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Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#17
Record5-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game111.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game118.1
Allowed / game107.0
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Jan 2027
TOR v MIN
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
TOR126
MIN128
21 Nov 2024
TOR110
MIN105
25 Oct 2023
TOR97
MIN94
18 Mar 2023
TOR122
MIN107
30 Mar 2022
TOR125
MIN102
14 Feb 2021
TOR112
MIN116
10 Feb 2020
TOR137
MIN126
24 Oct 2018
TOR112
MIN105
30 Jan 2018
TOR109
MIN104
08 Dec 2016
TOR124
MIN110
24 Feb 2016
TOR114
MIN105
18 Mar 2015
TOR105
MIN100
17 Jan 2014
TOR94
MIN89
04 Nov 2012
TOR105
MIN86
09 Jan 2012
TOR97
MIN87
04 Feb 2011
TOR111
MIN100
08 Dec 2009
TOR94
MIN88
24 Feb 2009
TOR118
MIN110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
W
112-102
112
102
+10
99avg 107
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
94-117
94
117
-23
52avg 107
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
129-99
129
99
+30
127avg 107
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
114-121
114
121
-7
99avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
125-131
125
131
-6
111avg 107
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
125-118
125
118
+7
115avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
109-128
109
128
-19
98avg 107
A05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
121-107
121
107
+14
111avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
102-118
102
118
-16
88avg 107
H10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
93-98
93
98
-5
84avg 107
H12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
26-31
21-25
31-25
21-32
26-23
15-35
32-27
32-25
37-28
34-23
26-23
27-31
28-33
33-31
26-26
23-36
31-30
28-38
43-27
22-33
30-30
26-28
47-27
35-33
32-31
15-39
27-25
24-29
27-31
38-27
32-20
26-25
27-34
28-30
21-29
38-29
23-25
19-21
13-23
226.3Avg total
112.4Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.5111.9226.4+2.545%
Season at home (5)114.6105.6220.2+9.040%
Season away (6)114.3117.2231.5-2.850%
Last 10 (10)112.4113.9226.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)110.0113.8223.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)104.0116.7220.7-12.70%
vs Similar (13)112.6111.1223.7+1.546%
vs Weaker (11)125.2108.4233.5+16.882%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
115-93
115
93
+22
111avg 107
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
117-94
117
94
+23
120avg 107
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 107
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 107
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 107
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 107
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 107
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 107
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 107
H09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
31-25
29-15
29-33
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
223.9Avg total
116.8Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)118.1107.0225.1+11.173%
Season at home (5)117.0102.8219.8+14.280%
Season away (6)119.0110.5229.5+8.567%
Last 10 (10)116.8107.1223.9+9.770%
Last 5 (5)114.0107.4221.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)105.0119.6224.6-14.629%
vs Similar (13)113.9114.8228.8-0.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)121.3106.0227.3+15.390%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
Toronto RaptorsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H12/11
NBA
115.9Avg total
56.9Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.154.6111.7+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.651.8112.4+8.871%-
Last 30 away (16)54.057.1111.1-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)56.959.0115.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)56.860.0116.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)49.756.5106.2-6.817%-
vs Similar (13)57.453.7111.1+3.754%-
vs Weaker (11)60.754.6115.4+6.164%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H09/11
NBA
109.7Avg total
56.9Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.755.3112.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.754.1111.8+3.669%-
Last 30 away (17)55.956.2112.1-0.241%-
Last 10 (10)56.952.8109.7+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)56.053.2109.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.456.9107.3-6.414%-
vs Similar (13)56.957.1114.0-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)60.851.8112.6+9.0100%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 108.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.227.9
49.6%
54.0%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.5
33.9%
35.0%34.5
🏀 Free throws25.518.3
71.8%
76.8%18.3
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.528.2
51.7%
54.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.2
36.5%
35.0%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.219.2
70.6%
76.8%19.2
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LLWLWLLWLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLWLLWW
#17
League position
#6
-0.9
Net rating
+2.9
105.5
Offensive rating
110.4
106.4
Defensive rating
107.6
50.1%
Effective FG%
52.9%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
12.9%
Turnover %
14.2%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.9%
3-point %
36.5%
67.3%
Assist %
57.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 110.4Defence106.4 · 107.6Shooting50.1% · 52.9%3-point %33.9% · 36.5%Ball care12.9% · 14.2%Off. rebounds24.8% · 34.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HBoston Celtics93-98
10/11/26HMemphis Grizzlies102-118
07/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks121-107
05/11/26ADenver Nuggets109-128
03/11/26ALos Angeles Clippers125-118
02/11/26ALos Angeles Lakers125-131
30/10/26HOrlando Magic114-121
28/10/26HOrlando Magic129-99
25/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves94-117
23/10/26AWashington Wizards112-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HUtah Jazz115-100
07/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans115-109
05/11/26AHouston Rockets117-107
03/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks112-100
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
23/10/26AOrlando Magic115-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game114.5114.6114.3
Allowed / game111.9105.6117.2
Point differential+2.5+9.0-2.8
Avg total226.4220.2231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game118.1117.0119.0
Allowed / game107.0102.8110.5
Point differential+11.1+14.2+8.5
Avg total225.1219.8229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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