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Valencia vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-76
23-14 19-17 32-18 14-27
Position#8
Record8-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game84.9
Valencia 🏆
Spain
vs
Basket Zaragoza
Spain
Position#13
Record4-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game80.8
SpainACBRound 17
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Valencia v Basket Zaragoza
14 Feb 2027
VAL v ZAR
upcoming
12 Jan 2026
VAL115
ZAR73
15 Nov 2024
VAL111
ZAR82
12 Nov 2023
VAL76
ZAR69
22 Jan 2023
VAL88
ZAR76
20 Mar 2022
VAL81
ZAR79
24 Oct 2020
VAL93
ZAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
W
84-83
84
83
+1
76avg 78
H23/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
89-95
89
95
-6
87avg 78
A27/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
79-90
79
90
-11
71avg 78
A29/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
92-86
92
86
+6
84avg 78
H03/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
63avg 78
H06/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
79-85
79
85
-6
74avg 78
A08/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
81-71
81
71
+10
75avg 78
H11/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 78
A13/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
103-92
103
92
+11
99avg 78
H15/01
ACB
Partizan
#6
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 78
H19/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
21-18
21-21
22-24
25-22
26-24
18-25
20-24
22-29
21-21
17-21
19-19
18-13
22-23
26-17
26-33
19-24
23-23
16-14
17-16
15-15
23-25
23-18
18-27
16-13
15-17
21-26
29-15
22-16
30-21
10-23
21-19
23-15
19-36
31-23
30-18
27-18
20-19
22-21
20-23
169.3Avg total
85.4Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.184.9171.0+1.250%
Season at home (7)88.784.9173.6+3.957%
Season away (9)84.184.9169.0-0.844%
Last 10 (10)85.483.9169.3+1.560%
Last 5 (5)87.081.6168.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.184.3164.4-4.147%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.186.5170.6-2.545%
vs Weaker (4)102.282.0184.2+20.2100%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 65
H06/11
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A19/11
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
67-74
67
74
-7
54avg 65
H26/11
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
78-104
78
104
-26
no box
A03/12
ACB
Granada
#16
W
73-57
73
57
+16
65avg 65
H10/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
L
69-78
69
78
-9
64avg 65
A18/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
63-68
63
68
-5
52avg 65
A28/12
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
no box
H04/01
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
72-65
72
65
+7
67avg 65
A08/01
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
no box
H14/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
28-23
23-22
23-31
25-22
11-20
24-20
23-5
10-5
12-25
20-25
25-19
18-21
16-28
24-22
20-33
12-15
17-15
21-13
23-14
8-21
19-17
20-14
22-26
17-14
19-24
10-20
17-10
20-25
23-18
19-22
17-14
15-25
12-15
27-13
18-12
16-24
17-18
17-15
23-16
154.9Avg total
77.0Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.680.8157.3-4.225%
Season at home (8)78.982.1161.0-3.225%
Season away (8)74.279.4153.6-5.125%
Last 10 (10)77.077.9154.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)75.077.6152.6-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.484.6160.0-9.125%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.477.2150.6-3.825%
vs Weaker (2)76.069.5145.5+6.550%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.1+3.1
ValenciaBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H23/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A27/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A29/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H06/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A08/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H11/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A13/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H15/01
ACB
Partizan
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H19/01
Euroleague
83.9Avg total
42.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.281.6-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.040.981.9+0.164%-
Last 30 away (16)40.041.481.4-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.283.9+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.081.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.940.877.7-3.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.242.286.4+2.064%-
vs Weaker (4)43.539.883.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H06/11
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A19/11
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H26/11
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A03/12
ACB
Granada
#16
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H10/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A18/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A28/12
ACB
Breogan
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/01
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A08/01
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H14/01
ACB
72.3Avg total
33.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.839.172.9-5.317%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.938.873.7-3.920%-
Last 30 away (15)32.839.472.2-6.613%-
Last 10 (10)33.538.872.3-5.310%-
Last 5 (5)33.240.273.4-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.940.174.1-6.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.138.472.5-4.325%-
vs Weaker (2)31.535.066.5-3.50%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.218.2
58.3%
52.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.9
36.5%
34.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.015.9
83.7%
73.9%15.9
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.1
48.8%
52.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.7
31.2%
34.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.314.8
69.5%
73.9%14.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWLLWLLW
Basket Zaragoza
LWLLLWLLWW
#8
League position
#13
+3.1
Net rating
-2.6
115.3
Offensive rating
98.8
112.1
Defensive rating
101.4
56.5%
Effective FG%
48.1%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
19.8%
Turnover %
20.7%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.5%
3-point %
31.2%
62.9%
Assist %
56.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 98.8Defence112.1 · 101.4Shooting56.5% · 48.1%3-point %36.5% · 31.2%Ball care19.8% · 20.7%Off. rebounds32.1% · 33.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Valencia   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
0
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateGameScore
20/03/22Valencia v Basket Zaragoza81-79
02/10/21Basket Zaragoza v Valencia70-76
11/04/21Basket Zaragoza v Valencia76-85
24/10/20Valencia v Basket Zaragoza93-84
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23HPartizan89-81
15/01/23HManresa103-92
13/01/23ALyon-Villeurbanne83-79
11/01/23HAnadolu Efes81-71
08/01/23ABaskonia79-85
06/01/23HCrvena zvezda75-77
03/01/23HFuenlabrada92-86
29/12/22AOlimpia Milano79-90
27/12/22AGran Canaria89-95
23/12/22HBarcelona84-83
Basket Zaragozalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23HTenerife83-87 OT
08/01/23AManresa72-65
04/01/23HBreogan88-90 OT
28/12/22ABarcelona63-68
18/12/22ABasquet Girona69-78
10/12/22HGranada73-57
03/12/22AUnicaja78-104
26/11/22HBilbao67-74
19/11/22AReal Betis83-67
06/11/22HReal Madrid94-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %50%57%44%
Points / game86.188.784.1
Allowed / game84.984.984.9
Point differential+1.2+3.9-0.8
Avg total171.0173.6169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %12%14%11%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLWLL25%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game76.678.974.2
Allowed / game80.882.179.4
Point differential-4.2-3.2-5.1
Avg total157.3161.0153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %19%25%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1714382%84.173.2+10.8
2 Real Madrid1613381%87.475.8+11.7
3 Tenerife1713476%82.472.2+10.2
4 Baskonia1713476%90.682.6+7.9
5 Unicaja1712571%86.875.9+10.9
6 Joventut Badalona1610662%83.479.2+4.1
7 Gran Canaria169756%83.379.7+3.6
8 Obradoiro CAB179853%80.382.6-2.3
9 Valencia168850%86.184.9+1.2
10 Breogan168850%76.278.2-1.9
11 Bilbao178947%78.579.8-1.3
12 Murcia178947%79.982.9-3.0
13 Basquet Girona1771041%76.079.0-3.0
14 Granada1751229%77.688.1-10.4
15 Basket Zaragoza1641225%76.680.8-4.2
16 Manresa1731418%83.292.8-9.6
17 Real Betis1731418%74.985.5-10.5
18 Fuenlabrada1731418%78.191.4-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2319321488
Basket Zaragoza1417182776
← all games of the day
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