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Reggiana vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 103-79
28-22 28-22 20-18 27-17
Position#7
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#8
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game98.0
ItalyLega ARound 3· PalaBigi
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Reggiana v Varese
14 Nov 2026
REG v VAR
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
REG103
VAR79
22 Dec 2024
REG97
VAR80
17 Mar 2024
REG113
VAR80
22 Oct 2022
REG81
VAR87
18 Feb 2022
REG82
VAR84
11 Apr 2021
REG95
VAR77
23 Nov 2019
REG81
VAR74
04 Nov 2018
REG74
VAR68
16 Dec 2017
REG76
VAR66
09 Apr 2017
REG73
VAR68
27 Dec 2015
REG86
VAR69
08 Feb 2015
REG86
VAR70
18 Jan 2014
REG73
VAR80
24 Mar 2013
REG74
VAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
63-84
63
84
-21
50avg 73
A03/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
86-72
86
72
+14
85avg 73
H11/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 73
A17/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
88-102
88
102
-14
86avg 73
A19/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
83-90
83
90
-7
74avg 73
H22/05
Lega A
Pelister
#47
W
99-87
99
87
+12
93avg 73
H19/09
Champions League
Antwerp Giants
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
70avg 73
A21/09
Champions League
Udine
#13
W
76-71
76
71
+5
73avg 73
H05/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
78-83
78
83
-5
64avg 73
A12/10
Lega A
Dijon
#15
W
96-88 OT
96
88
+8
96avg 73
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-27
19-21
16-16
16-20
22-20
18-16
22-22
24-14
23-15
16-25
17-20
19-20
24-19
19-23
20-32
25-28
19-21
27-23
22-27
15-19
31-23
27-19
16-20
25-25
22-21
16-23
15-26
25-11
26-13
16-19
21-21
13-18
20-20
27-21
14-20
17-22
27-18
19-20
21-26
17-20
166.0Avg total
82.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.077.0154.0+0.050%
Season at home (1)76.071.0147.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)78.083.0161.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)82.283.8166.0-1.640%
Last 5 (5)85.482.0167.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.086.5162.5-10.515%
vs Similar (4)80.282.0162.2-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.773.8157.5+9.982%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
86-88
86
88
-2
74avg 76
A23/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
95-82
95
82
+13
84avg 76
H30/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
78avg 76
H06/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
97-87
97
87
+10
87avg 76
A12/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
92avg 76
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-104
67
104
-37
58avg 76
A27/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
85-80
85
80
+5
73avg 76
H04/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
64-83
64
83
-19
49avg 76
A11/05
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
105-102
105
102
+3
100avg 76
A05/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
61-94
61
94
-33
46avg 76
H11/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
23-26
23-22
21-21
23-21
23-17
29-20
20-24
16-6
14-16
23-18
15-28
26-20
24-21
25-21
22-25
23-17
23-17
18-21
25-29
17-13
13-32
20-35
17-24
19-19
20-16
27-22
19-23
21-20
20-23
14-18
9-22
27-24
27-25
28-29
23-24
17-28
15-22
20-24
9-20
172.5Avg total
83.4Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.098.0181.0-15.050%
Season at home (1)61.094.0155.0-33.00%
Season away (1)105.0102.0207.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.489.1172.5-5.750%
Last 5 (5)76.492.6169.0-16.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)83.495.1178.5-11.729%
vs Similar (9)90.491.3181.8-0.956%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -6.0-6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -6.0-6.0
ReggianaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A03/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H11/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A19/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H22/05
Lega A
Pelister
#47
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H19/09
Champions League
Antwerp Giants
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A21/09
Champions League
Udine
#13
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H05/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A12/10
Lega A
Dijon
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
83.7Avg total
43.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.580.7-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.239.181.4+3.171%-
Last 30 away (16)38.441.880.2-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.783.7+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.239.485.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.142.881.8-3.738%-
vs Similar (4)38.241.880.0-3.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.337.277.5+3.173%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A23/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H30/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H06/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A12/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A27/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H04/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/05
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A05/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H11/10
Lega A
81.2Avg total
41.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.244.688.7-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.542.786.3+0.860%-
Last 30 away (15)44.846.491.2-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.281.2+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.483.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)43.246.189.4-2.943%-
vs Similar (9)46.340.987.2+5.478%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.3
51.3%
54.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.3
32.3%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.914.5
72.9%
76.1%14.5
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.215.4
51.0%
54.1%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.412.6
38.9%
34.6%37.8
🏀 Free throws18.413.8
75.0%
76.1%13.8
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Reggiana
WLWLWLLLWL
Varese
LWLWLWWLWL
#7
League position
#8
-2.9
Net rating
-7.4
107.4
Offensive rating
107.6
110.3
Defensive rating
115.1
50.1%
Effective FG%
54.8%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
15.7%
Turnover %
18.8%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.3%
3-point %
38.9%
62.9%
Assist %
58.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 107.6Defence110.3 · 115.1Shooting50.1% · 54.8%3-point %32.3% · 38.9%Ball care15.7% · 18.8%Off. rebounds31.2% · 21.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Reggiana   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Reggiana wins
3
Varese wins
DateGameScore
16/03/25Varese v Reggiana63-78
22/12/24Reggiana v Varese97-80
17/03/24Reggiana v Varese113-80
29/12/23Varese v Reggiana116-93
08/04/23Varese v Reggiana81-85
22/10/22Reggiana v Varese81-87
18/02/22Reggiana v Varese82-84
24/10/21Varese v Reggiana67-106
11/04/21Reggiana v Varese95-77
13/12/20Varese v Reggiana76-89
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25ADijon96-88 OT
12/10/25ACantu78-83
05/10/25HUdine76-71
21/09/25AAntwerp Giants78-81
19/09/25HPelister99-87
22/05/25HTrapani83-90
19/05/25ATrapani88-102
17/05/25ATrapani75-80
11/05/25HPistoia86-72
03/05/25ATrento63-84
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HOlimpia Milano61-94
05/10/25ASassari105-102
11/05/25AVenezia64-83
04/05/25HTrieste85-80
27/04/25AVirtus Bologna67-104
19/04/25HSassari89-84
12/04/25ABasket Napoli97-87
06/04/25HCremona85-87 OT
30/03/25HScafati95-82
23/03/25ATreviso86-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.076.078.0
Allowed / game77.071.083.0
Point differential+0.0+5.0-5.0
Avg total154.0147.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game83.061.0105.0
Allowed / game98.094.0102.0
Point differential-15.0-33.0+3.0
Avg total181.0155.0207.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna220100%93.584.0+9.5
2 Brescia220100%87.081.5+5.5
3 Trapani220100%100.094.5+5.5
4 Trento32167%87.072.0+15.0
5 Venezia32167%95.383.3+12.0
6 Olimpia Milano32167%80.369.0+11.3
7 Tortona32167%85.385.0+0.3
8 Reggiana21150%77.077.0+0.0
9 Cremona21150%77.078.5-1.5
10 Varese21150%83.098.0-15.0
11 Cantu21150%76.093.5-17.5
12 Trieste31233%79.090.7-11.7
13 Udine2020%75.579.0-3.5
14 Sassari3030%83.086.7-3.7
15 Treviso2020%97.5104.5-7.0
16 Basket Napoli2020%83.594.5-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Reggiana28282027103
Varese2222181779
← all games of the day
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