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Tortona vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 78-74
22-25 19-17 14-16 23-16
Position#8
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Tortona 🏆
vs
Position#2
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1· PalaFerraris
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
84-81
84
81
+3
72avg 71
H16/05
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 71
A19/05
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
73avg 71
A21/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
61-84
61
84
-23
46avg 71
A28/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
78-108
78
108
-30
64avg 71
A30/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 71
H02/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
63-86
63
86
-23
55avg 71
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#4
L
60-76
60
76
-16
45avg 71
A01/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
69-68
69
68
+1
56avg 71
H08/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
72avg 71
A15/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
23-17
25-24
18-23
12-10
27-18
14-22
23-29
19-27
25-12
26-20
12-22
13-23
11-21
17-19
20-21
20-23
20-32
18-25
20-28
26-21
29-18
15-27
12-23
8-23
19-22
18-20
18-21
12-17
12-18
15-21
21-20
16-17
21-20
18-13
14-18
24-23
17-17
20-18
19-20
156.5Avg total
73.5Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.583.0156.5-9.540%
Last 5 (5)70.879.4150.2-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.487.4162.8-12.012%
vs Similar (14)78.779.9158.6-1.264%
vs Weaker (6)76.074.8150.8+1.267%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
no box
A03/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
65-60
65
60
+5
57avg 70
A07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
67-55
67
55
+12
59avg 70
H14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
57-86
57
86
-29
36avg 70
A24/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
67avg 70
H16/09
Supercopa ACB
Granada
#17
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
no box
A23/09
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
88-76
88
76
+12
79avg 70
H27/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 70
H30/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
53avg 70
A08/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
92-106
92
106
-14
88avg 70
A15/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
24-25
29-12
25-35
16-15
18-12
20-8
11-25
18-7
12-17
19-17
18-14
15-23
11-18
18-21
13-24
20-20
17-21
19-19
18-19
24-25
15-15
18-17
19-19
18-13
20-11
23-24
27-28
19-17
10-20
26-20
25-11
10-12
14-28
22-13
22-24
22-15
15-27
25-39
30-25
162.3Avg total
80.6Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.681.7162.3-1.160%
Last 5 (5)86.485.6172.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.591.2171.6-10.727%
vs Similar (14)83.277.4160.6+5.971%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)80.582.5163.0-2.050%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
TortonaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H16/05
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A19/05
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A21/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A28/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A30/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H02/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#4
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A01/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
Lega A
76.8Avg total
37.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.680.4-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.138.982.9+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)36.042.278.2-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.676.8-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.276.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.843.583.2-3.838%-
vs Similar (14)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (6)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A03/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A24/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/09
Supercopa ACB
Granada
#17
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/09
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H27/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H30/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A08/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A15/10
ACB
70.1Avg total
33.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.638.374.9-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.935.974.8+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)34.340.775.1-6.427%-
Last 10 (10)33.636.570.1-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.436.670.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.941.778.6-4.818%-
vs Similar (14)37.934.872.7+3.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)31.040.871.8-9.80%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.1
46.8%
51.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.46.8
26.8%
34.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.914.0
74.1%
74.5%14.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.7
49.5%
51.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.57.5
27.3%
34.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.312.8
74.0%
74.5%12.8
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WWLLLLLWLW
Murcia
LLWWWLLWWW
#8
League position
#2
-13.5
Net rating
-1.2
97.4
Offensive rating
97.9
110.9
Defensive rating
99.0
44.3%
Effective FG%
46.0%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.8%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
26.8%
3-point %
27.3%
54.1%
Assist %
55.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 97.9Defence110.9 · 99.0Shooting44.3% · 46.0%3-point %26.8% · 27.3%Ball care15.0% · 16.8%Off. rebounds26.3% · 28.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Tortona   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tortona wins
0
Murcia wins
No previous meetings.
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23AVarese80-78
08/10/23HBrindisi69-68
01/10/23AVenezia60-76
23/09/23ABrescia63-86
02/06/23HVirtus Bologna82-89
30/05/23AVirtus Bologna78-108
28/05/23AVirtus Bologna61-84
21/05/23ATrento82-81
19/05/23ATrento76-79
16/05/23HTrento84-81
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23AReal Madrid92-106
08/10/23ABilbao68-77
30/09/23HTenerife80-68
27/09/23HBaskonia88-76
23/09/23AGranada104-101 OT
16/09/23HUnicaja74-79
24/05/23ABarcelona57-86
14/05/23HBilbao67-55
07/05/23ABreogan65-60
03/05/23ATenerife111-109 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Murcia
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Promitheas110100%115.066.0+49.0
2 Benfica330100%97.364.7+32.7
3 Le Mans110100%96.068.0+28.0
4 Tenerife110100%95.075.0+20.0
5 Karsiyaka110100%94.077.0+17.0
6 PAOK110100%88.077.0+11.0
7 Darussafaka110100%84.075.0+9.0
8 Unicaja110100%87.078.0+9.0
9 Szczecin110100%93.085.0+8.0
10 AEK Athens110100%84.079.0+5.0
11 Dijon110100%87.083.0+4.0
12 Strasbourg440100%82.278.2+4.0
13 Tofas110100%104.0102.0+2.0
14 Cholet43175%81.881.0+0.8
15 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
16 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
17 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
20 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
21 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
22 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
23 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
24 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
25 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
26 Igokea1010%102.0104.0-2.0
27 Oldenburg1010%83.085.0-2.0
28 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
29 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
30 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
31 Rytas1010%83.087.0-4.0
32 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
33 Ludwigsburg1010%79.084.0-5.0
34 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
35 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
36 Sassari1010%85.093.0-8.0
37 Szombathely1010%78.087.0-9.0
38 VEF Riga1010%75.084.0-9.0
39 Galatasaray1010%77.088.0-11.0
40 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
41 Oostende1010%77.094.0-17.0
42 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
43 Peristeri1010%68.096.0-28.0
44 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
45 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
46 Opava1010%66.0115.0-49.0
47 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2219142378
Murcia2517161674
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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