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Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 100-119
21-27 27-34 26-36 26-22
Position#5
Record49-23
FormWWLLW
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game98.2
Toronto Raptors
USA
vs
Oklahoma City Thunder 🏆
USA
Position#4
Record51-22
FormWWWWW
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game102.8
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Oklahoma City Thunder
10 Mar 2027
TOR v OKC
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
TOR107
OKC116
05 Dec 2024
TOR92
OKC129
22 Mar 2024
TOR103
OKC123
16 Mar 2023
TOR128
OKC111
08 Dec 2021
TOR109
OKC110
18 Apr 2021
TOR112
OKC106
29 Dec 2019
TOR97
OKC98
22 Mar 2019
TOR109
OKC116
18 Mar 2018
TOR125
OKC132
16 Mar 2017
TOR102
OKC123
28 Mar 2016
TOR100
OKC119
04 Nov 2014
TOR100
OKC88
21 Mar 2014
TOR118
OKC119
06 Jan 2013
TOR92
OKC104
03 Dec 2010
TOR111
OKC99
19 Mar 2010
TOR89
OKC115
27 Mar 2009
TOR112
OKC96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
104-96
104
96
+8
94avg 92
H11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
112-104 OT
112
104
+8
98avg 92
H13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
107-109
107
109
-2
92avg 92
H14/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
107-89
107
89
+18
107avg 92
A16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
101-94 OT
101
94
+7
85avg 92
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
105-91
105
91
+14
96avg 92
H18/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
105-100
105
100
+5
91avg 92
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
61avg 92
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
109-112
109
112
-3
94avg 92
A26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
115-91
115
91
+24
119avg 92
A26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
32-27
30-27
22-21
28-24
25-22
17-25
27-26
29-34
23-24
25-26
30-25
22-28
30-21
29-17
26-23
27-25
16-21
20-14
22-25
30-14
25-27
24-33
26-17
30-25
23-30
27-27
25-18
25-25
21-21
16-23
17-22
21-29
37-25
20-25
31-33
20-15
28-21
37-25
30-30
202.1Avg total
104.4Scored
97.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)102.998.2201.2+4.768%
Season at home (36)104.798.1202.8+6.678%
Season away (36)101.298.4199.6+2.858%
Last 10 (10)104.497.7202.1+6.770%
Last 5 (5)102.697.0199.6+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (17)104.899.1203.8+5.776%
vs Weaker (13)106.9100.6207.5+6.369%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
120-108
120
108
+12
123avg 104
H10/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
96-99
96
99
-3
86avg 104
H12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
85-93
85
93
-8
80avg 104
A13/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
128-94
128
94
+34
135avg 104
H15/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
130-109
130
109
+21
122avg 104
A16/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
111-97
111
97
+14
116avg 104
A18/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
115-111
115
111
+4
114avg 104
A19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
111-107
111
107
+4
99avg 104
H23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
113-91
113
91
+22
108avg 104
H25/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
111-92
111
92
+19
105avg 104
H27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-29
25-33
29-21
27-25
21-24
32-26
20-19
23-30
22-25
27-20
19-21
17-27
31-22
35-20
36-30
26-22
35-30
31-25
42-26
22-28
27-23
26-24
32-21
26-29
27-28
37-26
24-33
27-24
28-27
27-29
23-21
33-30
26-23
24-16
31-21
32-31
24-26
24-18
35-19
28-29
212.1Avg total
112.0Scored
100.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)110.2102.8213.0+7.570%
Season at home (39)109.299.8209.0+9.577%
Season away (34)111.4106.2217.6+5.262%
Last 10 (10)112.0100.1212.1+11.980%
Last 5 (5)112.299.6211.8+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)104.8108.6213.4-3.925%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)115.5105.9221.4+9.582%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
Toronto RaptorsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H14/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H18/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A26/03
NBA
99.1Avg total
51.2Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.549.1102.6+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.749.5103.2+4.276%-
Last 30 away (13)53.248.6101.8+4.569%-
Last 10 (10)51.247.999.1+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)52.046.498.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (17)53.748.1101.8+5.676%-
vs Weaker (13)53.250.4103.5+2.869%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H10/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A13/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
66-42
66
42
+24
H15/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
66-55
66
55
+11
A16/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A18/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H25/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H27/03
NBA
106.2Avg total
56.8Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.853.5111.3+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.951.3108.1+5.679%-
Last 30 away (16)58.655.5114.1+3.156%-
Last 10 (10)56.849.4106.2+7.490%-
Last 5 (5)54.048.0102.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)56.154.1110.2+2.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)58.453.3111.7+5.068%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 104.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.027.4
46.4%
49.0%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.0
36.9%
35.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws29.722.6
76.1%
75.5%22.6
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.8 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.134.9
56.2%
49.0%69.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.9
32.6%
35.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.718.5
78.1%
75.5%18.5
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WLLWWWWLWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWWLLW
#5
League position
#4
+7.0
Net rating
+12.0
108.6
Offensive rating
113.2
101.7
Defensive rating
101.1
49.0%
Effective FG%
54.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
11.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.9%
3-point %
32.6%
49.2%
Assist %
56.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 113.2Defence101.7 · 101.1Shooting49.0% · 54.2%3-point %36.9% · 32.6%Ball care11.5% · 16.4%Off. rebounds26.3% · 32.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Toronto Raptors wins
5
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
DateGameScore
05/11/15Oklahoma City Thunder v Toronto Raptors98-103
08/03/15Oklahoma City Thunder v Toronto Raptors108-104
05/11/14Toronto Raptors v Oklahoma City Thunder100-88
21/03/14Toronto Raptors v Oklahoma City Thunder118-119 OT
23/12/13Oklahoma City Thunder v Toronto Raptors98-104
06/01/13Toronto Raptors v Oklahoma City Thunder92-104
07/11/12Oklahoma City Thunder v Toronto Raptors108-88
08/04/12Oklahoma City Thunder v Toronto Raptors91-75
20/03/11Oklahoma City Thunder v Toronto Raptors93-95
04/12/10Toronto Raptors v Oklahoma City Thunder111-99
Toronto Raptorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/16ANew Orleans Pelicans115-91
26/03/16AHouston Rockets109-112
23/03/16ABoston Celtics79-91
20/03/16HOrlando Magic105-100
18/03/16HBoston Celtics105-91
17/03/16AIndiana Pacers101-94 OT
16/03/16AMilwaukee Bucks107-89
14/03/16HChicago Bulls107-109
13/03/16HMiami Heat112-104 OT
11/03/16HAtlanta Hawks104-96
Oklahoma City Thunderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/16HSan Antonio Spurs111-92
25/03/16HUtah Jazz113-91
23/03/16HHouston Rockets111-107
19/03/16AIndiana Pacers115-111
18/03/16APhiladelphia 76ers111-97
16/03/16ABoston Celtics130-109
15/03/16HPortland Trail Blazers128-94
13/03/16ASan Antonio Spurs85-93
12/03/16HMinnesota Timberwolves96-99
10/03/16HLos Angeles Clippers120-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW68%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723636
Win %68%78%58%
Points / game102.9104.7101.2
Allowed / game98.298.198.4
Point differential+4.7+6.6+2.8
Avg total201.2202.8199.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (23)60% (15)38% (8)
Overtime %6%3%8%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733934
Win %70%77%62%
Points / game110.2109.2111.4
Allowed / game102.899.8106.2
Point differential+7.5+9.5+5.2
Avg total213.0209.0217.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%51%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (24)50% (10)57% (14)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors7366790%115.5104.3+11.1
2 San Antonio Spurs73611284%104.392.6+11.7
3 Cleveland Cavaliers73522171%103.997.9+6.1
4 Oklahoma City Thunder73512270%110.2102.8+7.5
5 Toronto Raptors72492368%102.998.2+4.7
6 Los Angeles Clippers72452762%104.4101.0+3.4
7 Atlanta Hawks74443059%102.998.9+4.0
8 Boston Celtics73433059%105.8102.0+3.8
9 Miami Heat72423058%99.598.1+1.3
10 Charlotte Hornets73423158%103.2100.8+2.4
11 Memphis Grizzlies73413256%99.2100.7-1.5
12 Indiana Pacers73393453%101.8100.4+1.4
13 Detroit Pistons74393553%102.4101.6+0.7
14 Portland Trail Blazers74383651%104.5104.0+0.5
15 Chicago Bulls72363650%101.5103.2-1.6
16 Utah Jazz73363749%97.596.4+1.1
17 Washington Wizards73363749%103.5104.4-0.9
18 Houston Rockets74363849%105.9106.8-0.9
19 Dallas Mavericks73353848%103.3104.2-0.9
20 Denver Nuggets74314342%102.3104.9-2.6
21 Orlando Magic73304341%100.9103.2-2.3
22 New York Knicks74304441%98.8101.5-2.7
23 Milwaukee Bucks74304441%98.9102.9-4.0
24 Sacramento Kings73294440%106.9109.0-2.2
25 New Orleans Pelicans72264636%102.8106.4-3.6
26 Minnesota Timberwolves73244933%102.1105.9-3.8
27 Brooklyn Nets72215129%98.7104.7-6.0
28 Phoenix Suns73205327%100.4107.6-7.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers73155821%98.0106.8-8.8
30 Philadelphia 76ers7496512%97.2107.6-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors21272626100
Oklahoma City Thunder27343622119
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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