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Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 126-128
35-32 37-27 32-35 22-34
Position#11
Record30-20
FormWWLLW
Points / game113.8
Allowed / game112.1
vs
Position#10
Record31-20
FormWWWWL
Points / game119.5
Allowed / game114.5
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Jan 2027
TOR v MIN
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
TOR126
MIN128
21 Nov 2024
TOR110
MIN105
25 Oct 2023
TOR97
MIN94
18 Mar 2023
TOR122
MIN107
30 Mar 2022
TOR125
MIN102
14 Feb 2021
TOR112
MIN116
10 Feb 2020
TOR137
MIN126
24 Oct 2018
TOR112
MIN105
30 Jan 2018
TOR109
MIN104
08 Dec 2016
TOR124
MIN110
24 Feb 2016
TOR114
MIN105
18 Mar 2015
TOR105
MIN100
17 Jan 2014
TOR94
MIN89
04 Nov 2012
TOR105
MIN86
09 Jan 2012
TOR97
MIN87
04 Feb 2011
TOR111
MIN100
08 Dec 2009
TOR94
MIN88
24 Feb 2009
TOR118
MIN110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
115-101
115
101
+14
112avg 105
A15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
117-121 OT
117
121
-4
110avg 105
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
93-110
93
110
-17
85avg 105
A19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
145-127
145
127
+18
153avg 105
A21/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
122-109
122
109
+13
117avg 105
A22/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
110-98
110
98
+12
109avg 105
A24/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
103-101
103
101
+2
99avg 105
A26/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
92-119
92
119
-27
83avg 105
H29/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
120-130
120
130
-10
118avg 105
A31/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
107-100
107
100
+7
97avg 105
H01/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-18
28-30
27-30
21-23
32-24
29-28
28-26
20-31
30-23
24-32
26-32
13-23
41-28
29-22
38-44
37-33
26-30
26-31
43-21
27-27
19-12
31-31
26-31
34-24
25-30
29-20
25-31
24-20
28-18
23-29
19-35
22-37
28-29
29-21
42-36
21-44
28-23
23-33
35-28
21-16
224.0Avg total
112.4Scored
111.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)113.8112.1225.9+1.760%
Season at home (24)113.8112.4226.2+1.458%
Season away (26)113.8111.8225.7+2.062%
Last 10 (10)112.4111.6224.0+0.860%
Last 5 (5)106.4109.6216.0-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)102.5115.7218.2-13.217%
vs Similar ◀ (18)113.8111.5225.3+2.361%
vs Weaker (6)108.8108.2217.0+0.767%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 110
A17/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
123-126
123
126
-3
112avg 110
A18/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
122-127
122
127
-5
109avg 110
A21/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
115-120
115
120
-5
110avg 110
H23/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
85-111
85
111
-26
75avg 110
H25/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
108-83
108
83
+25
112avg 110
H27/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
118-105
118
105
+13
106avg 110
A29/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
123-111
123
111
+12
117avg 110
H30/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
131-114
131
114
+17
128avg 110
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
128-137
128
137
-9
117avg 110
A03/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-29
21-24
27-28
23-29
22-21
22-48
40-27
39-30
34-29
24-30
38-25
26-43
32-26
29-34
29-33
25-27
19-24
27-23
17-38
22-26
21-20
32-18
22-19
33-26
31-29
27-19
34-27
26-30
34-22
29-28
33-30
27-31
30-21
28-28
39-30
34-35
29-36
29-30
28-32
42-39
230.2Avg total
115.8Scored
114.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)119.5114.5234.0+4.961%
Season at home (25)114.6109.0223.7+5.668%
Season away (26)124.1119.8243.9+4.354%
Last 10 (10)115.8114.4230.2+1.440%
Last 5 (5)121.6110.0231.6+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)115.4110.2225.6+5.280%
vs Similar ◀ (12)115.9115.2231.2+0.750%
vs Weaker (13)122.5114.1236.5+8.462%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
Toronto RaptorsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
67-48
67
48
+19
A15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
70-50
70
50
+20
A21/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A22/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A24/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A26/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H29/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A31/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H01/02
NBA
107.9Avg total
56.7Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.856.8112.6-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.259.9117.1-2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)54.453.7108.1+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)56.751.2107.9+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)52.649.2101.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)54.558.3112.8-3.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)56.656.3112.9+0.356%-
vs Weaker (6)54.756.7111.3-2.033%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A17/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-69
44
69
-25
A18/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A21/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H23/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H25/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H27/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A29/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H30/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A03/02
NBA
109.3Avg total
55.4Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.756.3113.0+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.555.1109.6-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)58.957.5116.3+1.453%-
Last 10 (10)55.453.9109.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)58.050.2108.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)51.055.4106.4-4.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)55.256.6111.8-1.342%-
vs Weaker (13)60.256.3116.5+3.962%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 112.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.330.0
54.2%
54.8%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
35.8%32.7
🏀 Free throws24.819.7
79.4%
78.1%19.7
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.126.3
52.5%
54.8%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.414.9
38.8%
35.8%44.7
🏀 Free throws25.118.5
73.7%
78.1%18.5
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WLLWWWWLLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWLLLLL
#11
League position
#10
+0.8
Net rating
+1.4
111.7
Offensive rating
112.2
110.9
Defensive rating
110.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
55.0%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.7%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.9%
3-point %
38.8%
71.6%
Assist %
60.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 112.2Defence110.9 · 110.8Shooting53.6% · 55.0%3-point %34.9% · 38.8%Ball care13.9% · 14.7%Off. rebounds25.5% · 26.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HUtah Jazz107-100
31/01/26AOrlando Magic120-130
29/01/26HNew York Knicks92-119
26/01/26AOklahoma City Thunder103-101
24/01/26APortland Trail Blazers110-98
22/01/26ASacramento Kings122-109
21/01/26AGolden State Warriors145-127
19/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers93-110
17/01/26HLos Angeles Clippers117-121 OT
15/01/26AIndiana Pacers115-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26AMemphis Grizzlies128-137
01/02/26AMemphis Grizzlies131-114
30/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder123-111
29/01/26ADallas Mavericks118-105
27/01/26HGolden State Warriors108-83
25/01/26HGolden State Warriors85-111
23/01/26HChicago Bulls115-120
21/01/26AUtah Jazz122-127
18/01/26ASan Antonio Spurs123-126
17/01/26AHouston Rockets105-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWLLLW58%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502426
Win %60%58%62%
Points / game113.8113.8113.8
Allowed / game112.1112.4111.8
Point differential+1.7+1.4+2.0
Avg total225.9226.2225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)62% (8)100% (2)
Overtime %8%12%4%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeWLLWW68%
AwayLLWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %61%68%54%
Points / game119.5114.6124.1
Allowed / game114.5109.0119.8
Point differential+4.9+5.6+4.3
Avg total234.0223.7243.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%40%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)67% (9)14% (7)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder49391080%120.3108.0+12.3
2 Detroit Pistons49371276%117.5109.9+7.5
3 San Antonio Spurs47311666%116.7111.8+4.9
4 Houston Rockets48311765%116.0110.0+6.0
5 Boston Celtics50321864%116.0108.9+7.1
6 Denver Nuggets52331963%120.1116.2+3.9
7 New York Knicks49311863%117.9112.2+5.7
8 Los Angeles Lakers48301862%116.2115.9+0.4
9 Phoenix Suns50311962%114.6111.1+3.5
10 Minnesota Timberwolves51312061%119.5114.5+4.9
11 Toronto Raptors50302060%113.8112.1+1.7
12 Cleveland Cavaliers51302159%119.3116.2+3.1
13 Philadelphia 76ers50292158%116.8115.3+1.6
14 Golden State Warriors51272453%116.2114.0+2.3
15 Miami Heat51272453%120.1118.0+2.1
16 Orlando Magic47242351%114.8115.7-0.9
17 Atlanta Hawks52252748%117.4118.3-0.8
18 Chicago Bulls51242747%117.2120.2-3.0
19 Los Angeles Clippers49232647%112.7112.9-0.2
20 Charlotte Hornets51232845%116.0114.2+1.8
21 Portland Trail Blazers51232845%115.3118.1-2.9
22 Memphis Grizzlies48192940%115.0116.8-1.8
23 Milwaukee Bucks48192940%111.5115.6-4.1
24 Dallas Mavericks50193138%113.8116.5-2.7
25 Utah Jazz51163531%118.3126.9-8.6
26 Brooklyn Nets49133627%107.1114.9-7.8
27 Washington Wizards49133627%112.1122.7-10.6
28 Indiana Pacers51133825%110.9118.7-7.7
29 New Orleans Pelicans52133925%114.0120.6-6.5
30 Sacramento Kings51123924%110.2120.4-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors35373222126
Minnesota Timberwolves32273534128
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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