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Trento vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 87-64
21-20 24-14 26-13 16-17
Position#4
Record15-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game82.5
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record5-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game88.9
ItalyLega ARound 22· BLM Group Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Trento v Pistoia
16 Mar 2025
TRE87
PIS64
28 Apr 2024
TRE80
PIS105
25 Sep 2019
TRE88
PIS75
20 Apr 2019
TRE82
PIS73
22 Apr 2018
TRE85
PIS70
18 Mar 2017
TRE99
PIS91
18 Oct 2015
TRE54
PIS74
15 Nov 2014
TRE86
PIS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
W
74-70
74
70
+4
62avg 75
A26/01
Lega A
BC Wolves
#10
L
70-96
70
96
-26
57avg 75
H28/01
Eurocup
Trapani
#3
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 75
H02/02
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
L
75-79
75
79
-4
61avg 75
A05/02
Eurocup
Varese
#12
W
92-79
92
79
+13
88avg 75
A09/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
85-80
85
80
+5
80avg 75
H13/02
Italian Cup
Trieste
#4
W
82-79
82
79
+3
67avg 75
H15/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
79-63
79
63
+16
75avg 75
A16/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
78avg 75
H01/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 75
A10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
13-26
16-13
19-13
11-25
19-15
20-28
20-28
19-27
27-16
17-14
20-23
15-22
20-24
17-17
23-16
25-25
27-13
22-19
18-22
15-22
27-22
14-20
29-16
23-13
15-20
21-25
23-21
15-14
23-17
21-17
20-15
24-18
16-20
26-25
19-26
20-26
21-23
15-15
19-16
159.5Avg total
80.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.782.5170.2+5.171%
Season at home (10)87.779.2166.9+8.580%
Season away (11)87.685.5173.2+2.164%
Last 10 (10)80.079.5159.5+0.560%
Last 5 (5)81.278.2159.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.487.4163.8-11.00%
vs Similar (10)84.480.9165.3+3.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.683.5172.1+5.273%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 74
H22/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 74
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
82-115
82
115
-33
69avg 74
H05/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 74
A12/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
111-96
111
96
+15
103avg 74
H19/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
60-104
60
104
-44
44avg 74
A25/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
84-90
84
90
-6
72avg 74
H02/02
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
89-91
89
91
-2
83avg 74
H08/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 74
A02/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
70avg 74
H09/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
19-23
25-23
19-19
14-29
27-22
24-24
18-15
19-27
25-25
21-35
17-28
21-22
15-25
18-17
21-16
28-28
17-31
36-14
30-23
14-24
16-33
16-25
14-22
28-23
18-24
21-16
17-27
24-23
30-22
18-24
17-22
18-21
18-22
18-13
20-14
12-26
26-20
24-28
22-23
175.7Avg total
83.1Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.288.9171.1-6.724%
Season at home (11)85.590.6176.1-5.227%
Season away (10)78.687.0165.6-8.420%
Last 10 (10)83.192.6175.7-9.520%
Last 5 (5)78.290.4168.6-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)78.687.5166.1-8.924%
vs Similar (9)92.893.2186.0-0.433%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
TrentoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/01
Lega A
BC Wolves
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H28/01
Eurocup
Trapani
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H02/02
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A05/02
Eurocup
Varese
#12
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A09/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H13/02
Italian Cup
Trieste
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A16/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H01/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A10/03
Lega A
80.7Avg total
40.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.285.0+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.439.279.6+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)45.245.190.3+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.680.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.078.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.543.480.9-5.925%-
vs Similar (10)45.243.188.3+2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.540.384.8+4.382%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H22/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H05/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A12/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H19/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
30-57
30
57
-27
A25/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H08/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A02/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/03
Lega A
91.3Avg total
41.5Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.746.286.9-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.348.090.3-5.720%-
Last 30 away (15)39.144.383.5-5.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.549.891.3-8.310%-
Last 5 (5)40.847.688.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.245.583.7-7.324%-
vs Similar (9)46.747.894.4-1.144%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.5
48.6%
52.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.9
29.2%
35.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.616.0
81.6%
76.8%16.0
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.5
49.3%
52.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.8
38.1%
35.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.915.1
75.9%
76.8%15.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LLWWWWLWLW
Pistoia
LWLLLWLLLL
#4
League position
#16
-0.4
Net rating
-12.3
104.3
Offensive rating
109.5
104.7
Defensive rating
121.8
46.7%
Effective FG%
52.1%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.0%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.2%
3-point %
38.1%
57.7%
Assist %
49.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 109.5Defence104.7 · 121.8Shooting46.7% · 52.1%3-point %29.2% · 38.1%Ball care16.5% · 15.0%Off. rebounds31.9% · 26.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Trento   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Trento wins
1
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24Pistoia v Trento88-92
28/04/24Trento v Pistoia80-105
08/10/23Pistoia v Trento73-78
12/01/20Pistoia v Trento71-74
25/09/19Trento v Pistoia88-75
20/04/19Trento v Pistoia82-73
26/12/18Pistoia v Trento70-78
22/04/18Trento v Pistoia85-70
23/12/17Pistoia v Trento79-86
18/03/17Trento v Pistoia99-91
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25AVirtus Bologna75-80
01/03/25HTortona85-89
16/02/25AOlimpia Milano79-63
15/02/25HTrieste82-79
13/02/25HReggiana85-80
09/02/25AVarese92-79
05/02/25ABesiktas75-79
02/02/25HTrapani83-80
28/01/25HBC Wolves70-96
26/01/25AVenezia74-70
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HBrescia84-97
02/03/25ABasket Napoli74-70
08/02/25HScafati89-91
02/02/25HTreviso84-90
25/01/25ATrapani60-104
19/01/25HVarese111-96
12/01/25ATrieste75-80
05/01/25HOlimpia Milano82-115
29/12/24ABrescia83-90
22/12/24HTortona89-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWLWWL80%
AwayLLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%80%64%
Points / game87.787.787.6
Allowed / game82.579.285.5
Point differential+5.1+8.5+2.1
Avg total170.2166.9173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL24%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %24%27%20%
Points / game82.285.578.6
Allowed / game88.990.687.0
Point differential-6.7-5.2-8.4
Avg total171.1176.1165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)25% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2116576%84.877.8+7.0
2 Trapani2216673%94.583.8+10.6
3 Brescia2216673%91.185.7+5.4
4 Trento2115671%87.782.5+5.1
5 Olimpia Milano2215768%88.684.0+4.6
6 Reggiana2214864%81.077.2+3.8
7 Trieste2213959%86.485.5+1.0
8 Tortona2112957%85.585.3+0.2
9 Venezia21111052%80.278.4+1.8
10 Treviso2181338%85.188.0-2.9
11 Sassari2171433%80.384.8-4.5
12 Cremona2161529%77.282.1-5.0
13 Scafati2161529%86.992.6-5.7
14 Varese2261627%87.397.8-10.5
15 Basket Napoli2151624%81.986.9-5.0
16 Pistoia2151624%82.288.9-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2124261687
Pistoia2014131764
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