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Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 122-107
32-26 34-32 28-27 28-22
Position#18
Record34-36
FormLLLWW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game112.1
vs
Position#17
Record35-36
FormLLWLL
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game115.9
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Jan 2027
TOR v MIN
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
TOR126
MIN128
21 Nov 2024
TOR110
MIN105
25 Oct 2023
TOR97
MIN94
18 Mar 2023
TOR122
MIN107
30 Mar 2022
TOR125
MIN102
14 Feb 2021
TOR112
MIN116
10 Feb 2020
TOR137
MIN126
24 Oct 2018
TOR112
MIN105
30 Jan 2018
TOR109
MIN104
08 Dec 2016
TOR124
MIN110
24 Feb 2016
TOR114
MIN105
18 Mar 2015
TOR105
MIN100
17 Jan 2014
TOR94
MIN89
04 Nov 2012
TOR105
MIN86
09 Jan 2012
TOR97
MIN87
04 Feb 2011
TOR111
MIN100
08 Dec 2009
TOR94
MIN88
24 Feb 2009
TOR118
MIN110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
95-91
95
91
+4
80avg 101
A25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
93-118
93
118
-25
76avg 101
A26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
104-98
104
98
+6
93avg 101
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
108-119
108
119
-11
101avg 101
A03/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
116-109 OT
116
109
+7
108avg 101
A04/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
113-118
113
118
-5
110avg 101
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
100-108
100
108
-8
82avg 101
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
112-122
112
122
-10
104avg 101
A11/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
125-110
125
110
+15
118avg 101
H14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
128-111
128
111
+17
126avg 101
H16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
22-22
27-26
24-21
28-34
24-30
24-28
17-26
24-23
20-23
26-26
34-26
20-24
30-35
28-30
30-30
26-30
27-23
33-26
19-26
34-29
27-29
27-25
25-35
25-17
24-32
25-34
26-25
35-31
27-39
28-15
22-37
49-30
23-26
26-36
27-18
29-28
35-31
29-28
35-24
219.8Avg total
109.4Scored
110.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)112.8112.1224.9+0.749%
Season at home (35)114.1110.7224.9+3.463%
Season away (35)111.5113.5225.0-2.134%
Last 10 (10)109.4110.4219.8-1.050%
Last 5 (5)115.6113.8229.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)104.0106.0210.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)114.6115.4230.0-0.845%
vs Weaker (7)117.4108.1225.6+9.3100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
113-121
113
121
-8
104avg 108
H25/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
104-109
104
109
-5
92avg 108
A27/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
108-101
108
101
+7
97avg 108
A01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
106avg 108
A04/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
138-134
138
134
+4
139avg 108
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
94-117
94
117
-23
75avg 108
H08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
123-124 OT
123
124
-1
113avg 108
H11/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
136-115
136
115
+21
136avg 108
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
102-104
102
104
-2
98avg 108
H16/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
131-139 OT
131
139
-8
124avg 108
A18/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-37
32-35
25-24
24-25
34-25
23-34
30-19
17-31
26-33
32-23
28-19
22-26
33-34
23-21
27-21
27-26
36-30
38-34
31-38
33-32
27-24
18-34
23-29
26-30
33-26
35-34
20-37
26-17
40-29
36-23
30-33
30-30
23-23
20-21
28-33
31-27
32-28
27-26
31-26
23-33
232.5Avg total
115.9Scored
116.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)115.7115.9231.6-0.249%
Season at home (37)116.2115.0231.2+1.254%
Season away (34)115.2116.9232.1-1.644%
Last 10 (10)115.9116.6232.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)117.2119.8237.0-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)114.0114.4228.4-0.440%
vs Similar ◀ (21)118.4117.2235.6+1.257%
vs Weaker (4)114.5119.8234.2-5.225%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
Toronto RaptorsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A03/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A04/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A11/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H16/03
NBA
110.9Avg total
55.1Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.157.2116.3+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.556.4116.9+4.277%-
Last 30 away (17)58.157.8115.9+0.235%-
Last 10 (10)55.155.8110.9-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)61.658.4120.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.050.0107.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)59.359.2118.5+0.041%-
vs Weaker (7)59.051.9110.9+7.186%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H25/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A27/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A04/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H11/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
76-52
76
52
+24
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H16/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A18/03
NBA
117.4Avg total
60.0Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.158.2117.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.556.8114.3+0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)61.059.8120.8+1.257%-
Last 10 (10)60.057.4117.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)58.253.6111.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.655.0107.6-2.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)60.858.4119.2+2.462%-
vs Weaker (4)58.561.2119.8-2.80%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.630.6
49.7%
54.5%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.1
36.4%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.114.9
78.0%
78.1%14.9
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.330.3
54.8%
54.5%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.913.3
38.1%
35.8%39.9
🏀 Free throws23.215.4
66.4%
78.1%15.4
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WWLLLWLWLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLLWWWLL
#18
League position
#17
-1.0
Net rating
-0.7
111.1
Offensive rating
111.2
112.1
Defensive rating
111.8
51.3%
Effective FG%
55.7%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
12.3%
Turnover %
12.8%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
19.4%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.4%
3-point %
38.1%
61.9%
Assist %
64.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 111.2Defence112.1 · 111.8Shooting51.3% · 55.7%3-point %36.4% · 38.1%Ball care12.3% · 12.8%Off. rebounds28.9% · 19.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/23HOklahoma City Thunder128-111
14/03/23HDenver Nuggets125-110
11/03/23ALos Angeles Lakers112-122
09/03/23ALos Angeles Clippers100-108
07/03/23ADenver Nuggets113-118
04/03/23AWashington Wizards116-109 OT
03/03/23AWashington Wizards108-119
01/03/23HChicago Bulls104-98
26/02/23ACleveland Cavaliers93-118
25/02/23ADetroit Pistons95-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23AChicago Bulls131-139 OT
16/03/23HBoston Celtics102-104
13/03/23AAtlanta Hawks136-115
11/03/23HBrooklyn Nets123-124 OT
08/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers94-117
05/03/23ASacramento Kings138-134
04/03/23ALos Angeles Lakers110-102
01/03/23ALos Angeles Clippers108-101
27/02/23AGolden State Warriors104-109
25/02/23HCharlotte Hornets113-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW49%
HomeWWWWW63%
AwayLWLLL34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703535
Win %49%63%34%
Points / game112.8114.1111.5
Allowed / game112.1110.7113.5
Point differential+0.7+3.4-2.1
Avg total224.9224.9225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%34%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (22)44% (9)31% (13)
Overtime %7%3%11%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL49%
HomeLLLLL54%
AwayWWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713734
Win %49%54%44%
Points / game115.7116.2115.2
Allowed / game115.9115.0116.9
Point differential-0.2+1.2-1.6
Avg total231.6231.2232.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%22%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)50% (8)45% (11)
Overtime %7%11%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks70502071%116.2112.4+3.9
2 Boston Celtics71492269%117.6112.2+5.5
3 Philadelphia 76ers69472268%115.2110.3+4.9
4 Denver Nuggets71472466%116.8113.0+3.7
5 Cleveland Cavaliers73452862%112.2106.6+5.5
6 Memphis Grizzlies69422761%115.8112.1+3.8
7 Sacramento Kings69422761%120.9118.2+2.7
8 New York Knicks72423058%115.1112.2+2.9
9 Brooklyn Nets70393156%113.5112.9+0.6
10 Phoenix Suns70383254%113.3111.4+1.8
11 Miami Heat71383354%109.1109.6-0.5
12 Los Angeles Clippers71373452%112.8112.7+0.1
13 Dallas Mavericks71363551%113.8113.3+0.6
14 Golden State Warriors71363551%118.3117.9+0.4
15 Atlanta Hawks70353550%117.4117.5-0.1
16 Minnesota Timberwolves71353649%115.7115.9-0.2
17 Oklahoma City Thunder70343649%117.8116.3+1.4
18 Toronto Raptors70343649%112.8112.1+0.7
19 Los Angeles Lakers71343748%116.5117.0-0.5
20 Utah Jazz69333648%117.2117.2-0.0
21 New Orleans Pelicans70333747%113.9113.5+0.4
22 Chicago Bulls69323746%113.6112.8+0.8
23 Washington Wizards70323846%112.7113.2-0.5
24 Indiana Pacers70323846%115.9118.0-2.1
25 Portland Trail Blazers70313944%114.4116.1-1.7
26 Orlando Magic71294241%111.6114.5-2.8
27 Charlotte Hornets72225031%111.2117.5-6.3
28 Houston Rockets70185226%110.4118.1-7.7
29 San Antonio Spurs70185226%112.6122.1-9.5
30 Detroit Pistons71165523%111.1118.6-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors32342828122
Minnesota Timberwolves26322722107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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