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Cremona vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 88-78
22-21 16-17 28-17 22-23
Position#6
Record4-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game80.5
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record2-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game79.5
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Cremona v Trieste
15 Nov 2025
CRE113
TRI94
28 Apr 2025
CRE81
TRI101
12 Jan 2022
CRE75
TRI80
17 Jan 2021
CRE80
TRI101
24 Nov 2019
CRE88
TRI78
21 May 2019
CRE v TRI
upcoming
19 May 2019
CRE82
TRI75
09 Dec 2018
CRE87
TRI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
65avg 105
A12/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
63avg 105
H19/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
76avg 105
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
94-97
94
97
-3
76avg 105
A06/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
71-85
71
85
-14
54avg 105
A13/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
82-78
82
78
+4
77avg 105
H20/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
55-67
55
67
-12
43avg 105
A26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
54-78
54
78
-24
35avg 105
H03/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-73
80
73
+7
72avg 105
H10/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
no box
A17/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
16-24
16-13
22-14
25-24
21-20
16-19
20-12
33-24
18-24
19-19
19-20
26-23
23-27
23-21
22-26
17-23
17-17
22-30
15-15
16-24
24-13
23-17
19-24
15-21
17-16
13-18
10-12
14-29
19-20
14-9
7-20
24-19
24-19
19-22
13-13
22-21
22-22
22-20
23-16
157.8Avg total
77.7Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.880.5157.2-3.850%
Season at home (4)76.279.0155.2-2.875%
Season away (4)77.282.0159.2-4.825%
Last 10 (10)77.780.1157.8-2.450%
Last 5 (5)72.075.0147.0-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.078.0160.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (14)71.473.2144.6-1.857%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.280.9169.1+7.371%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
81avg 108
A12/05
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
69avg 108
A19/05
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
59avg 108
A26/09
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
62-92
62
92
-30
51avg 108
H29/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
no box
A06/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
65-59
65
59
+6
54avg 108
A13/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
66avg 108
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
72-76
72
76
-4
61avg 108
A03/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 108
H10/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
no box
H17/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
21-39
22-14
23-26
24-25
20-21
19-16
12-20
16-19
18-11
25-25
14-23
13-29
12-25
20-12
17-26
14-23
14-21
20-21
25-23
19-22
8-13
16-13
22-11
26-20
20-19
18-22
12-13
19-14
17-16
17-19
19-27
22-21
14-16
20-23
16-20
20-16
28-19
12-20
12-17
155.2Avg total
74.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.279.5151.8-7.225%
Season at home (4)73.883.8157.5-10.025%
Season away (4)70.875.2146.0-4.525%
Last 10 (10)74.181.1155.2-7.020%
Last 5 (5)74.075.6149.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.380.0152.3-7.729%
vs Similar (14)86.285.9172.1+0.336%
vs Weaker (9)90.979.4170.3+11.478%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
CremonaTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A12/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A06/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H20/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H03/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H10/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A17/11
Lega A
86.1Avg total
42.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.942.485.2+0.559%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.440.985.3+3.475%-
Last 30 away (13)41.044.285.2-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.186.1-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.880.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.037.077.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (13)38.942.981.8-4.046%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.642.489.1+4.264%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A12/05
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/05
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A26/09
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
25-54
25
54
-29
H29/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A06/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A13/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H10/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H17/11
Lega A
77.0Avg total
36.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.883.3+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.842.689.4+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)38.739.277.9-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)36.740.377.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.273.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.939.174.0-4.343%-
vs Similar (14)43.644.187.7-0.629%-
vs Weaker (9)46.737.083.7+9.789%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.321.3
47.0%
52.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.3
29.7%
35.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.212.4
64.6%
73.6%12.4
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 66.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.5
48.8%
52.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.5
29.0%
35.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws13.79.9
72.3%
73.6%9.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WWLLWLLWWL
Trieste
LLLWWLLLLL
#6
League position
#14
-3.8
Net rating
-13.3
105.6
Offensive rating
95.3
109.4
Defensive rating
108.7
46.1%
Effective FG%
46.8%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.6%
Turnover %
17.9%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.7%
3-point %
29.0%
47.2%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 95.3Defence109.4 · 108.7Shooting46.1% · 46.8%3-point %29.7% · 29.0%Ball care14.6% · 17.9%Off. rebounds35.4% · 25.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Cremona   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cremona wins
1
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
19/05/19Cremona v Trieste82-75
31/03/19Trieste v Cremona97-80
09/12/18Cremona v Trieste87-78
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/19ATrento89-79
10/11/19HFortitudo Bologna80-73
03/11/19HCantu54-78
26/10/19AVenezia55-67
20/10/19HOlimpia Milano82-78
13/10/19AReggiana71-85
06/10/19AVirtus Roma94-97
29/09/19HTreviso89-87
19/05/19HTrieste82-75
12/05/19AReggiana81-82
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/19HVirtus Bologna85-89 OT
10/11/19HBrindisi72-80
03/11/19APistoia72-76
19/10/19HBrescia76-74
13/10/19ASassari65-59
06/10/19AOlimpia Milano73-88
29/09/19HVarese62-92
26/09/19AVenezia73-78
19/05/19ACremona75-82
12/05/19AOlimpia Milano88-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game76.876.277.2
Allowed / game80.579.082.0
Point differential-3.8-2.8-4.8
Avg total157.2155.2159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL25%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game72.273.870.8
Allowed / game79.583.875.2
Point differential-7.2-10.0-4.5
Avg total151.8157.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna990100%83.675.2+8.3
2 Brindisi86275%84.080.4+3.6
3 Sassari96367%81.770.8+10.9
4 Olimpia Milano106460%82.074.1+7.9
5 Brescia95456%81.675.4+6.1
6 Reggiana95456%81.178.9+2.2
7 Fortitudo Bologna95456%76.178.2-2.1
8 Virtus Roma95456%77.881.2-3.4
9 Trento84450%79.981.5-1.6
10 Cremona84450%76.880.5-3.8
11 Venezia94544%74.372.2+2.1
12 Varese94544%79.979.7+0.2
13 Treviso94544%77.077.2-0.2
14 Cantu83538%69.974.8-4.9
15 Trieste82625%72.279.5-7.2
16 Pistoia92722%72.381.6-9.2
17 Pesaro8080%80.993.6-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2216282288
Trieste2117172378
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