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Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 104-89
32-26 27-15 26-22 19-26
Position#13
Record31-34
FormWLWWW
Points / game102.3
Allowed / game101.9
vs
Position#7
Record38-27
FormLWLWL
Points / game107.6
Allowed / game103.8
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Toronto Raptors
03 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
02 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
MIA91
TOR112
15 Dec 2025
MIA96
TOR106
12 Dec 2024
MIA114
TOR104
29 Nov 2024
MIA121
TOR111
14 Apr 2024
MIA118
TOR103
12 Apr 2024
MIA125
TOR103
24 Oct 2022
MIA90
TOR98
22 Oct 2022
MIA112
TOR109
29 Jan 2022
MIA120
TOR124
17 Jan 2022
MIA104
TOR99
24 Feb 2021
MIA116
TOR108
03 Aug 2020
MIA103
TOR107
02 Jan 2020
MIA84
TOR76
10 Mar 2019
MIA104
TOR125
26 Dec 2018
MIA104
TOR106
11 Apr 2018
MIA116
TOR109
23 Mar 2017
MIA84
TOR101
11 Mar 2017
MIA104
TOR89
13 May 2016
MIA103
TOR91
09 May 2016
MIA94
TOR87
07 May 2016
MIA91
TOR95
18 Dec 2015
MIA94
TOR108
08 Nov 2015
MIA96
TOR76
11 Apr 2015
MIA104
TOR107
02 Nov 2014
MIA107
TOR102
31 Mar 2014
MIA93
TOR83
05 Jan 2014
MIA102
TOR97
23 Jan 2013
MIA123
TOR116
18 Apr 2012
MIA96
TOR72
05 Feb 2012
MIA95
TOR89
22 Jan 2011
MIA120
TOR103
13 Nov 2010
MIA109
TOR100
28 Mar 2010
MIA97
TOR94
15 Dec 2009
MIA115
TOR95
19 Nov 2008
MIA95
TOR101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
L
107-116
107
116
-9
91avg 93
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
117-109
117
109
+8
114avg 93
A16/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
108-90
108
90
+18
102avg 93
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
113-95
113
95
+18
108avg 93
H26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
89-96
89
96
-7
80avg 93
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
125-98
125
98
+27
117avg 93
H02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
99-110
99
110
-11
85avg 93
A04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
120-92
120
92
+28
114avg 93
H05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
106-98
106
98
+8
92avg 93
A07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
108-101
108
101
+7
99avg 93
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-36
29-24
30-27
20-29
34-28
24-17
30-28
29-36
25-24
38-25
24-17
21-24
18-23
35-31
30-25
30-16
31-22
23-33
15-23
20-18
37-27
27-17
24-30
37-24
25-33
28-27
20-25
26-25
35-35
32-16
34-24
19-17
29-22
33-30
27-19
17-27
18-22
36-32
27-32
27-15
209.7Avg total
109.2Scored
100.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)102.3101.9204.2+0.548%
Season at home (31)105.7101.5207.2+4.255%
Season away (34)99.3102.2201.4-2.941%
Last 10 (10)109.2100.5209.7+8.770%
Last 5 (5)111.699.8211.4+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)106.5105.2211.8+1.275%
vs Similar ◀ (15)106.697.5204.1+9.180%
vs Weaker (11)107.5106.5214.1+1.055%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
94-105
94
105
-11
80avg 92
A15/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
90-85
90
85
+5
78avg 92
H16/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
107-97
107
97
+10
94avg 92
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
112-106
112
106
+6
102avg 92
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
92-91
92
91
+1
78avg 92
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
96-105
96
105
-9
78avg 92
H02/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
114-106
114
106
+8
108avg 92
A04/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
94-101
94
101
-7
86avg 92
A05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
94-87
94
87
+7
87avg 92
A09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
99-105
99
105
-6
83avg 92
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
21-34
25-20
30-27
31-20
13-21
14-34
32-10
18-29
27-26
29-22
33-20
25-28
28-24
29-28
30-26
21-25
19-28
23-14
29-24
26-24
20-38
14-20
36-23
35-27
27-26
17-25
35-28
19-12
23-41
25-27
27-21
22-26
23-20
23-18
26-23
19-18
29-31
27-25
24-31
198.0Avg total
99.2Scored
98.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)107.6103.8211.3+3.858%
Season at home (32)110.9103.1214.0+7.966%
Season away (33)104.3104.5208.7-0.252%
Last 10 (10)99.298.8198.0+0.460%
Last 5 (5)99.4100.8200.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)103.7105.5209.3-1.840%
vs Weaker (15)105.6103.5209.1+2.153%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +6.9+6.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +6.9+6.9
Miami HeatToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A16/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H09/03
NBA
110.9Avg total
58.5Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.753.4109.1+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.751.6108.3+5.154%-
Last 30 away (17)54.954.8109.7+0.241%-
Last 10 (10)58.552.4110.9+6.150%-
Last 5 (5)60.052.2112.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.849.8102.5+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)56.152.6108.7+3.553%-
vs Weaker (11)56.255.8112.0+0.436%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A15/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H02/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A04/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A11/03
NBA
98.6Avg total
46.4Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.853.1105.8-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.754.3108.0-0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)51.951.8103.7+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)46.452.298.6-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)48.652.6101.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)52.853.9106.7-1.153%-
vs Weaker (15)52.752.3105.0+0.553%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.327.4
49.5%
50.2%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.913.0
40.8%
35.7%39.0
🏀 Free throws20.415.4
75.5%
77.0%15.4
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 99.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.729.1
49.6%
50.2%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.3
32.4%
35.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws24.519.1
78.0%
77.0%19.1
They take 81.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWLWLWWWL
Toronto Raptors
LWLWLWWWWL
#13
League position
#7
+9.0
Net rating
+0.4
113.4
Offensive rating
104.4
104.3
Defensive rating
104.0
53.8%
Effective FG%
49.3%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
12.1%
Turnover %
12.9%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.8%
3-point %
32.4%
55.4%
Assist %
45.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 104.4Defence104.3 · 104.0Shooting53.8% · 49.3%3-point %40.8% · 32.4%Ball care12.1% · 12.9%Off. rebounds25.7% · 22.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
7
Toronto Raptors wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/17HCharlotte Hornets108-101
07/03/17ACleveland Cavaliers106-98
05/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers120-92
04/03/17AOrlando Magic99-110
02/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers125-98
28/02/17ADallas Mavericks89-96
26/02/17HIndiana Pacers113-95
25/02/17AAtlanta Hawks108-90
16/02/17AHouston Rockets117-109
14/02/17HOrlando Magic107-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/17AAtlanta Hawks99-105
09/03/17ANew Orleans Pelicans94-87
05/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks94-101
04/03/17AWashington Wizards114-106
02/03/17HWashington Wizards96-105
28/02/17ANew York Knicks92-91
26/02/17HPortland Trail Blazers112-106
25/02/17HBoston Celtics107-97
16/02/17HCharlotte Hornets90-85
15/02/17AChicago Bulls94-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW48%
HomeLWWWW55%
AwayWWLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653134
Win %48%55%41%
Points / game102.3105.799.3
Allowed / game101.9101.5102.2
Point differential+0.5+4.2-2.9
Avg total204.2207.2201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%32%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)33% (6)56% (9)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL58%
HomeLWWWL66%
AwayWWLWL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653233
Win %58%66%52%
Points / game107.6110.9104.3
Allowed / game103.8103.1104.5
Point differential+3.8+7.9-0.2
Avg total211.3214.0208.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%41%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (21)30% (10)36% (11)
Overtime %5%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors65521380%116.8105.3+11.5
2 San Antonio Spurs64501478%106.598.5+8.0
3 Houston Rockets66452168%115.1108.2+6.9
4 Cleveland Cavaliers64432167%110.7106.5+4.2
5 Washington Wizards64402462%108.9106.3+2.6
6 Utah Jazz66412562%100.696.5+4.1
7 Boston Celtics66412562%107.6105.5+2.1
8 Los Angeles Clippers66402661%107.8104.7+3.1
9 Toronto Raptors65382758%107.6103.8+3.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder66372956%106.3106.2+0.1
11 Memphis Grizzlies65362955%101.4100.7+0.6
12 Atlanta Hawks65362955%103.9104.6-0.7
13 Indiana Pacers65333251%104.8105.7-0.9
14 Detroit Pistons66333350%102.3102.1+0.2
15 Milwaukee Bucks64313348%105.1104.5+0.7
16 Miami Heat65313448%102.3101.9+0.5
17 Chicago Bulls65313448%102.1103.3-1.2
18 Denver Nuggets65303546%110.8111.2-0.4
19 Portland Trail Blazers63283544%108.3110.4-2.1
20 Charlotte Hornets66293744%105.2104.3+0.9
21 Dallas Mavericks64283644%98.499.8-1.4
22 Minnesota Timberwolves64273742%104.8104.8+0.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans66264039%102.9106.1-3.2
24 New York Knicks66264039%105.4108.7-3.3
25 Sacramento Kings65254038%102.9106.1-3.2
26 Orlando Magic67244336%99.7106.1-6.4
27 Philadelphia 76ers65234235%101.8108.0-6.2
28 Phoenix Suns65214432%107.8112.9-5.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers65204531%104.3111.0-6.7
30 Brooklyn Nets64115317%105.5114.1-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat32272619104
Toronto Raptors2615222689
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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