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Vaerlose vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 85-89 (OT)
16-13 20-23 14-25 23-12 12-16
Position#10
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game90.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vaerlose v Randers
27 Sep 2026
VAER85
RAND89
18 Jan 2026
VAER73
RAND103
04 Dec 2024
VAER68
RAND79
04 Apr 2024
VAER87
RAND103
07 Nov 2023
VAER85
RAND94
20 Dec 2022
VAER71
RAND85
08 Oct 2021
VAER80
RAND109
08 Apr 2021
VAER106
RAND115
03 Dec 2020
VAER84
RAND103
08 Nov 2019
VAER91
RAND102
23 Nov 2018
VAER83
RAND86
27 Nov 2015
VAER78
RAND87
21 Feb 2015
VAER66
RAND84
03 Nov 2014
VAER66
RAND74
16 Jan 2014
VAER68
RAND94
31 Jan 2013
VAER97
RAND76
11 Nov 2012
VAER111
RAND105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
W
85-80
85
80
+5
75avg 72
H21/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
81avg 72
H28/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
61-75
61
75
-14
51avg 72
A31/03
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
83-86
83
86
-3
74avg 72
A08/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
96-90
96
90
+6
94avg 72
H12/04
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
74-97
74
97
-23
67avg 72
H19/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
89-83
89
83
+6
87avg 72
A23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
70-91
70
91
-21
61avg 72
H28/04
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
88-78
88
78
+10
78avg 72
A19/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
58avg 72
A22/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
13-26
29-15
21-13
23-24
20-13
15-21
29-22
26-21
12-24
15-17
8-13
18-22
25-27
18-24
22-13
23-19
21-24
24-22
28-25
23-27
14-27
19-21
18-22
24-12
23-23
19-26
23-22
15-22
17-28
25-15
13-26
24-23
18-11
17-28
29-16
20-16
19-23
14-24
21-25
165.5Avg total
80.7Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.083.0164.0-2.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)81.083.0164.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)80.784.8165.5-4.150%
Last 5 (5)79.087.4166.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.394.1165.4-22.89%
vs Similar (17)85.984.1170.1+1.876%
vs Weaker (2)83.586.5170.0-3.050%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
104-105
104
105
-1
91avg 89
A16/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
82-77
82
77
+5
81avg 89
H23/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
80-69
80
69
+11
82avg 89
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
83-102
83
102
-19
67avg 89
A30/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
122-94
122
94
+28
128avg 89
H02/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
82-87
82
87
-5
67avg 89
A10/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
96-78
96
78
+18
97avg 89
H17/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
97-63
97
63
+34
105avg 89
H20/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
100-84
100
84
+16
97avg 89
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
83-96
83
96
-13
75avg 89
H23/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
31-15
22-23
29-41
28-20
20-20
13-12
21-25
19-17
19-17
19-18
23-17
20-31
19-30
19-20
25-21
43-12
28-24
29-26
22-32
15-23
14-21
25-19
28-24
21-23
31-26
27-13
17-16
30-12
18-9
17-22
32-20
21-22
33-32
26-12
20-18
22-10
15-33
25-29
21-24
178.4Avg total
92.9Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.590.0181.5+1.550%
Season at home (1)83.096.0179.0-13.00%
Season away (1)100.084.0184.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.985.5178.4+7.460%
Last 5 (5)91.681.6173.2+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)85.891.1176.9-5.438%
vs Similar (8)92.290.9183.1+1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)96.680.8177.4+15.886%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
VaerloseRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H21/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H28/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A31/03
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A08/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H12/04
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H19/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H28/04
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A19/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/09
Basketligaen
83.8Avg total
40.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.545.383.8-6.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.645.383.9-6.740%-
Last 30 away (15)38.445.283.6-6.827%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.883.8-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.481.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.748.983.6-14.20%-
vs Similar (17)40.742.683.3-1.953%-
vs Weaker (2)40.548.088.5-7.550%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A16/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H23/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A30/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
71-36
71
36
+35
H02/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A10/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H17/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H20/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H23/09
Basketligaen
89.2Avg total
46.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.242.189.3+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.942.992.8+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)44.541.385.9+3.260%-
Last 10 (10)46.942.389.2+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.286.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.847.891.5-4.050%-
vs Similar (8)46.842.088.8+4.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)49.439.088.4+10.479%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.2
54.1%
55.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.6
28.1%
31.2%19.8
🏀 Free throws26.718.1
67.8%
68.0%18.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.5
57.4%
55.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.3
37.3%
31.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws26.119.7
75.5%
68.0%19.7
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LWLWLWLLWW
Randers
LWWWLWLWWL
#10
League position
#5
-4.9
Net rating
+7.9
87.5
Offensive rating
103.5
92.4
Defensive rating
95.5
49.6%
Effective FG%
56.9%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
18.6%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.41
28.1%
3-point %
37.3%
61.2%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence87.5 · 103.5Defence92.4 · 95.5Shooting49.6% · 56.9%3-point %28.1% · 37.3%Ball care18.6% · 14.3%Free throws0.43 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Randers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vaerlose wins
9
Randers wins
DateGameScore
29/01/26Randers v Vaerlose106-80
18/01/26Vaerlose v Randers73-103
04/12/24Vaerlose v Randers68-79
21/09/24Randers v Vaerlose106-65
04/04/24Vaerlose v Randers87-103
14/03/24Randers v Vaerlose91-84
11/02/24Randers v Vaerlose79-80
07/11/23Vaerlose v Randers85-94
20/12/22Vaerlose v Randers71-85
08/10/22Randers v Vaerlose79-63
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/26ACopenhagen74-88
19/09/26AGladsaxe88-78
28/04/26HBears Academy70-91
23/04/26AHolbaek-Stenhus89-83
19/04/26HBMS Herlev74-97
12/04/26HAmager96-90
08/04/26AVejen83-86
31/03/26ABears Academy61-75
28/03/26HHolbaek-Stenhus87-80
21/03/26HBears Academy85-80
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/26HSvendborg83-96
17/09/26AHolbaek-Stenhus100-84
20/04/26HCopenhagen97-63
17/04/26HSvendborg96-78
10/04/26AHorsens82-87
02/04/26HTeam FOG Naestved122-94
30/03/26ABakken Bears83-102
26/03/26ASvendborg80-69
23/03/26HHorsens82-77
16/03/26ATeam FOG Naestved104-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game83.0-83.0
Point differential-2.0--2.0
Avg total164.0-164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Randers
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game91.583.0100.0
Allowed / game90.096.084.0
Point differential+1.5-13.0+16.0
Avg total181.5179.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved220100%109.064.5+44.5
2 Bakken Bears220100%95.574.0+21.5
3 Copenhagen220100%82.568.0+14.5
4 Svendborg32167%84.083.3+0.7
5 Randers21150%91.590.0+1.5
6 Vaerlose21150%81.083.0-2.0
7 Vejen21150%83.093.5-10.5
8 Gladsaxe31233%80.778.3+2.3
9 Bears Academy31233%83.783.3+0.3
10 Horsens31233%76.384.7-8.3
11 BMS Herlev31233%82.394.3-12.0
12 Holbaek-Stenhus3030%71.7101.0-29.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Vaerlose162014231285
Randers132325121689
← all games of the day
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