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Pesaro vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 95-101 (OT)
8-18 23-24 30-15 21-25 13-19
Position#17
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game92.7
Pesaro
Italy
vs
Trento 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record3-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game78.0
ItalyLega ARound 8
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Pesaro v Trento
10 Dec 2023
PES74
TRE87
02 Apr 2023
PES70
TRE84
31 Oct 2021
PES75
TRE79
17 Oct 2020
PES57
TRE71
09 Nov 2019
PES95
TRE101
23 Dec 2018
PES65
TRE77
25 Mar 2018
PES62
TRE77
27 Nov 2016
PES73
TRE78
09 Mar 2016
PES79
TRE72
21 Dec 2014
PES57
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
81-88
81
88
-7
272avg 102
H20/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 102
A28/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
73-100
73
100
-27
53avg 102
H05/05
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 102
A12/05
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
72-80
72
80
-8
59avg 102
H24/09
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
79-99
79
99
-20
69avg 102
A29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
57avg 102
H13/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
99-108
99
108
-9
82avg 102
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
65-90
65
90
-25
49avg 102
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
75-85
75
85
-10
64avg 102
A03/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
17-22
16-15
32-29
22-19
8-19
28-19
17-24
12-24
19-25
16-25
26-26
17-26
18-26
19-24
17-17
20-23
21-17
7-26
24-14
19-20
15-30
22-25
23-24
19-25
16-29
13-16
31-24
27-32
24-27
20-19
28-30
20-24
15-19
19-20
11-27
27-16
12-24
18-24
18-21
168.7Avg total
76.9Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.292.7170.8-14.50%
Season at home (3)72.088.0160.0-16.00%
Season away (3)84.397.3181.7-13.00%
Last 10 (10)76.991.8168.7-14.90%
Last 5 (5)79.495.2174.6-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)78.893.6172.4-14.714%
vs Similar (1)81.077.0158.0+4.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
69-74
69
74
-5
154avg 104
A28/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
no box
H05/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
A12/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
57-67
57
67
-10
40avg 104
A19/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
88-75
88
75
+13
84avg 104
H25/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
84-76
84
76
+8
79avg 104
A28/09
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
73-76
73
76
-3
65avg 104
H05/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
66-92
66
92
-26
51avg 104
A13/10
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
72-78
72
78
-6
64avg 104
A20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
H26/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
15-21
13-25
22-15
11-27
19-16
17-6
19-17
19-20
19-21
22-19
21-16
23-11
8-17
11-22
15-17
19-19
25-18
24-17
20-21
23-19
14-21
19-22
28-14
23-22
13-25
17-12
20-17
18-14
16-26
11-30
21-22
23-26
11-19
15-16
23-17
25-16
15-23
9-18
27-14
150.7Avg total
74.3Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.578.0154.5-1.550%
Season at home (3)79.074.0153.0+5.067%
Season away (3)74.082.0156.0-8.033%
Last 10 (10)74.376.4150.7-2.140%
Last 5 (5)74.278.6152.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.580.9156.4-5.536%
vs Similar (14)80.477.5157.9+2.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)81.271.8153.0+9.4100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -7.3-7.3Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.6+4.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -7.3-7.3Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.6+4.6
PesaroTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H20/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A28/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H05/05
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A12/05
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H24/09
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H13/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/11
Lega A
83.3Avg total
36.4Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.947.786.6-8.820%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.847.588.3-6.720%-
Last 30 away (15)37.047.984.9-10.920%-
Last 10 (10)36.446.983.3-10.510%-
Last 5 (5)38.849.288.0-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)38.747.886.4-9.121%-
vs Similar (1)46.046.092.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A28/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H05/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A12/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A19/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H25/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/09
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H05/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/10
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/10
Lega A
75.2Avg total
35.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.578.1+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.239.680.8+1.667%-
Last 30 away (15)38.037.575.5+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.475.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.278.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.538.175.5-0.655%-
vs Similar (14)41.439.380.6+2.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.437.476.8+2.060%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.0
50.8%
52.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.3
32.3%
35.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws14.710.4
70.7%
73.6%10.4
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.622.5
48.3%
52.0%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.75.9
31.6%
35.1%17.7
🏀 Free throws18.110.9
60.2%
73.6%10.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLLLLLLL
Trento
WLLLWWLWLL
#17
League position
#8
-20.1
Net rating
-1.9
101.6
Offensive rating
100.1
121.7
Defensive rating
102.0
49.8%
Effective FG%
48.0%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
14.2%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.3%
3-point %
31.6%
36.7%
Assist %
51.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 100.1Defence121.7 · 102.0Shooting49.8% · 48.0%3-point %32.3% · 31.6%Ball care16.3% · 14.2%Off. rebounds25.1% · 25.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Pesaro   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
9
Trento wins
DateGameScore
14/04/19Trento v Pesaro81-76
23/12/18Pesaro v Trento65-77
25/03/18Pesaro v Trento62-77
19/11/17Trento v Pesaro91-74
26/03/17Trento v Pesaro97-91
27/11/16Pesaro v Trento73-78
09/03/16Pesaro v Trento79-72
08/11/15Trento v Pesaro81-74
11/04/15Trento v Pesaro77-65
21/12/14Pesaro v Trento57-76
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/19ATreviso75-85
27/10/19HReggiana65-90
20/10/19ABrindisi99-108
13/10/19HVirtus Bologna79-94
29/09/19ASassari79-99
24/09/19HFortitudo Bologna72-80
12/05/19ATorino71-93
05/05/19HReggiana73-100
28/04/19AVarese75-81
20/04/19HSassari81-88
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/19HTreviso76-71
20/10/19ACantu72-78
13/10/19ABrescia66-92
05/10/19HSassari73-76
28/09/19AReggiana84-76
25/09/19HPistoia88-75
19/05/19AVenezia57-67
12/05/19ABrindisi81-76
05/05/19HOlimpia Milano77-79 OT
28/04/19AVirtus Bologna69-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.272.084.3
Allowed / game92.788.097.3
Point differential-14.5-16.0-13.0
Avg total170.8160.0181.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game76.579.074.0
Allowed / game78.074.082.0
Point differential-1.5+5.0-8.0
Avg total154.5153.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna770100%82.773.3+9.4
2 Sassari65183%83.868.5+15.3
3 Brindisi75271%84.681.6+3.0
4 Olimpia Milano74357%81.073.6+7.4
5 Brescia74357%82.176.1+6.0
6 Reggiana74357%81.176.6+4.6
7 Fortitudo Bologna74357%75.377.7-2.4
8 Varese63350%79.775.7+4.0
9 Trento63350%76.578.0-1.5
10 Cantu63350%69.374.2-4.8
11 Venezia73443%74.771.9+2.9
12 Treviso73443%77.477.6-0.1
13 Virtus Roma73443%76.082.0-6.0
14 Trieste62433%70.277.8-7.7
15 Cremona62433%74.282.0-7.8
16 Pistoia71614%73.083.1-10.1
17 Pesaro6060%78.292.7-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pesaro82330211395
Trento1824152519101
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