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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 133-85
23-19 35-23 33-18 42-25
Position#4
Record52-23
FormWWWLW
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game106.2
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
vs
Toronto Raptors
USA
Position#25
Record23-52
FormLLLLL
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game118.5
USANBA· Target Center (Minneapolis)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Toronto Raptors
25 Oct 2026
MIN117
TOR94
05 Mar 2026
MIN115
TOR107
26 Oct 2024
MIN112
TOR101
03 Apr 2024
MIN133
TOR85
19 Jan 2023
MIN128
TOR126
16 Feb 2022
MIN91
TOR103
19 Feb 2021
MIN81
TOR86
18 Jan 2020
MIN112
TOR122
09 Apr 2019
MIN100
TOR120
20 Jan 2018
MIN115
TOR109
08 Feb 2017
MIN112
TOR109
10 Feb 2016
MIN117
TOR112
01 Apr 2015
MIN99
TOR113
09 Mar 2014
MIN104
TOR111
05 Apr 2013
MIN93
TOR95
29 Jan 2011
MIN103
TOR87
22 Mar 2010
MIN100
TOR106
10 Feb 2009
MIN102
TOR110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
118-100
118
100
+18
112avg 108
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
119-100
119
100
+19
114avg 108
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
114-104
114
104
+10
104avg 108
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
112-115
112
115
-3
100avg 108
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
100avg 108
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
114-110
114
110
+4
112avg 108
H24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
106-91
106
91
+15
103avg 108
H28/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
111-98
111
98
+13
109avg 108
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
101-109
101
109
-8
95avg 108
H31/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
113-106
113
106
+7
114avg 108
H03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-34
34-29
29-15
34-22
19-19
29-29
34-24
37-28
25-37
28-22
30-24
31-21
28-35
27-35
29-17
28-28
25-20
21-29
26-17
32-25
18-27
28-27
32-27
36-29
30-25
17-20
31-21
28-25
33-26
29-17
25-21
24-34
22-33
32-31
25-20
22-25
16-23
38-22
27-27
32-34
213.6Avg total
111.2Scored
102.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)112.9106.2219.1+6.669%
Season at home (37)111.2103.1214.3+8.073%
Season away (38)114.5109.3223.8+5.366%
Last 10 (10)111.2102.4213.6+8.880%
Last 5 (5)109.0102.8211.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)112.2103.0215.2+9.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)112.7105.3218.1+7.467%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
104-113
104
113
-9
94avg 106
A13/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
103-113
103
113
-10
96avg 106
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
96-111
96
111
-15
86avg 106
A17/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
89-123
89
123
-34
74avg 106
H20/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
103-123
103
123
-20
106avg 106
H22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
109-112
109
112
-3
97avg 106
A24/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
88-96
88
96
-8
73avg 106
H25/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
101-145
101
145
-44
93avg 106
H27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
120-135
120
135
-15
110avg 106
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
111-128
111
128
-17
101avg 106
H02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
30-20
22-31
25-30
27-24
21-26
25-34
30-29
24-26
23-26
26-35
23-24
27-32
18-36
20-31
24-24
35-28
21-35
22-26
25-34
25-23
23-28
33-26
28-35
20-22
25-27
24-19
19-28
33-45
26-35
21-31
21-34
27-35
28-36
38-30
27-34
25-34
33-30
21-36
32-28
222.3Avg total
102.4Scored
119.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)112.7118.5231.1-5.831%
Season at home (39)109.5115.7225.2-6.233%
Season away (36)116.1121.5237.6-5.428%
Last 10 (10)102.4119.9222.3-17.50%
Last 5 (5)105.8123.2229.0-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)110.9125.1236.0-14.218%
vs Similar (8)109.1110.9220.0-1.838%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -4.6-4.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -4.6-4.6
Minnesota TimberwolvesToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
55-70
55
70
-15
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H28/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H31/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H03/04
NBA
106.0Avg total
52.0Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.852.0106.8+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.851.4103.1+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)58.252.8111.0+5.457%-
Last 10 (10)52.054.0106.0-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)52.650.2102.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)54.452.8107.2+1.658%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)55.051.5106.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A13/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A17/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
45-68
45
68
-23
H20/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A24/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H25/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
55-71
55
71
-16
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H02/04
NBA
111.8Avg total
51.8Scored
60.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.260.0115.2-4.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.161.5116.6-6.438%-
Last 30 away (14)55.258.3113.5-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)51.860.0111.8-8.210%-
Last 5 (5)53.063.0116.0-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)56.561.9118.5-5.441%-
vs Similar (8)51.454.8106.1-3.438%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.528.2
55.8%
54.4%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.413.6
39.5%
36.3%40.8
🏀 Free throws19.414.0
72.2%
78.2%14.0
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 102.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.129.8
55.1%
54.4%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.59.7
30.8%
36.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.113.7
75.7%
78.2%13.7
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWWWLWWW
Toronto Raptors
LLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#25
+9.2
Net rating
-17.4
116.6
Offensive rating
101.6
107.4
Defensive rating
119.0
57.2%
Effective FG%
51.8%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
59.1%
11.4%
Turnover %
15.9%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
19.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.21
39.5%
3-point %
30.8%
66.7%
Assist %
68.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 101.6Defence107.4 · 119.0Shooting57.2% · 51.8%3-point %39.5% · 30.8%Ball care11.4% · 15.9%Off. rebounds22.5% · 19.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 0%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
8
Toronto Raptors wins
DateGameScore
25/10/23Toronto Raptors v Minnesota Timberwolves97-94
18/03/23Toronto Raptors v Minnesota Timberwolves122-107
20/01/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Toronto Raptors128-126
30/03/22Toronto Raptors v Minnesota Timberwolves125-102
17/02/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Toronto Raptors91-103
20/02/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Toronto Raptors81-86
15/02/21Toronto Raptors v Minnesota Timberwolves112-116
11/02/20Toronto Raptors v Minnesota Timberwolves137-126
19/01/20Minnesota Timberwolves v Toronto Raptors112-122
10/04/19Minnesota Timberwolves v Toronto Raptors100-120
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/24HHouston Rockets113-106
31/03/24HChicago Bulls101-109
30/03/24ADenver Nuggets111-98
28/03/24HDetroit Pistons106-91
24/03/24HGolden State Warriors114-110
23/03/24HCleveland Cavaliers104-91
20/03/24HDenver Nuggets112-115
19/03/24AUtah Jazz114-104
17/03/24AUtah Jazz119-100
13/03/24ALos Angeles Clippers118-100
Toronto Raptorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/24HLos Angeles Lakers111-128
31/03/24HPhiladelphia 76ers120-135
27/03/24HNew York Knicks101-145
25/03/24HBrooklyn Nets88-96
24/03/24AWashington Wizards109-112
22/03/24HOklahoma City Thunder103-123
20/03/24HSacramento Kings89-123
17/03/24AOrlando Magic96-111
15/03/24HOrlando Magic103-113
13/03/24ADetroit Pistons104-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayLWWWW66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753738
Win %69%73%66%
Points / game112.9111.2114.5
Allowed / game106.2103.1109.3
Point differential+6.6+8.0+5.3
Avg total219.1214.3223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%41%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)46% (13)71% (7)
Overtime %7%5%8%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753936
Win %31%33%28%
Points / game112.7109.5116.1
Allowed / game118.5115.7121.5
Point differential-5.8-6.2-5.4
Avg total231.1225.2237.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%15%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (19)71% (7)25% (12)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics75601580%121.2109.1+12.0
2 Denver Nuggets76532370%114.5109.8+4.8
3 Minnesota Timberwolves75522369%112.9106.2+6.6
4 Oklahoma City Thunder76522468%119.9113.3+6.7
5 Milwaukee Bucks73462763%119.9116.6+3.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers75472863%116.0112.7+3.3
7 Cleveland Cavaliers76463061%112.8109.8+3.0
8 New Orleans Pelicans73442960%115.4110.1+5.3
9 Dallas Mavericks75453060%118.5116.1+2.3
10 New York Knicks74443059%112.3107.4+4.9
11 Phoenix Suns74443059%117.0114.2+2.8
12 Sacramento Kings74443059%117.1115.6+1.6
13 Orlando Magic75443159%110.4108.2+2.2
14 Miami Heat75423356%109.9108.4+1.5
15 Los Angeles Lakers75423356%117.9118.0-0.2
16 Indiana Pacers75413455%122.7120.5+2.2
17 Golden State Warriors75413455%117.8115.6+2.1
18 Philadelphia 76ers76413554%114.3112.1+2.2
19 Houston Rockets75383751%114.1112.6+1.5
20 Atlanta Hawks76364047%119.1120.2-1.1
21 Chicago Bulls76364047%111.9113.6-1.6
22 Brooklyn Nets77304739%111.2113.7-2.5
23 Utah Jazz76294738%116.1120.7-4.5
24 Memphis Grizzlies75255033%105.9113.1-7.2
25 Toronto Raptors75235231%112.7118.5-5.8
26 Portland Trail Blazers76205626%106.9115.6-8.7
27 San Antonio Spurs76185824%112.1119.1-7.0
28 Charlotte Hornets76185824%106.1116.6-10.5
29 Washington Wizards77156219%113.4122.9-9.4
30 Detroit Pistons76136317%110.6119.4-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves23353342133
Toronto Raptors1923182585
← all games of the day
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