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Trieste vs Basket Napoli Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 02 May 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.8/10
Above normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game86.6
ItalyLega ARound 29· PalaTrieste
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Trieste v Basket Napoli
02 May 2027
TRI v NAP
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
TRI110
NAP84
06 Apr 2025
TRI109
NAP82
29 Jan 2023
TRI85
NAP68
30 Oct 2021
TRI77
NAP75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 77
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 77
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 77
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 77
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
57avg 77
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 77
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
88avg 77
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
W
108-99
108
99
+9
101avg 77
H25/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A02/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
116-100
116
100
+16
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
21-22
15-17
26-23
17-16
18-22
28-18
20-21
16-27
23-20
12-20
24-23
19-17
22-21
23-19
15-26
15-21
27-18
20-20
20-28
15-19
23-21
20-21
26-24
20-18
24-20
23-15
25-19
23-27
28-26
28-24
29-22
25-24
21-31
31-17
23-21
28-32
30-24
34-26
24-18
176.9Avg total
89.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.488.4182.9+6.057%
Season at home (4)99.589.5189.0+10.075%
Season away (3)87.787.0174.7+0.733%
Last 10 (10)89.987.0176.9+2.950%
Last 5 (5)100.089.8189.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.788.7170.3-7.027%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.084.5170.5+1.545%
vs Weaker (4)99.589.5189.0+10.075%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Cantu
#16
W
99-80
99
80
+19
90avg 89
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
86-82
86
82
+4
84avg 89
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 89
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
99avg 89
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#12
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 89
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
W
94-85
94
85
+9
98avg 89
A28/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#9
W
99-81
99
81
+18
100avg 89
H01/11
Lega A
Trento
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
W
112-90
112
90
+22
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
29-22
17-20
33-19
22-18
18-19
21-24
25-21
25-18
13-23
23-25
21-32
29-20
24-22
20-24
20-27
19-26
22-21
26-17
25-26
24-20
23-25
24-20
23-20
19-16
25-22
30-20
25-23
24-21
13-18
28-15
25-25
22-19
15-28
27-28
27-14
24-22
35-19
20-28
33-21
182.5Avg total
95.0Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.786.6180.3+7.186%
Season at home (3)93.390.7184.0+2.767%
Season away (4)94.083.5177.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)95.087.5182.5+7.590%
Last 5 (5)97.284.8182.0+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.694.2171.8-16.60%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.985.1172.1+1.850%
vs Weaker (11)94.583.6178.1+10.8100%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
TriesteBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H25/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A02/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H08/11
Lega A
88.1Avg total
43.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.045.389.3-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.645.089.6-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)43.445.689.0-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.344.888.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)47.448.495.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.945.987.8-4.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.343.989.2+1.455%-
vs Weaker (4)48.846.595.2+2.275%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#12
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/11
Lega A
Trento
#27
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/11
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A08/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A11/11
Eurocup
86.3Avg total
44.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.083.4+1.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.737.878.5+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)43.943.887.8+0.169%-
Last 10 (10)44.541.886.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.086.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.243.482.6-4.260%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.939.980.9+1.064%-
vs Weaker (11)45.841.387.1+4.573%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.3
54.8%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
74.6%16.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.5
59.1%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.5
41.7%
34.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.8
72.1%
74.6%17.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WWWWLLLLWL
Basket Napoli
WWWWWWWLWW
#7
League position
#2
+0.2
Net rating
+8.2
100.8
Offensive rating
106.6
100.6
Defensive rating
98.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
60.6%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
12.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.40
34.9%
3-point %
41.7%
56.5%
Assist %
68.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 106.6Defence100.6 · 98.4Shooting53.6% · 60.6%3-point %34.9% · 41.7%Ball care12.9% · 15.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Trieste   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Trieste wins
1
Basket Napoli wins
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBC Roma116-100
02/11/26AVirtus Bologna100-93
25/10/26HVerona108-99
18/10/26HCantu92-72
10/10/26AVarese84-85
04/10/26HVenezia82-87
27/09/26AOlimpia Milano79-83
25/05/26ABrescia75-90
23/05/26HBrescia83-77
21/05/26HBrescia80-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AChemnitz112-90
08/11/26AScafati91-89
03/11/26HTrento90-79
01/11/26HVenezia99-81
28/10/26ANeptunas94-85
25/10/26ATortona92-90
21/10/26HTofas105-101 OT
18/10/26HOlimpia Milano82-98
14/10/26ASlask Wroclaw86-82
11/10/26ACantu99-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game94.499.587.7
Allowed / game88.489.587.0
Point differential+6.0+10.0+0.7
Avg total182.9189.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game93.793.394.0
Allowed / game86.690.783.5
Point differential+7.1+2.7+10.5
Avg total180.3184.0177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+2.1
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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