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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 128-126
31-37 35-39 35-33 27-17
Position#17
Record22-24
FormLWWLL
Points / game115.1
Allowed / game115.6
vs
Position#18
Record20-25
FormWWLWL
Points / game112.2
Allowed / game112.1
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Toronto Raptors
25 Oct 2026
MIN117
TOR94
05 Mar 2026
MIN115
TOR107
26 Oct 2024
MIN112
TOR101
03 Apr 2024
MIN133
TOR85
19 Jan 2023
MIN128
TOR126
16 Feb 2022
MIN91
TOR103
19 Feb 2021
MIN81
TOR86
18 Jan 2020
MIN112
TOR122
09 Apr 2019
MIN100
TOR120
20 Jan 2018
MIN115
TOR109
08 Feb 2017
MIN112
TOR109
10 Feb 2016
MIN117
TOR112
01 Apr 2015
MIN99
TOR113
09 Mar 2014
MIN104
TOR111
05 Apr 2013
MIN93
TOR95
29 Jan 2011
MIN103
TOR87
22 Mar 2010
MIN100
TOR106
10 Feb 2009
MIN102
TOR110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
104-116
104
116
-12
90avg 110
H01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
124-111
124
111
+13
120avg 110
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
113-106
113
106
+7
105avg 110
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
128-115
128
115
+13
129avg 110
H07/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
104-96
104
96
+8
100avg 110
A09/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
118-135
118
135
-17
105avg 110
A12/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
121-116
121
116
+5
111avg 110
H14/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
110-102
110
102
+8
101avg 110
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
125-126
125
126
-1
112avg 110
H16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
118-122
118
122
-4
112avg 110
A19/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-28
25-22
24-38
16-28
23-23
36-30
31-32
34-26
29-24
31-29
29-32
24-21
37-33
31-21
32-25
28-36
24-33
34-29
19-19
27-15
34-31
30-34
23-36
31-34
35-25
29-24
28-26
29-41
27-25
22-29
28-26
33-22
27-27
31-25
37-35
30-39
27-30
33-25
35-33
23-34
231.0Avg total
116.5Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)115.1115.6230.7-0.548%
Season at home (24)117.2115.7233.0+1.558%
Season away (22)112.7115.5228.2-2.736%
Last 10 (10)116.5114.5231.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)118.4120.2238.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.2114.0229.2+1.250%
vs Similar ◀ (22)116.4116.4232.8+0.050%
vs Weaker (4)108.5114.2222.8-5.825%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
113-104
113
104
+9
100avg 100
H31/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
114-122
114
122
-8
101avg 100
A03/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
72avg 100
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
108-112
108
112
-4
100avg 100
H07/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
117-105
117
105
+12
106avg 100
H08/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
132-120
132
120
+12
131avg 100
H11/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
124-114
124
114
+10
117avg 100
H13/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
103-114
103
114
-11
89avg 100
H15/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
123-121 OT
123
121
+2
108avg 100
A16/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
122-130
122
130
-8
105avg 100
A18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
20-27
33-28
27-25
33-29
24-37
33-25
24-31
12-13
26-26
21-24
38-34
26-30
21-27
31-24
30-31
34-27
24-26
31-21
28-31
35-34
37-32
24-28
36-26
38-29
31-26
28-33
27-26
25-34
32-35
22-27
24-18
29-25
27-34
25-28
29-23
34-44
40-23
23-38
25-25
230.3Avg total
115.7Scored
114.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)112.2112.1224.4+0.144%
Season at home (25)112.9111.0223.9+2.056%
Season away (20)111.4113.6225.0-2.230%
Last 10 (10)115.7114.6230.3+1.150%
Last 5 (5)120.8119.8240.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)110.0116.0226.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (25)111.0113.1224.1-2.136%
vs Weaker (4)121.8115.2237.0+6.575%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
Minnesota TimberwolvesToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H07/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A09/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A12/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H14/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A19/01
NBA
115.1Avg total
60.4Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.155.8113.9+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.955.5113.5+2.467%-
Last 30 away (15)58.356.0114.3+2.367%-
Last 10 (10)60.454.7115.1+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)59.055.0114.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)56.054.0110.0+2.075%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)57.855.8113.6+2.068%-
vs Weaker (4)62.057.2119.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H31/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A03/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H07/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H08/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H11/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
69-55
69
55
+14
H13/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
57-69
57
69
-12
H15/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A16/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A18/01
NBA
116.3Avg total
58.1Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.857.1113.9-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (19)56.754.9111.7+1.858%-
Last 30 away (11)56.860.9117.7-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)58.158.2116.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)65.663.2128.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.056.0118.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)55.456.7112.1-1.344%-
vs Weaker (4)64.060.0124.0+4.075%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.830.7
58.1%
54.5%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.912.0
37.6%
35.8%36.0
🏀 Free throws24.219.1
78.9%
78.1%19.1
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 115.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.928.3
50.6%
54.5%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.111.9
33.0%
35.8%35.7
🏀 Free throws29.423.4
79.6%
78.1%23.4
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWWLWWWWL
Toronto Raptors
LWLWWWLLLW
#17
League position
#18
+2.0
Net rating
+1.1
116.1
Offensive rating
114.3
114.1
Defensive rating
113.2
57.5%
Effective FG%
50.2%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
14.3%
Turnover %
9.4%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.6%
3-point %
33.0%
57.1%
Assist %
60.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 114.3Defence114.1 · 113.2Shooting57.5% · 50.2%3-point %37.6% · 33.0%Ball care14.3% · 9.4%Off. rebounds24.2% · 26.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23ADenver Nuggets118-122
16/01/23HUtah Jazz125-126
15/01/23HCleveland Cavaliers110-102
14/01/23HPhoenix Suns121-116
12/01/23ADetroit Pistons118-135
09/01/23AHouston Rockets104-96
07/01/23HLos Angeles Clippers128-115
05/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers113-106
03/01/23HDenver Nuggets124-111
01/01/23HDetroit Pistons104-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23AMilwaukee Bucks122-130
16/01/23ANew York Knicks123-121 OT
15/01/23HAtlanta Hawks103-114
13/01/23HCharlotte Hornets124-114
11/01/23HCharlotte Hornets132-120
08/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers117-105
07/01/23HNew York Knicks108-112
05/01/23HMilwaukee Bucks101-104 OT
03/01/23AIndiana Pacers114-122
31/12/22HPhoenix Suns113-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeWWWWL58%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %48%58%36%
Points / game115.1117.2112.7
Allowed / game115.6115.7115.5
Point differential-0.5+1.5-2.7
Avg total230.7233.0228.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayWWLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452520
Win %44%56%30%
Points / game112.2112.9111.4
Allowed / game112.1111.0113.6
Point differential+0.1+2.0-2.2
Avg total224.4223.9225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%32%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)33% (6)25% (8)
Overtime %9%4%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics46341274%118.8112.4+6.4
2 Denver Nuggets45321371%117.3113.2+4.1
3 Memphis Grizzlies44311370%117.5111.7+5.8
4 Milwaukee Bucks45291664%112.6111.3+1.3
5 Philadelphia 76ers44281664%113.9110.2+3.8
6 Brooklyn Nets43271663%113.5110.5+3.0
7 Cleveland Cavaliers46281861%111.6107.1+4.5
8 Sacramento Kings43251858%119.9116.9+3.0
9 New Orleans Pelicans45261958%116.6113.5+3.1
10 New York Knicks46252154%114.1111.4+2.6
11 Miami Heat46252154%109.2108.6+0.7
12 Dallas Mavericks46242252%112.9112.7+0.2
13 Atlanta Hawks45232251%115.4116.0-0.6
14 Utah Jazz48242450%117.8116.6+1.2
15 Indiana Pacers46232350%115.3116.5-1.2
16 Los Angeles Clippers47232449%109.2110.5-1.2
17 Oklahoma City Thunder45222349%117.0115.8+1.2
18 Golden State Warriors45222349%117.6118.0-0.4
19 Minnesota Timberwolves46222448%115.1115.6-0.5
20 Portland Trail Blazers44212348%113.3112.8+0.5
21 Phoenix Suns45212447%112.6112.2+0.4
22 Chicago Bulls45212447%114.8115.0-0.2
23 Toronto Raptors45202544%112.2112.1+0.1
24 Los Angeles Lakers45202544%116.9118.0-1.1
25 Washington Wizards45192642%111.9113.2-1.3
26 Orlando Magic44162836%110.5114.3-3.8
27 San Antonio Spurs45143131%112.5121.2-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets46123426%112.4118.9-6.5
29 Detroit Pistons48123625%112.0119.6-7.6
30 Houston Rockets45103522%109.8117.6-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves31353527128
Toronto Raptors37393317126
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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