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Turkey vs Sweden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 85-79
20-23 17-19 26-13 22-24
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game71.8
Turkey 🏆
vs
Position#21
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game83.6
EuropeEuroBasket· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Turkey v Sweden
06 Sep 2025
TURK85
SWED79
20 Feb 2021
TURK88
SWED80
01 Jul 2018
TURK77
SWED52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Turkey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sweden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTurkey
Date
Competition
Hungary
#35
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 81
A25/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 81
H20/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
71-83
71
83
-12
66avg 81
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#3
L
71-73
71
73
-2
64avg 81
A15/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
79-65
79
65
+14
70avg 81
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Latvia
#11
W
93-73
93
73
+20
97avg 81
A27/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 81
H29/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
95-54
95
54
+41
101avg 81
H30/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
84-64
84
64
+20
83avg 81
A01/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
W
95-90
95
90
+5
99avg 81
H03/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
19-17
14-23
27-22
12-17
19-31
19-12
17-20
16-26
22-20
16-23
17-14
25-17
10-11
16-21
20-24
23-13
18-16
19-12
19-24
24-21
23-18
25-16
21-18
21-27
24-10
27-25
20-16
22-13
29-14
22-10
22-17
25-13
21-14
19-22
19-15
19-18
27-31
28-24
21-17
156.4Avg total
82.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.871.8163.6+20.0100%
Season at home (3)94.074.0168.0+20.0100%
Season away (2)88.568.5157.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.873.6156.4+9.270%
Last 5 (5)91.871.8163.6+20.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.681.8156.3-7.211%
vs Similar (8)76.470.9147.2+5.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.373.2160.5+14.185%
This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSweden
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#19
L
70-95
70
95
-25
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
W
73-72
73
72
+1
64avg 70
H22/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
61-80
61
80
-19
50avg 70
A25/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
73avg 70
A20/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
88avg 70
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
90-93
90
93
-3
90avg 70
H27/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
83-105
83
105
-22
67avg 70
A29/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
78-59
78
59
+19
74avg 70
A30/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 70
H01/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
64avg 70
A03/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
13-23
20-25
13-20
26-18
11-19
18-19
18-16
19-23
12-18
17-19
13-20
22-25
17-9
15-24
16-12
20-14
12-19
21-18
19-21
21-26
27-23
24-23
18-21
17-27
25-32
24-25
17-21
19-13
16-17
26-17
17-12
15-18
19-22
31-24
16-23
21-14
18-19
14-21
18-20
159.9Avg total
77.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.683.6164.2-3.020%
Season at home (2)85.590.0175.5-4.50%
Season away (3)77.379.3156.7-2.033%
Last 10 (10)77.082.9159.9-5.930%
Last 5 (5)80.683.6164.2-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.681.7155.2-8.125%
vs Similar (3)83.388.7172.0-5.30%
vs Weaker (15)83.073.3156.3+9.767%
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
TurkeySweden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TurkeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary
#35
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A25/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H20/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A15/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Latvia
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A27/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H29/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H30/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A01/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H03/09
EuroBasket
78.1Avg total
42.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.177.7+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.937.676.4+1.344%-
Last 30 away (14)40.438.679.1+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.036.178.1+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.035.882.8+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.744.280.9-7.611%-
vs Similar (8)37.835.573.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.835.478.2+7.469%-
This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SwedenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#19
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A25/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H27/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A29/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A30/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H01/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A03/09
EuroBasket
78.0Avg total
37.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.376.8+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.037.074.0+0.040%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.779.6+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.440.678.0-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.281.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.242.879.9-5.625%-
vs Similar (3)40.040.780.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker (15)39.234.373.5+4.967%-
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Turkeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.2
57.4%
52.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
33.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.215.2
79.2%
73.1%15.2
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Swedentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.1
48.9%
52.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.2
34.6%
33.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.414.0
68.6%
73.1%14.0
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Turkey
WWWWWWLLLW
Sweden
LLWLLWLLWL
#2
League position
#21
+13.0
Net rating
-8.6
116.0
Offensive rating
103.0
102.9
Defensive rating
111.6
54.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.4%
3-point %
34.6%
65.9%
Assist %
66.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 103.0Defence102.9 · 111.6Shooting54.9% · 50.2%3-point %34.4% · 34.6%Ball care17.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds34.2% · 24.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Turkey   ■ Sweden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Turkey wins
2
Sweden wins
DateGameScore
20/02/21Turkey v Sweden88-80
24/02/20Sweden v Turkey87-80
01/07/18Turkey v Sweden77-52
23/02/18Sweden v Turkey59-58
Turkeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/09/25HSerbia95-90
01/09/25AEstonia84-64
30/08/25HPortugal95-54
29/08/25HCzech Republic92-78
27/08/25ALatvia93-73
16/08/25HCzech Republic79-65
15/08/25AGermany71-73
23/02/25AIceland71-83
20/02/25HItaly67-80
25/11/24AHungary81-76
Swedenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/09/25ALithuania71-74
01/09/25HMontenegro81-87
30/08/25AGreat Britain78-59
29/08/25AGermany83-105
27/08/25HFinland90-93
23/02/25HMontenegro86-83 OT
20/02/25ABulgaria77-81 OT
25/11/24AGermany61-80
22/11/24HGermany73-72
25/02/24AMontenegro70-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Turkey
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.894.088.5
Allowed / game71.874.068.5
Point differential+20.0+20.0+20.0
Avg total163.6168.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sweden
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game80.685.577.3
Allowed / game83.690.079.3
Point differential-3.0-4.5-2.0
Avg total164.2175.5156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany550100%105.873.0+32.8
2 Turkey550100%91.871.8+20.0
3 Greece54180%86.470.8+15.6
4 France54180%92.278.2+14.0
5 Serbia54180%86.873.6+13.2
6 Italy54180%79.266.6+12.6
7 Lithuania54180%86.278.6+7.6
8 Latvia53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Finland53260%85.281.2+4.0
10 Slovenia53260%93.890.4+3.4
11 Israel53260%83.480.2+3.2
12 Poland53260%80.077.4+2.6
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina53260%80.280.2+0.0
14 Spain52340%79.470.8+8.6
15 Georgia52340%73.477.2-3.8
16 Belgium52340%72.680.6-8.0
17 Portugal52340%63.073.6-10.6
18 Sweden51420%80.683.6-3.0
19 Estonia51420%70.479.4-9.0
20 Montenegro51420%75.691.0-15.4
21 Great Britain51420%70.896.8-26.0
22 Iceland5050%72.687.8-15.2
23 Czech Republic5050%67.686.8-19.2
24 Cyprus5050%59.092.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Turkey2017262285
Sweden2319132479
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