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Trapani vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-95
19-22 26-25 19-27 24-21
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record4-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game86.8
ItalyLega ARound 13· Pala Shark
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Trapani v Varese
28 Dec 2025
TRA88
VAR95
02 Mar 2025
TRA106
VAR93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trapani winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrapaniItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrapani
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#11
W
97-90
97
90
+7
92avg 85
A05/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
96-90
96
90
+6
94avg 85
H09/11
Lega A
Bnei Herzliya
#34
W
101-88
101
88
+13
93avg 85
H11/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
86-80
86
80
+6
72avg 85
A16/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
78avg 85
H23/11
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
89-82
89
82
+7
85avg 85
A07/12
Lega A
Tenerife
#12
W
83-80
83
80
+3
70avg 85
A10/12
Champions League
Udine
#13
W
91-73
91
73
+18
88avg 85
H14/12
Lega A
Tofas
#27
L
93-99 OT
93
99
-6
88avg 85
A16/12
Champions League
Sassari
#16
L
78-102
78
102
-24
62avg 85
A21/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
17-28
33-27
20-17
22-28
28-20
26-23
20-19
22-30
24-21
27-21
28-16
21-15
23-23
21-22
21-20
18-25
29-21
20-22
21-7
19-26
28-13
22-22
20-21
22-20
24-19
21-17
16-24
20-20
26-13
24-19
21-21
28-18
18-24
19-20
19-22
15-33
19-18
17-27
27-24
176.1Avg total
90.2Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)90.285.6175.8+4.783%
Season at home (5)92.283.0175.2+9.2100%
Season away (7)88.987.4176.3+1.471%
Last 10 (10)90.285.9176.1+4.380%
Last 5 (5)86.887.2174.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.381.3163.7+1.067%
vs Similar (15)90.888.5179.3+2.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.385.0177.3+7.392%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
79-103
79
103
-24
68avg 74
A19/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
74-85
74
85
-11
71avg 74
H25/10
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 74
A02/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
77avg 74
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
81avg 74
A09/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
91-82
91
82
+9
86avg 74
H16/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
59-66
59
66
-7
44avg 74
H23/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 74
A08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
81avg 74
A14/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 74
H21/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
22-28
18-20
17-27
22-17
18-24
18-21
16-23
23-25
16-21
18-19
18-21
23-16
12-23
19-14
23-30
23-23
25-17
24-31
15-19
18-21
25-19
27-17
21-25
17-21
10-18
9-13
23-14
22-17
17-22
18-24
30-16
18-29
29-21
18-25
29-27
13-11
19-26
28-11
24-21
165.2Avg total
80.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.186.8167.8-5.733%
Season at home (6)74.379.8154.2-5.533%
Season away (6)87.893.7181.5-5.833%
Last 10 (10)80.784.5165.2-3.830%
Last 5 (5)83.079.6162.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)80.493.1173.5-12.721%
vs Similar (11)87.585.1172.5+2.464%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trapani) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
TrapaniVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrapaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A05/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H09/11
Lega A
Bnei Herzliya
#34
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H11/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A16/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H23/11
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A07/12
Lega A
Tenerife
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A10/12
Champions League
Udine
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H14/12
Lega A
Tofas
#27
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A16/12
Champions League
Sassari
#16
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A21/12
Lega A
88.3Avg total
45.0Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.644.388.9+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.544.789.3-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)44.743.888.5+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)45.043.388.3+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.884.6+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.739.382.0+3.367%-
vs Similar (15)44.345.389.6-1.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.644.289.8+1.458%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A19/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H25/10
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A02/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A09/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H23/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A14/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/12
Lega A
82.1Avg total
39.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.285.1-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.840.078.8-1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)45.146.391.4-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.782.1-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.078.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)41.545.587.1-4.032%-
vs Similar (11)42.639.181.7+3.564%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trapani) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trapanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trapani: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.6
50.7%
54.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.7
36.9%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws24.018.7
77.9%
76.1%18.7
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.3
53.0%
54.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.09.9
30.9%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws14.911.5
77.2%
76.1%11.5
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trapani
LLWWWWWWWW
Varese
WLWLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#8
+4.8
Net rating
-4.9
113.1
Offensive rating
99.8
108.2
Defensive rating
104.6
52.5%
Effective FG%
49.9%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
16.7%
Turnover %
19.4%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.9%
3-point %
30.9%
61.4%
Assist %
61.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 99.8Defence108.2 · 104.6Shooting52.5% · 49.9%3-point %36.9% · 30.9%Ball care16.7% · 19.4%Off. rebounds31.0% · 27.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Trapani   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trapani wins
0
Varese wins
DateGameScore
02/03/25Trapani v Varese106-93 OT
19/10/24Varese v Trapani100-109
Trapanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ASassari78-102
16/12/25ATofas93-99 OT
14/12/25HUdine91-73
10/12/25ATenerife83-80
07/12/25ATreviso89-82
23/11/25HReggiana88-75
16/11/25AOlimpia Milano86-80
11/11/25HBnei Herzliya101-88
09/11/25HCremona96-90
05/11/25ABasket Napoli97-90
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HTrieste84-69
14/12/25ABrescia94-102
08/12/25ACremona87-79
23/11/25HUdine59-66
16/11/25HCantu91-82
09/11/25ATortona87-90
04/11/25HVirtus Bologna77-83
02/11/25AVenezia75-86
25/10/25HTrento74-85
19/10/25AReggiana79-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trapani
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %83%100%71%
Points / game90.292.288.9
Allowed / game85.683.087.4
Point differential+4.7+9.2+1.4
Avg total175.8175.2176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW33%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game81.174.387.8
Allowed / game86.879.893.7
Point differential-5.7-5.5-5.8
Avg total167.8154.2181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1311285%90.282.8+7.4
2 Virtus Bologna1210283%86.878.8+8.0
3 Trapani1210283%90.285.6+4.7
4 Venezia139469%93.888.4+5.5
5 Tortona139469%89.187.7+1.4
6 Olimpia Milano128467%86.577.6+8.9
7 Trieste126650%85.290.2-4.9
8 Basket Napoli136746%87.187.1+0.0
9 Cremona125742%84.384.8-0.4
10 Trento135838%84.482.8+1.5
11 Udine135838%80.281.1-0.8
12 Sassari135838%86.388.5-2.2
13 Varese124833%81.186.8-5.7
14 Reggiana1331023%79.884.7-4.8
15 Cantu1331023%83.492.2-8.8
16 Treviso1321115%83.792.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trapani1926192488
Varese2225272195
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