PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trieste vs Cremona Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 23 May 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#10
Record16-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#3
Record21-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game78.5
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Trieste v Cremona
10 May 2026
TRI89
CRE94
21 Dec 2024
TRI91
CRE83
16 Apr 2022
TRI84
CRE72
27 Sep 2020
TRI102
CRE77
22 Mar 2020
TRI v CRE
upcoming
23 May 2019
TRI v CRE
upcoming
31 Mar 2019
TRI97
CRE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
88-66
88
66
+22
A24/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H31/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
A09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
104-88
104
88
+16
H14/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
104-85
104
85
+19
H20/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A28/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
H05/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A12/05
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A19/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
14-14
27-21
9-21
24-22
24-16
23-13
17-15
35-24
26-13
22-19
14-24
19-26
19-24
25-13
24-24
26-16
34-22
26-20
18-30
30-27
31-28
21-8
22-22
16-18
21-19
16-26
24-22
13-23
28-24
5-22
19-17
22-14
21-39
22-14
23-26
24-25
20-21
19-16
12-20
171.3Avg total
87.0Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)87.484.2171.5+3.252%
Season at home (15)93.484.5177.9+8.967%
Season away (16)81.883.9165.6-2.138%
Last 10 (10)87.084.3171.3+2.750%
Last 5 (5)81.886.2168.0-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.485.5169.9-1.131%
vs Weaker (14)90.782.1172.8+8.679%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A17/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H24/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
80-97
80
97
-17
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
97-64
97
64
+33
H07/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A14/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H20/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
94-88
94
88
+6
A28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H05/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A12/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H19/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
22-19
16-18
13-23
16-24
16-12
15-15
29-21
24-35
13-26
19-22
24-14
33-18
20-12
25-20
19-14
30-25
26-14
16-21
17-26
16-25
27-26
26-18
24-17
23-32
23-16
17-20
31-20
18-15
19-21
23-22
20-7
27-31
16-24
16-13
22-14
25-24
21-20
16-19
20-12
163.4Avg total
83.6Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.478.5162.0+4.968%
Season at home (16)87.179.8166.9+7.375%
Season away (15)79.577.2156.7+2.360%
Last 10 (10)83.679.8163.4+3.870%
Last 5 (5)86.079.2165.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.572.7147.2+1.862%
vs Weaker (16)90.181.6171.7+8.475%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +5.1+5.1
TriesteCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
61-37
61
37
+24
H31/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H14/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H20/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A28/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H05/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A12/05
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/05
Lega A
91.3Avg total
47.2Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.342.086.3+2.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.642.491.1+6.257%-
Last 30 away (16)40.441.782.1-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)47.244.191.3+3.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.247.692.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.144.087.1-0.925%-
vs Weaker (14)45.639.885.4+5.964%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H24/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
37-61
37
61
-24
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H07/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A14/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H20/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H05/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A12/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/05
Lega A
87.0Avg total
42.8Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.741.685.2+2.166%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.940.484.4+3.569%-
Last 30 away (13)43.343.086.3+0.362%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.287.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.046.889.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.840.379.1-1.658%-
vs Weaker (16)47.342.689.9+4.769%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.623.7
57.0%
51.0%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.5
36.3%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.113.9
81.3%
72.3%13.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.0
50.8%
51.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.1
69.7%
72.3%13.1
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LLLLWWWWWL
Cremona
WLWWWWWLWL
#10
League position
#3
+7.9
Net rating
+3.9
111.7
Offensive rating
108.0
103.9
Defensive rating
104.1
56.1%
Effective FG%
49.6%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.3%
3-point %
31.7%
57.5%
Assist %
52.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 108.0Defence103.9 · 104.1Shooting56.1% · 49.6%3-point %36.3% · 31.7%Ball care18.5% · 15.4%Off. rebounds26.5% · 33.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Trieste   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Trieste wins
2
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
19/05/19Cremona v Trieste82-75
31/03/19Trieste v Cremona97-80
09/12/18Cremona v Trieste87-78
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/19ACremona75-82
12/05/19AOlimpia Milano88-93
05/05/19HSassari65-86
28/04/19ABrindisi77-85
20/04/19HVenezia104-85
14/04/19HReggiana104-88
09/04/19AAvellino97-96 OT
31/03/19HCremona97-80
24/03/19ACantu88-66
17/03/19ATrento75-82
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/19HTrieste82-75
12/05/19AReggiana81-82
05/05/19HVenezia80-65
28/04/19ATorino94-88
20/04/19HBrindisi93-86
14/04/19ABrescia89-86
07/04/19HPesaro97-64
31/03/19ATrieste80-97
24/03/19HOlimpia Milano76-72
17/03/19AVarese64-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL52%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %52%67%38%
Points / game87.493.481.8
Allowed / game84.284.583.9
Point differential+3.2+8.9-2.1
Avg total171.5177.9165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%53%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Cremona
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %68%75%60%
Points / game83.487.179.5
Allowed / game78.579.877.2
Point differential+4.9+7.3+2.3
Avg total162.0166.9156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano3224875%86.279.2+7.0
2 Venezia31211068%80.974.6+6.3
3 Cremona31211068%83.478.5+4.9
4 Sassari32201262%87.181.4+5.7
5 Brindisi32181456%82.080.2+1.8
6 Trento31171455%78.779.9-1.2
7 Varese30161453%79.576.1+3.4
8 Cantu30161453%84.285.7-1.5
9 Avellino32171553%81.781.4+0.2
10 Trieste31161552%87.484.2+3.2
11 Virtus Bologna30151550%79.680.3-0.8
12 Brescia30141647%80.381.4-1.2
13 Torino3092130%83.187.0-4.0
14 Reggiana3092130%78.883.1-4.3
15 Pesaro3072323%79.491.8-12.4
16 Pistoia3062420%75.183.7-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.