game103.6102.9104.2
Point differential+3.1+7.5-0.7
Avg total210.3213.3207.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (23)33% (12)36% (11)
Overtime %4%3%5%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL42%
HomeWWWWL58%
AwayWLLLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723834
Win %42%58%24%
Points / game98.0100.994.8
Allowed / game100.197.7102.8
Point differential-2.1+3.2-8.0
Avg total198.1198.6197.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%32%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)40% (5)50% (12)
Overtime %6%8%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors73581579%115.9104.9+11.0
2 San Antonio Spurs71551677%105.797.9+7.8
3 Houston Rockets73502368%115.2108.5+6.8
4 Boston Celtics74472764%107.2104.6+2.7
5 Cleveland Cavaliers71452663%110.0106.6+3.4
6 Washington Wizards72452762%108.8105.8+3.0
7 Utah Jazz72442861%100.496.3+4.1
8 Los Angeles Clippers72432960%106.5104.5+2.0
9 Atlanta Hawks73423158%103.4103.2+0.2
10 Toronto Raptors72413157%106.7103.6+3.1
11 Oklahoma City Thunder70393156%106.2105.9+0.2
12 Memphis Grizzlies72403256%101.7100.9+0.8
13 Indiana Pacers72373551%104.9105.6-0.6
14 Detroit Pistons72363650%101.6101.1+0.5
15 Milwaukee Bucks71353649%103.8103.6+0.2
16 Miami Heat75363948%102.5101.4+1.2
17 Denver Nuggets74353947%110.0110.1-0.1
18 Chicago Bulls74353947%102.2103.2-1.0
19 Portland Trail Blazers72333946%107.9109.6-1.7
20 Minnesota Timberwolves72324044%104.3103.8+0.5
21 Charlotte Hornets74324243%104.0104.0+0.0
22 Dallas Mavericks72304242%98.0100.1-2.1
23 New York Knicks73304341%105.8108.7-2.9
24 Sacramento Kings71274438%102.7106.0-3.3
25 New Orleans Pelicans72274538%103.1106.5-3.4
26 Phoenix Suns73264736%107.3111.8-4.5
27 Philadelphia 76ers73264736%101.5108.1-6.5
28 Orlando Magic74264835%99.6106.1-6.5
29 Los Angeles Lakers74225230%104.6110.7-6.0
30 Brooklyn Nets71135818%105.4113.8-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors25252921100
Dallas Mavericks2620201278
← all games of the day
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