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Real Madrid vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 83-78
21-20 18-20 17-13 27-25
Position#1
Record18-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#7
Record11-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game87.0
SpainACBRound 23· Movistar Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Real Madrid v Baskonia
18 Mar 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
07 Feb 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
27 May 2026
MAD83
BAS88
11 Dec 2025
MAD94
BAS87
03 Jun 2025
MAD82
BAS76
16 Mar 2025
MAD83
BAS78
23 Jan 2025
MAD90
BAS89
12 May 2024
MAD106
BAS100
25 Apr 2024
MAD101
BAS90
23 Apr 2024
MAD90
BAS74
05 Apr 2024
MAD91
BAS95
19 Mar 2023
MAD88
BAS95
07 Mar 2023
MAD81
BAS85
04 Jun 2022
MAD83
BAS71
02 Jun 2022
MAD94
BAS84
06 Mar 2022
MAD72
BAS80
14 Jan 2022
MAD89
BAS74
05 Feb 2021
MAD64
BAS84
02 Dec 2020
MAD92
BAS83
10 Feb 2019
MAD82
BAS76
19 Oct 2018
MAD97
BAS79
22 Sep 2018
MAD80
BAS73
15 Jun 2018
MAD98
BAS91
13 Jun 2018
MAD90
BAS94
03 May 2018
MAD101
BAS89
17 Jan 2018
MAD75
BAS73
09 Apr 2017
MAD86
BAS82
25 Oct 2016
MAD87
BAS91
18 May 2016
MAD93
BAS88
05 Feb 2016
MAD68
BAS77
11 Jan 2015
MAD75
BAS74
20 Oct 2013
MAD105
BAS72
28 Oct 2012
MAD83
BAS81
02 Jun 2012
MAD76
BAS69
26 May 2012
MAD73
BAS64
24 May 2012
MAD71
BAS81
22 Jan 2012
MAD84
BAS73
23 Apr 2011
MAD76
BAS71
04 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS62
02 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS67
01 May 2010
MAD74
BAS80
04 Jun 2009
MAD102
BAS82
14 Feb 2009
MAD81
BAS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
54avg 82
A06/02
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
95-84
95
84
+11
95avg 82
A09/02
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
92-69
92
69
+23
no box
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Gran Canaria
#4
W
80-63
80
63
+17
no box
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#6
W
96-91
96
91
+5
85avg 82
H27/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
69-54
69
54
+15
61avg 82
A02/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
66avg 82
A06/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
80-75
80
75
+5
66avg 82
H09/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 82
A13/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
12-24
19-18
20-20
28-21
18-16
20-28
29-19
22-22
21-8
20-19
29-20
10-16
20-15
25-16
25-16
15-18
21-21
19-25
24-29
23-25
17-18
30-24
26-24
12-9
19-9
17-22
21-14
13-24
20-16
20-23
17-22
23-28
14-15
21-16
22-16
30-17
20-16
18-21
12-13
156.7Avg total
80.8Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)87.176.5163.7+10.682%
Season at home (12)89.275.2164.5+14.0100%
Season away (10)84.678.1162.7+6.560%
Last 10 (10)80.875.9156.7+4.970%
Last 5 (5)79.074.4153.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)83.083.0166.0+0.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.376.2164.5+12.1100%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
W
88-86
88
86
+2
87avg 78
H30/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
73-94
73
94
-21
41avg 78
A02/02
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 78
A05/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
89-82
89
82
+7
88avg 78
H07/02
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
103-82
103
82
+21
90avg 78
H09/02
ACB
Partizan
#12
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 78
A28/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 78
A02/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
66-65
66
65
+1
54avg 78
H06/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
81avg 78
H09/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
L
90-97
90
97
-7
91avg 78
A13/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
21-21
21-18
23-22
14-15
19-29
17-27
23-23
18-23
17-28
28-16
22-25
22-23
29-19
22-17
16-23
26-21
33-17
19-26
25-18
18-25
7-20
26-18
22-23
24-18
17-25
20-31
27-19
18-12
20-18
10-13
18-22
14-19
18-25
27-16
25-20
24-26
22-24
23-25
21-22
169.6Avg total
83.9Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.487.0173.4-0.650%
Season at home (11)93.189.3182.4+3.855%
Season away (11)79.684.7164.4-5.145%
Last 10 (10)83.985.7169.6-1.850%
Last 5 (5)80.284.2164.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)84.690.5175.1-5.925%
vs Similar (15)81.781.5163.1+0.253%
vs Weaker (7)89.182.7171.9+6.471%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
Real MadridBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A06/02
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A09/02
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Gran Canaria
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
31-18
31
18
+13
A02/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H09/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A13/03
Euroleague
72.8Avg total
37.4Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.679.9+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.240.183.3+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.637.276.9+2.456%-
Last 10 (10)37.435.472.8+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.473.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)39.240.679.9-1.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.137.280.3+5.973%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H30/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A02/02
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A05/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H07/02
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H09/02
ACB
Partizan
#12
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A28/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H09/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A13/03
Euroleague
83.7Avg total
40.4Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.481.4-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.739.582.1+3.247%-
Last 30 away (15)37.343.380.6-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.383.7-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.478.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.642.582.1-2.938%-
vs Similar (15)39.541.981.4-2.340%-
vs Weaker (7)41.439.080.4+2.429%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.0
51.1%
54.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.67.2
27.1%
35.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.818.1
79.4%
76.4%18.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.0
51.9%
54.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.3
36.3%
35.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.917.2
78.5%
76.4%17.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWWLWWWL
Baskonia
LWWLLWWLLW
#1
League position
#7
+2.7
Net rating
-2.4
104.1
Offensive rating
111.9
101.5
Defensive rating
114.4
46.7%
Effective FG%
53.0%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.6%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.1%
3-point %
36.3%
61.8%
Assist %
64.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 111.9Defence101.5 · 114.4Shooting46.7% · 53.0%3-point %27.1% · 36.3%Ball care17.3% · 17.6%Off. rebounds32.2% · 30.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
23/01/25Real Madrid v Baskonia90-89
06/01/25Baskonia v Real Madrid82-89
15/10/24Baskonia v Real Madrid76-72
12/05/24Real Madrid v Baskonia106-100
01/05/24Baskonia v Real Madrid98-102
25/04/24Real Madrid v Baskonia101-90
23/04/24Real Madrid v Baskonia90-74
05/04/24Real Madrid v Baskonia91-95
07/01/24Baskonia v Real Madrid85-99
06/10/23Baskonia v Real Madrid77-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25AVirtus Bologna80-67
09/03/25HMurcia80-75
06/03/25APanathinaikos70-85
02/03/25AGran Canaria69-54
27/02/25HBarcelona96-91
16/02/25AUnicaja79-93
15/02/25AGran Canaria80-63
14/02/25HManresa92-69
09/02/25AForca Lleida95-84
06/02/25AFenerbahce67-78
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25AAlba Berlin90-97
09/03/25HGran Canaria84-80
06/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas66-65
02/03/25AMoraBanc Andorra88-93
28/02/25APartizan73-86
09/02/25HGranada103-82
07/02/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv89-82
05/02/25AMonaco85-92
02/02/25AUnicaja73-94
30/01/25HBarcelona88-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game87.189.284.6
Allowed / game76.575.278.1
Point differential+10.6+14.0+6.5
Avg total163.7164.5162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%58%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWWWW55%
AwayWLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%55%45%
Points / game86.493.179.6
Allowed / game87.089.384.7
Point differential-0.6+3.8-5.1
Avg total173.4182.4164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)50% (6)71% (7)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2218482%87.176.5+10.6
2 Tenerife2318578%86.881.8+5.0
3 Valencia2317674%97.186.3+10.8
4 Unicaja2317674%88.282.8+5.3
5 Barcelona23131057%91.586.5+5.0
6 Manresa23131057%88.184.5+3.6
7 Joventut Badalona23131057%85.083.7+1.3
8 Gran Canaria23121152%82.582.2+0.3
9 Baskonia22111150%86.487.0-0.6
10 Basket Zaragoza23111248%89.689.4+0.1
11 Murcia23101343%80.381.9-1.5
12 Breogan23101343%79.385.9-6.7
13 Bilbao2381535%80.882.9-2.1
14 Forca Lleida2381535%83.787.8-4.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra2381535%86.791.7-4.9
16 Basquet Girona2381535%80.187.1-7.0
17 Granada2361726%80.186.3-6.2
18 Leyma Coruna2351822%85.594.0-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2118172783
Baskonia2020132578
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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