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Trapani vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 106-93 (OT)
23-32 26-23 18-14 22-20 17-4
Position#3
Record13-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game82.8
Trapani 🏆
Italy
vs
Varese
Italy
Position#12
Record6-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game98.8
ItalyLega ARound 20· Pala Shark
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Trapani v Varese
28 Dec 2025
TRA88
VAR95
02 Mar 2025
TRA106
VAR93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trapani winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrapaniItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrapani
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
W
107-99
107
99
+8
108avg 80
H15/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
90-105
90
105
-15
82avg 80
A23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
109-73
109
73
+36
110avg 80
H29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
82-91
82
91
-9
65avg 80
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
88-68
88
68
+20
90avg 80
H11/01
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
83-66
83
66
+17
76avg 80
A19/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
104-60
104
60
+44
108avg 80
H25/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
74avg 80
A02/02
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
80-85
80
85
-5
74avg 80
A09/02
Lega A
Trieste
#4
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 80
H13/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-30
27-28
26-22
22-19
24-22
23-28
16-31
27-24
25-15
29-15
26-24
29-19
31-26
21-30
18-14
12-21
18-21
22-13
21-7
27-27
26-14
23-12
13-19
21-21
24-14
33-16
25-16
22-14
27-19
16-27
14-17
23-20
25-21
19-27
18-11
18-26
20-15
13-23
20-18
19-18
169.9Avg total
89.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)91.982.8174.8+9.168%
Season at home (9)94.379.8174.1+14.678%
Season away (10)89.885.6175.4+4.260%
Last 10 (10)89.580.4169.9+9.150%
Last 5 (5)83.873.6157.4+10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)92.090.0182.0+2.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.376.0162.3+10.379%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Cremona
#13
L
60-78
60
78
-18
51avg 80
A08/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 80
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
80-97
80
97
-17
68avg 80
A22/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 80
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
84avg 80
A05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 80
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
96-111
96
111
-15
88avg 80
A19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
77-118
77
118
-41
64avg 80
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
92-119
92
119
-27
84avg 80
A02/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
79-92
79
92
-13
71avg 80
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
18-18
8-23
20-20
25-19
29-24
18-22
22-27
17-22
24-26
21-28
18-21
22-12
27-27
19-29
21-18
26-30
20-13
18-12
22-26
25-18
31-25
17-29
19-17
28-28
31-17
14-36
23-30
19-30
21-28
18-35
19-25
22-28
27-35
18-32
25-24
25-25
13-27
19-22
22-18
180.8Avg total
84.5Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.698.8187.4-10.332%
Season at home (10)90.996.7187.6-5.850%
Season away (9)86.0101.2187.2-15.211%
Last 10 (10)84.596.3180.8-11.840%
Last 5 (5)87.2105.8193.0-18.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)88.198.2186.3-10.229%
vs Similar (13)91.791.5183.2+0.246%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trapani) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -9.8-9.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -9.8-9.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
TrapaniVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrapaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H15/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H11/01
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A19/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H25/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A02/02
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A09/02
Lega A
Trieste
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H13/02
Italian Cup
89.4Avg total
47.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.085.7+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.339.683.9+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)45.242.387.5+2.947%-
Last 10 (10)47.841.689.4+6.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.682.8+7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)48.848.096.8+0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.439.684.0+4.858%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A08/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A22/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A02/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H09/02
Lega A
93.3Avg total
46.4Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.847.295.0+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.047.096.0+2.067%-
Last 30 away (15)46.547.594.0-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)46.446.993.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)48.452.2100.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)47.549.396.8-1.853%-
vs Similar (13)48.144.592.6+3.554%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trapani) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trapanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trapani: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.1
54.6%
52.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.6
37.1%
35.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.815.5
74.5%
76.8%15.5
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.416.5
52.5%
52.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.7
35.0%
35.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.815.6
78.8%
76.8%15.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trapani
LLLWWWLWLW
Varese
LLLLWWWLWL
#3
League position
#12
+11.7
Net rating
-14.9
114.2
Offensive rating
107.5
102.5
Defensive rating
122.4
55.0%
Effective FG%
52.5%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
21.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.1%
3-point %
35.0%
65.6%
Assist %
64.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 107.5Defence102.5 · 122.4Shooting55.0% · 52.5%3-point %37.1% · 35.0%Ball care16.7% · 15.8%Off. rebounds30.2% · 21.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Trapani   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Trapani wins
0
Varese wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Varese v Trapani100-109
Trapanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25HTrieste72-74
09/02/25ACremona80-85
02/02/25ATrento80-83
25/01/25HPistoia104-60
19/01/25AScafati83-66
11/01/25HSassari88-68
05/01/25AVenezia82-91
29/12/24HReggiana109-73
23/12/24AOlimpia Milano90-105
15/12/24HTrento107-99
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HTrento79-92
02/02/25AOlimpia Milano92-119
25/01/25HBrescia77-118
19/01/25APistoia96-111
12/01/25HTreviso92-89
05/01/25ASassari86-81
28/12/24HBasket Napoli89-86
22/12/24AReggiana80-97
15/12/24HOlimpia Milano94-92
08/12/24ACremona60-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trapani
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL68%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLLWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %68%78%60%
Points / game91.994.389.8
Allowed / game82.879.885.6
Point differential+9.1+14.6+4.2
Avg total174.8174.1175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL32%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%50%11%
Points / game88.690.986.0
Allowed / game98.896.7101.2
Point differential-10.3-5.8-15.2
Avg total187.4187.6187.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2015575%85.077.9+7.1
2 Trento2015575%88.382.7+5.7
3 Brescia2015575%91.886.2+5.6
4 Trapani1913668%91.982.8+9.1
5 Olimpia Milano2013765%89.084.8+4.2
6 Reggiana2013765%80.877.1+3.7
7 Trieste2012860%86.283.7+2.5
8 Tortona2011955%85.385.5-0.1
9 Venezia20101050%79.377.5+1.8
10 Treviso2081240%85.387.9-2.5
11 Sassari2071335%79.584.2-4.7
12 Varese1961332%88.698.8-10.3
13 Scafati2061430%87.592.8-5.3
14 Basket Napoli2051525%81.886.5-4.8
15 Cremona2051525%76.382.0-5.7
16 Pistoia2051525%82.188.5-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Trapani2326182217106
Varese32231420493
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