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Urunday vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 97-94
24-25 26-16 26-25 21-28
Position#9
Record7-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game86.0
Urunday 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Nacional
Uruguay
Position#2
Record12-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game83.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Urunday Universitario
Other2025-26
Meetings · Urunday v Nacional
27 Jan 2026
URUN97
NACI94
23 Jan 2026
URUN v NACI
upcoming
19 Dec 2024
URUN72
NACI90
31 Oct 2022
URUN82
NACI85
18 Feb 2022
URUN82
NACI79
07 Jun 2021
URUN85
NACI72
31 May 2021
URUN88
NACI91
06 May 2021
URUN20
NACI1
19 Dec 2019
URUN72
NACI74
12 Nov 2018
URUN80
NACI86
19 Jan 2018
URUN80
NACI94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urunday winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UrundayUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrunday
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 80
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
101-77
101
77
+24
96avg 80
A15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
123-77
123
77
+46
129avg 80
H20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
58-85
58
85
-27
44avg 80
A04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
102-63
102
63
+39
92avg 80
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
99-104
99
104
-5
93avg 80
H17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
100-86
100
86
+14
106avg 80
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 80
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
74-87
74
87
-13
no box
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
71avg 80
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
16-13
15-23
17-25
28-19
24-14
27-14
22-30
28-9
26-26
35-31
34-11
21-15
14-28
10-22
13-20
28-13
31-14
25-22
18-14
26-27
23-30
28-28
22-19
34-30
20-13
17-22
29-21
25-23
18-19
17-22
18-16
14-26
18-17
25-17
17-27
22-26
17-29
21-15
25-20
171.5Avg total
89.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)90.086.0176.0+4.041%
Season at home (8)92.981.9174.8+11.050%
Season away (9)87.489.7177.1-2.233%
Last 10 (10)89.082.5171.5+6.540%
Last 5 (5)87.289.4176.6-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.589.8169.2-10.238%
vs Similar (15)82.588.2170.7-5.720%
vs Weaker (7)92.167.1159.3+25.086%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Cordon
#11
W
109-90
109
90
+19
109avg 84
A04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
69-82
69
82
-13
58avg 84
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Flamengo
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
66avg 84
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
67avg 84
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#3
L
94-98
94
98
-4
84avg 84
A21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
99-79
99
79
+20
95avg 84
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
120-91
120
91
+29
116avg 84
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
no box
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
no box
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#5
W
97-73
97
73
+24
91avg 84
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
34-29
22-20
25-20
16-21
16-19
22-17
15-25
14-16
16-13
23-11
22-23
17-18
20-21
15-19
23-13
24-28
23-25
14-20
33-25
21-15
21-23
24-22
33-19
28-14
34-29
25-28
33-20
29-20
27-15
17-18
17-21
34-22
25-17
14-14
22-23
31-18
35-15
24-18
7-22
172.0Avg total
92.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)93.683.0176.6+10.675%
Season at home (9)91.276.8168.0+14.489%
Season away (7)96.691.0187.6+5.657%
Last 10 (10)92.379.7172.0+12.680%
Last 5 (5)100.278.6178.8+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.584.5150.0-19.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.281.6172.9+9.679%
This opponent (Urunday) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
UrundayNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UrundayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
59-27
59
27
+32
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
86.1Avg total
45.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.844.888.7-1.041%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.443.186.5+0.450%-
Last 30 away (15)44.246.590.7-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.686.1+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.448.091.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.447.489.8-5.025%-
vs Similar (15)41.445.486.8-4.033%-
vs Weaker (6)51.840.091.8+11.883%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#11
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Flamengo
#7
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#3
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#5
W
66-33
66
33
+33
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
89.2Avg total
49.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.741.688.3+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.638.984.6+6.775%-
Last 30 away (14)47.944.792.6+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)49.339.989.2+9.470%-
Last 5 (5)57.037.694.6+19.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.041.572.5-10.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.841.689.5+6.271%-
This opponent (Urunday) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urundaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urunday: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.7
52.1%
53.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.9
35.7%
33.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.113.5
67.2%
70.9%13.5
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.1
54.9%
53.3%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.7
30.0%
33.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.516.0
68.1%
70.9%16.0
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urunday
LLLWLWLWWL
Nacional
WWWWWLWWLW
#9
League position
#2
+4.9
Net rating
+11.7
109.0
Offensive rating
106.8
104.2
Defensive rating
95.1
52.8%
Effective FG%
51.3%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.7%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.7%
3-point %
30.0%
70.6%
Assist %
59.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 106.8Defence104.2 · 95.1Shooting52.8% · 51.3%3-point %35.7% · 30.0%Ball care17.9% · 15.7%Off. rebounds35.1% · 32.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Urunday   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Urunday wins
8
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
07/11/25Nacional v Urunday104-70
10/02/25Nacional v Urunday99-79
19/12/24Urunday v Nacional72-90
12/01/23Nacional v Urunday70-68
31/10/22Urunday v Nacional82-85
26/02/22Nacional v Urunday92-68
19/02/22Urunday v Nacional82-79
11/06/21Nacional v Urunday95-80
08/06/21Urunday v Nacional85-72
04/06/21Nacional v Urunday88-81
Urundaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/26AHebraica y Macabi85-90
15/01/26ABigua74-87
07/01/26HDefensor78-80
20/12/25AGoes100-86
17/12/25HAguada99-104
09/12/25AWelcome102-63
04/12/25APenarol58-85
20/11/25HCordon123-77
15/11/25AUnion Atletica101-77
11/11/25HMalvin70-76
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26HBigua97-73
19/01/26AFlamengo95-76
18/01/26AObras Sanitarias90-74
13/01/26HWelcome120-91
07/01/26HGoes99-79
21/12/25AAguada94-98
16/12/25HObras Sanitarias75-71
14/12/25HFlamengo75-63
09/12/25APenarol69-82
04/12/25ACordon109-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urunday
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game90.092.987.4
Allowed / game86.081.989.7
Point differential+4.0+11.0-2.2
Avg total176.0174.8177.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW75%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %75%89%57%
Points / game93.691.296.6
Allowed / game83.076.891.0
Point differential+10.6+14.4+5.6
Avg total176.6168.0187.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%78%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1715288%86.870.8+16.0
2 Nacional1612475%93.683.0+10.6
3 Aguada1611569%95.088.8+6.2
4 Malvin1812667%83.282.0+1.2
5 Hebraica y Macabi1811761%83.081.0+2.0
6 Bigua1810856%88.389.7-1.3
7 Union Atletica178947%83.682.9+0.6
8 Defensor178947%85.985.9-0.1
9 Urunday1771041%90.086.0+4.0
10 Goes1851328%82.891.0-8.2
11 Cordon1831517%81.392.4-11.1
12 Welcome1821611%81.598.5-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urunday2426262197
Nacional2516252894
← all games of the day
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