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Varese vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-93
20-25 29-30 25-17 20-21
Position#12
Record2-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game91.4
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record4-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game89.0
ItalyLega ARound 8· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Varese v Scafati
04 Apr 2027
VAR v SKA
upcoming
30 Mar 2025
VAR95
SKA82
19 Nov 2023
VAR94
SKA93
30 Apr 2023
VAR95
SKA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 84
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
95-80
95
80
+15
99avg 84
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 84
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 84
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
78avg 84
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
109-83
109
83
+26
110avg 84
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 84
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
97-90
97
90
+7
93avg 84
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
L
96-97
96
97
-1
96avg 84
A11/11
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
109avg 84
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
17-17
18-20
20-19
23-15
28-16
15-25
29-24
28-17
16-25
23-24
17-19
17-24
25-26
15-22
22-19
23-35
29-23
10-21
26-23
37-16
34-17
17-31
21-19
28-17
24-23
19-22
19-17
28-22
21-20
21-19
27-29
18-22
27-19
21-22
30-34
15-23
26-23
26-24
24-21
181.6Avg total
92.5Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.191.4177.6-5.329%
Season at home (4)83.881.5165.2+2.250%
Season away (3)89.3104.7194.0-15.30%
Last 10 (10)92.589.1181.6+3.450%
Last 5 (5)100.290.6190.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.2100.5182.8-18.20%
vs Similar ◀ (16)86.389.1175.4-2.838%
vs Weaker (8)98.889.2188.0+9.5100%
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 75
A23/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
81-95
81
95
-14
69avg 75
A30/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
92-88
92
88
+4
85avg 75
H07/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
72avg 75
H01/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
77-85
77
85
-8
74avg 75
A08/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
90avg 75
H15/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
no box
A22/10
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
112-122 OT
112
122
-10
no box
H29/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
97-87
97
87
+10
91avg 75
A05/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
77-68
77
68
+9
74avg 75
H12/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
26-18
13-20
20-22
16-32
21-14
20-23
24-26
24-24
27-26
14-32
27-6
15-25
21-23
19-13
20-20
21-24
20-21
11-20
25-20
21-16
22-14
22-23
20-24
34-14
13-16
20-31
19-25
25-21
28-14
11-31
23-21
24-25
21-27
23-17
29-18
21-20
20-16
21-16
15-16
177.3Avg total
88.9Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.089.0179.0+1.057%
Season at home (4)87.287.0174.2+0.250%
Season away (3)93.791.7185.3+2.067%
Last 10 (10)88.988.4177.3+0.560%
Last 5 (5)95.691.4187.0+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.786.4170.1-2.729%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.281.0162.2+0.256%
vs Weaker (5)83.077.6160.6+5.460%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
VareseScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
71-33
71
33
+38
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A11/11
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
91.1Avg total
48.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.446.391.7-0.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.644.792.4+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)43.547.791.2-4.212%-
Last 10 (10)48.742.491.1+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)51.640.492.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.851.094.8-7.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.845.889.5-2.031%-
vs Weaker (8)52.246.298.5+6.050%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A23/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A30/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H07/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H01/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A08/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H15/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A22/10
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H29/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A05/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/11
Lega A
85.5Avg total
44.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.878.5+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.681.7+0.662%-
Last 30 away (14)38.236.774.9+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)44.740.885.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.836.682.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.141.382.4-0.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.138.476.5-0.456%-
vs Weaker (5)44.036.480.4+7.680%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.116.8
55.8%
53.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.614.3
38.0%
35.7%42.9
🏀 Free throws18.915.2
80.4%
76.3%15.2
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.4
50.1%
53.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.711.5
43.1%
35.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws17.313.8
79.8%
76.3%13.8
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLWWWLLLWL
Scafati
WWLWWLLWLW
#12
League position
#14
+4.2
Net rating
+2.5
112.0
Offensive rating
114.3
107.8
Defensive rating
111.8
56.5%
Effective FG%
56.4%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.0%
3-point %
43.1%
70.4%
Assist %
67.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 114.3Defence107.8 · 111.8Shooting56.5% · 56.4%3-point %38.0% · 43.1%Ball care16.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds22.1% · 29.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
0
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
30/04/23Varese v Scafati95-81
06/11/22Scafati v Varese93-101
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23AGottingen109-104 OT
11/11/23ABasket Napoli96-97
08/11/23HKeravnos97-90
05/11/23HSassari90-79
02/11/23HTSU109-83
29/10/23AVenezia88-102
25/10/23HGottingen79-91
22/10/23HTrento84-85
18/10/23AKeravnos95-80
15/10/23HTortona78-80
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HOlimpia Milano77-68
05/11/23ATreviso97-87
29/10/23HCremona112-122 OT
22/10/23APesaro107-103 OT
15/10/23HPistoia85-77
08/10/23AReggiana77-85
01/10/23HVirtus Bologna75-81
07/05/23HBrescia92-88
30/04/23AVarese81-95
23/04/23AVerona86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game86.183.889.3
Allowed / game91.481.5104.7
Point differential-5.3+2.2-15.3
Avg total177.6165.2194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Scafati
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game90.087.293.7
Allowed / game89.087.091.7
Point differential+1.0+0.2+2.0
Avg total179.0174.2185.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %29%25%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%89.777.9+11.9
2 Brescia76186%85.373.9+11.4
3 Venezia76186%81.674.4+7.1
4 Basket Napoli86275%87.180.8+6.4
5 Trento86275%83.981.5+2.4
6 Reggiana75271%86.981.9+5.0
7 Olimpia Milano74357%78.474.9+3.6
8 Scafati74357%90.089.0+1.0
9 Cremona73443%89.688.3+1.3
10 Pesaro73443%84.386.1-1.9
11 Tortona73443%75.679.7-4.1
12 Pistoia83538%77.179.6-2.5
13 Varese72529%86.191.4-5.3
14 Sassari82625%75.884.8-9.0
15 Treviso8080%78.488.0-9.6
16 Brindisi8080%67.681.5-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2029252094
Scafati2530172193
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