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Trieste vs Cremona Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 17:15
Postponed
Position#14
Record7-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#6
Record12-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game80.8
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Trieste v Cremona
10 May 2026
TRI89
CRE94
21 Dec 2024
TRI91
CRE83
16 Apr 2022
TRI84
CRE72
27 Sep 2020
TRI102
CRE77
22 Mar 2020
TRI v CRE
upcoming
23 May 2019
TRI v CRE
upcoming
31 Mar 2019
TRI97
CRE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
53-80
53
80
-27
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A19/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H02/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
23-33
17-20
19-23
3-19
22-21
11-18
17-22
16-16
19-23
32-18
22-12
25-27
23-20
16-17
18-12
23-17
8-23
17-21
24-20
20-20
18-22
21-33
26-16
15-23
19-18
12-25
21-19
20-24
14-20
19-20
30-18
17-16
20-18
25-14
12-28
25-20
25-19
22-22
25-19
160.4Avg total
78.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.080.5156.4-4.532%
Season at home (11)78.080.8158.8-2.845%
Season away (11)73.980.1154.0-6.218%
Last 10 (10)78.881.6160.4-2.840%
Last 5 (5)81.282.8164.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.281.8156.0-7.523%
vs Similar (13)81.483.2164.6-1.838%
vs Weaker (4)88.880.0168.8+8.875%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A15/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H21/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A18/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H02/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
20-20
14-18
18-14
15-29
20-11
23-15
13-29
18-24
29-17
24-16
22-15
29-20
22-19
15-28
10-24
22-21
22-17
15-25
15-21
27-21
25-19
18-21
23-28
29-19
18-27
19-18
28-20
32-22
26-29
22-24
23-17
18-36
31-14
18-16
28-27
16-23
23-19
22-17
13-18
168.3Avg total
85.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.380.8162.2+0.560%
Season at home (10)85.580.6166.1+4.990%
Season away (10)77.281.1158.3-3.930%
Last 10 (10)85.183.2168.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)91.887.0178.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.879.2156.0-2.440%
vs Similar (16)80.580.3160.8+0.269%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.981.6169.4+6.367%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
TriesteCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A19/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H02/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H07/03
Lega A
80.1Avg total
38.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.481.0-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.042.485.4+0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)36.240.376.5-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.980.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.078.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.139.574.5-4.431%-
vs Similar (13)41.444.285.5-2.823%-
vs Weaker (4)48.538.587.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H21/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A18/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A09/02
Lega A
88.9Avg total
46.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.385.8+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.941.586.4+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)42.143.185.3-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)46.842.188.9+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.045.894.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.038.082.0+6.080%-
vs Similar (16)41.743.985.6-2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.442.088.4+4.444%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.5
51.2%
52.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.9
31.9%
35.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.511.3
72.9%
73.6%11.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.324.2
54.6%
52.0%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.2
33.2%
35.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.5
76.3%
73.6%14.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WLWLLLWWLL
Cremona
LWWWWLLWLW
#14
League position
#6
-3.3
Net rating
+3.2
108.8
Offensive rating
116.7
112.2
Defensive rating
113.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
53.0%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.9%
3-point %
33.2%
50.3%
Assist %
55.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 116.7Defence112.2 · 113.5Shooting49.9% · 53.0%3-point %31.9% · 33.2%Ball care16.5% · 17.2%Off. rebounds33.7% · 35.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Trieste   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Trieste wins
3
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
24/11/19Cremona v Trieste88-78
19/05/19Cremona v Trieste82-75
31/03/19Trieste v Cremona97-80
09/12/18Cremona v Trieste87-78
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HPistoia97-80
09/02/20ABrescia74-76
02/02/20HSassari83-82
26/01/20HOlimpia Milano67-85
19/01/20AVarese85-91
12/01/20HVenezia72-81
05/01/20APesaro82-76
29/12/19HFortitudo Bologna89-69
26/12/19ATrento53-80
22/12/19HCantu86-96
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20AOlimpia Milano74-77
02/02/20HReggiana95-93
26/01/20HVirtus Roma103-92
18/01/20ATreviso94-84
05/01/20HBrindisi93-89
30/12/19ASassari74-84
26/12/19ABrescia76-91
21/12/19HVarese93-72
15/12/19APistoia71-84
08/12/19HVirtus Bologna78-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW32%
HomeWLLWW45%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%45%18%
Points / game76.078.073.9
Allowed / game80.580.880.1
Point differential-4.5-2.8-6.2
Avg total156.4158.8154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%90%30%
Points / game81.385.577.2
Allowed / game80.880.681.1
Point differential+0.5+4.9-3.9
Avg total162.2166.1158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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