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Valencia vs Basket Zaragoza Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game89.1
SpainACBRound 22· Roig Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Valencia v Basket Zaragoza
14 Feb 2027
VAL v ZAR
upcoming
12 Jan 2026
VAL115
ZAR73
15 Nov 2024
VAL111
ZAR82
12 Nov 2023
VAL76
ZAR69
22 Jan 2023
VAL88
ZAR76
20 Mar 2022
VAL81
ZAR79
24 Oct 2020
VAL93
ZAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 96
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 96
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 96
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 96
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 96
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
111-79
111
79
+32
107avg 96
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
111-97
111
97
+14
no box
H15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
22-27
19-25
30-20
29-21
29-19
23-22
21-24
29-22
27-24
36-24
27-24
21-25
185.8Avg total
99.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)100.689.1189.8+11.575%
Season at home (4)102.892.5195.2+10.275%
Season away (4)98.585.8184.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)99.286.6185.8+12.690%
Last 5 (5)101.685.8187.4+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)89.085.0174.0+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)99.387.6186.9+11.781%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
75avg 82
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
95-94
95
94
+1
95avg 82
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
81-80
81
80
+1
80avg 82
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
82-97
82
97
-15
72avg 82
H04/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
92-71
92
71
+21
90avg 82
A10/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#18
W
109-98
109
98
+11
103avg 82
H18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#4
L
81-99
81
99
-18
74avg 82
A24/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#11
W
107-78
107
78
+29
108avg 82
H31/10
ACB
Unicaja
#8
W
96-91
96
91
+5
no box
H08/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#12
L
94-99
94
99
-5
no box
A14/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
26-23
15-21
22-27
24-26
20-21
23-23
28-24
18-18
26-20
24-27
13-15
22-21
17-15
28-30
15-31
23-17
29-11
15-22
25-21
22-23
38-20
24-31
25-24
21-24
19-24
17-24
24-27
23-21
25-19
30-20
29-18
17-20
26-18
24-26
29-27
19-20
25-23
27-27
23-29
182.8Avg total
92.3Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.889.1181.9+3.662%
Season at home (4)98.591.0189.5+7.575%
Season away (4)87.087.2174.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)92.390.5182.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)97.493.0190.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.696.6180.2-13.08%
vs Similar (14)87.990.9178.7-3.043%
vs Weaker (4)94.079.0173.0+15.075%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
ValenciaBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H15/11
ACB
88.7Avg total
47.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.641.188.6+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.040.190.1+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)44.842.186.9+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)47.641.188.7+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.491.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.331.376.7+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.842.190.0+5.774%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A10/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#18
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A24/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#11
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H31/10
ACB
Unicaja
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A14/11
ACB
87.4Avg total
46.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.085.7-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.740.985.6+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.185.9-4.427%-
Last 10 (10)46.341.187.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.489.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.346.887.2-6.517%-
vs Similar (14)43.741.485.1+2.464%-
vs Weaker (4)46.237.583.8+8.875%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.0
56.8%
55.8%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
36.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
76.0%15.6
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.6
53.5%
55.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.1
39.1%
36.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws25.819.1
74.0%
76.0%19.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWLWWWW
Basket Zaragoza
LWWLWWLWWL
#2
League position
#7
+8.9
Net rating
-0.9
108.3
Offensive rating
101.0
99.4
Defensive rating
101.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
55.6%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
8.8%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.40
34.6%
3-point %
39.1%
51.0%
Assist %
62.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 101.0Defence99.4 · 101.9Shooting54.8% · 55.6%3-point %34.6% · 39.1%Ball care8.8% · 15.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Valencia wins
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLeyma Coruna111-97
12/11/26HBayern102-87
08/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos100-93
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AJoventut Badalona94-99
08/11/26HUnicaja96-91
31/10/26HBasquet Girona107-78
24/10/26ABarcelona81-99
18/10/26HForca Lleida109-98
10/10/26ALeyma Coruna92-71
04/10/26HValencia82-97
27/09/26ATenerife81-80
29/05/26ABreogan95-94
26/05/26HValencia86-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game100.6102.898.5
Allowed / game89.192.585.8
Point differential+11.5+10.2+12.8
Avg total189.8195.2184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game92.898.587.0
Allowed / game89.191.087.2
Point differential+3.6+7.5-0.2
Avg total181.9189.5174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%105.285.1+20.1
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Barcelona86275%98.693.0+5.6
5 Baskonia85362%93.686.0+7.6
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
9 Bilbao84450%90.091.5-1.5
10 Murcia84450%89.491.1-1.8
11 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
12 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
13 Obradoiro CAB83538%89.498.0-8.6
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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